The Ouch List: Week 11Analysis
This week proved it doesn’t matter who you are or how special your team looked last week, you are not immune from a ride on the Pain Train just a week later. It takes all types, even teams that might end up in Omaha before all is said and done.
This week’s list of teams all have incredible amounts of talent and still have high hopes for the postseason. It’s just that their season took a side track this week. Don’t let it happen again.
The Ouch List…
– UC SANTA BARBARA
What Happened: Lost two of three at UC Riverside.
Why It Hurts: No longer a national seed.
The Gauchos (32-7, 9-3 Big West) make the Ouch List for the second straight week. Only last week I put the Gauchos on it for sheer irony after winning three games and it hurting the RPI. This week it’s for legit reasons because they are on it for NOT winning. Two losses to the then-No. 207-ranked Highlanders was a kill-shot to the Gaucho cause. On top of that, the two losses weren’t even that close, 9-4 and 7-2. Not only did it cause their RPI to drop to No. 13, but they are now also one game behind Cal Poly in the Big West standings.
– TEXAS A&M
What Happened: Swept at Ole Miss.
Why It Hurts: What’s worse, losing in a jog-off or getting blown out?
The Aggies began the weekend a half-game behind SEC West-leading Arkansas, but then got zipped at Swayze Field in three straight and now sit back in fifth place at 11-9-1. The Ags actually took a 4-3 lead in the 11th inning of Friday’s first game, but gave up a pair of runs in the bottom of the frame gave up a bases-loaded, two-run single to Thomas Dillard to lose the lidlifter. A&M had a lead in all three games but ended up getting blown out in game two, 13-3, and then lost in jog-off fashion again in game three as Dillard scored the winning run on an Aggie wild pitch.
Ole Miss Sweep on a WALK-OFF WILD PITCH ‼️ ? ‼️
— NCAA Baseball (@NCAACWS) April 28, 2019
What Happened: Went 1-3 this week.
Why It Hurts: The one-run losses have gotten ridiculous.
Prior to Sunday’s 10-2 win over West Virginia, the Longhorns had previously suffered through a six-game losing streak with the last four of those coming by scores of 11-10, 7-6, 3-2 and 9-8. During that six-game losing streak, the bullpen’s ERA was 13.30. In each of the four one-run losses the game was tied in the ninth inning before their opponents scored the winning run. Not that it’s the be-all and end-all factor, but the Longhorns have a 6-11 record in Big 12 play with six games left.
– VIRGINIA TECH
What Happened: Swept at Miami
Why It Hurts: If the Hokies were going to make a move to the postseason, it had to start here.
… at least that’s what I wrote in my Off The Top Of My Head column going into this weekend. But John Szefc’s charges managed to score just three runs in 27 innings in dropping games by 4-3, 1-0 and 2-0 counts vs. the Canes. The Hokie pitchers and defense did a bang-em-up job, but the offense couldn’t unstuck from the quicksand that the Hurricanes kept them in. Even though their RPI jumped up two spots to No. 45. the big wart on the nose now is that the Gobblers are saddled with an ACC mark of 7-17.
What Happened: Went 0-4 this week.
Why It Hurts: The losing streak has reached five.
Man, this just has NOT been the Frogs’ season. Injuries sure, but not pitching to potential and just plain bad luck have screwed the season. In four games the Horned Frogs gave up 42 runs in losses to Dallas Baptist and Baylor. Sunday’s finale was ended due to the 10-run rule after eight innings, 12-1. The Frogs RPI has now plunged down to No. 92. It’s probably win the Big 12 Tournament or bust.
What Happened: Swept at Vanderbilt
Why It Hurts: Sub .500 in SEC play
Losing three games at Vandy is not a big “ouch” to be honest. But none of the games were particularly close (losing 12-6, 5-2 and 9-5) and the bigger news is that this also brings the Tigers’ conference mark to 10-11. Even though their RPI was in the No. 15 position coming into Sunday there is no way they’d be rewarded with a home Regionals assignment with the SEC mark swimming upstream like they are. We’ll see how they do down the stretch with Alabama (very winnable) next week and then Georgia and LSU to close things out.
– LOUISIANA TECH
What Happened: Swept in three games at Rice.
Why It Hurts: It was a painful week in every way possible
I think we can give the Bulldogs a pass if they were distracted this week, given the tragedy that was the tornado that ripped through the campus on Thursday morning, which included damage to their baseball stadium. Having to regroup from that is nearly impossible as they lost 3-1, 4-2 and 3-2 (10 innings) in Houston.
— NCAA Baseball (@NCAACWS) April 28, 2019
What Happened: Lost two of three at Harvard.
Why It Hurts: They likely lost home field advantage for the Ivy League Playoffs.
Think about this. In game three of their series at Harvard, the Lions had an 8-3 lead with nine outs to go. Protect that lead and they’d move two games ahead of the Crimson with three League games to play to claim home field advantage in the playoffs. But the bullpen gave up six runs in the bottom of the seventh, then had to have the offense tie the game in the eighth before finally succumbing in the 14th inning. CU had four baserunners stranded in the extra innings, including leaving the bases loaded in the 13th. Now the Lions and Crimson are tied at 12-6 in first place with one weekend of play left. In addition, the Lions have the tougher assignment, playing three at Penn, while the Crimson play three at Brown, and also have the tiebreaker for home field advantage.
What Happened: Swept in three at Mississippi State
Why It Hurts: Probably not a big deal, but don’t let it lead to a slippery slope
The Battle of the Bulldogs went the home teams’ way as the MSU version held the UGa version to 11 runs while scoring 34 on them in process. That was pretty stunning considering the Georgia Dogs came in with the best opponents average of just .182. But the MSU Dogs piled up 39 hits and 34 runs for a three-game batting average of .386. The Silver Britches have now dropped two games behind Vanderbilt in the SEC East. VU has gone 8-1 since losing two-of-three in Athens at the beginning of April.