North Carolina's Aaron Sabato (Aaron Fitt)

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2020 D1Baseball Analytics: Top 150 Hitters

Analysis

We hope that you’ve enjoyed checking out our top prospect lists for the Ivy League, C-USA, SEC and Sun Belt. As a supplement to those rankings we have also generated a computer version of top hitters with a method used by most organizations to identify potential prospects; statistical analysis.

As scouts begin to build their draft list for 2020, the analytics department for each front office will send its area scouts a list of analytic follows. In many instances, the names on the analytics list will match those already on a scout’s list. In other instances, names on the analytic list may be new to a scout, prompting the scout to get out and take a look at the office’s recommendations.

We have approached the analytics process in similar fashion—to identify possible under the radar prospects. Hitting has been broken down into three categories: Plate Discipline, Hit Ability, and Game Power. Plate Discipline (PD) is a measure of how well a batter controls the strike zone. Hit Ability (HA) simply measures a batter’s ability to hit and reach base while Game Power (GP) is straightforward: Does the prospect produce extra base hits, getting to the power he may show in batting practice.

We hope that you’ve enjoyed checking out our top prospect lists for the Ivy League, C-USA, SEC and Sun Belt. As a supplement to those rankings we have also generated a computer version of top hitters with a method used by most organizations to identify potential prospects: statistical analysis.

As scouts begin to build their draft list for 2020, the analytics department for each front office will send its area scouts a list of analytic follows. In many instances, the names on the analytics list will match those already on a scout’s list. In other instances, names on the analytic list may be new to a scout, prompting the scout to get out and take a look at the office’s recommendations.

We have approached the analytics process in similar fashion—to identify possible under-the-radar prospects. Hitting has been broken down into three categories: Plate Discipline, Hit Ability, and Game Power. Plate Discipline (PD) is a measure of how well a batter controls the strike zone. Hit Ability (HA) simply measures a batter’s ability to hit and reach base while Game Power (GP) is straightforward: Does the prospect produce extra-base hits, getting to the power he may show in batting practice?

Adjustments have been made to account for park effects of the most extreme hitter- and pitcher-friendly parks, as well as an adjustment for a team’s strength of schedule. Our analysis is based on 2019 spring season statistics only and it does not take into account a prospect’s position. For example, a middle of the diamond player has more value than a corner player with a similar score. Nor do the scores consider a player’s age, athleticism, swing mechanics, bat speed, running speed, defense or throwing tools. This list is all about bat skill and identifying hitters who have statistically performed in areas that are proven to correlate into professional baseball. Players are graded from 0-100.

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