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2016 Preseason Prospects Chat

SEE ALSO: The College 300 | Breakout Prospects

Kendall Rogers
Hey all — we will take your questions right now, but our writers will be back around 1 PM central to answer!
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about 3 hours ago

Frankie Piliere
Hey everyone – great questions on the board already. We’ll jump right in…..
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about an hour ago
Comment From Eric Captain
Who do you think is going to be the number 1 pick?
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about an hour ago

Kendall Rogers:
Eric,
Great, and early question. Obviously, things can really change as the next few months unfold, but I think in terms of pure projection and pure stuff, measurables, etc., right now, Puk is my guy. I think he’s going to have an awesome year. I could see someone like Hansen sliding in there if he can continue to improve his secondary stuff and just be more consistent overall, while Dakota Hudson is the wild card here. He can get into the discussion by doing what he showed in the fall.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Patrick
How would you compare OFs Corey Ray and Jeren Kendall as MLB prospects? How do they compare in each of the 5 tools? I know they are different years, but I fell as though they are very similar.
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
Ray is further along in terms of the power stroke, but both are excellent athletes with game changing type tools. Ray really blossomed last year, so at similar stages you could make the case that Kendall is in some ways further along. But Ray wins out on strength and pull side power. But both run above average with above average hit tools.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Eric Captain
Wheres’s Aaron Fitt?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
I’m here! Hi everyone, hope you’re enjoying the season preview so far.
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about an hour ago

Kendall Rogers:
Probably making snow angels in his yard.
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about an hour ago
Comment From DR
Could John Kilichowski pitch himself into the top 50 picks? Or does his lack of a true plus pitch put a ceiling on him?
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
I think Kilichowski is precisely the type of prospect that can absolutely get in that range with a consistent spring. He needs to be that guy scouts can feel very safe about though. You’re right, he doesn’t have a plus pitch and likely won’t. But he can hit 92, pitching at 88-91, and he flashes you 3 at least average secondaries. His slider has been much much better, flashing 55 and if he shows that all spring I can see him sneaking in there.
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about an hour ago
Comment From DR
Is Jordan Sheffield’s ranking a “best case scenario” projection, based on the assumption that his command/control improve?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
I think the best-case scenario would have him be a top-five overall pick, because he has that kind of raw stuff. But yes, we are expecting him to continue to refine his command and establish himself as a starting pitcher this spring. However, even if he doesn’t, he could go in the 40s as a raw power arm in the bullpen — which is about in line with this ranking, if you were to include high school players as well.
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about an hour ago
Comment From nparker
I was surprised not to see Cal’s Devin Pearson on the list. What do you think about him?
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about an hour ago

Kendall Rogers:
I think scouts wonder about his projection at this next level. The body doesn’t look great in person and he went undrafted last summer. With that said, Devin is a very polished college hitter and he’s absolutely one of those kids that should get a chance at the next level. Well worth taking a risk on.
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about an hour ago
Comment From joe
Any prospects for Clemson baseball not in the top 300 that we could see make a rise by the end of the season?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
I think the one guy would be Reed Rohlman, who is eligible as a redshirt sophomore. It’s a really nice lefthanded bat, but the defense lags behind, and if he’s going to be stuck at first base he’ll need to hit for more power. If he can do that this spring, he could jump up boards.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Eric Captain
Why isn’t Jared Poche on the Prospect list?
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
He is on the list.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Evan
Could Kentucky have two 1st round arms in Cody & Brown?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
Entirely possible. Right now we’ve got both ranked as third-rounders or so, but Brown was generating more buzz than that in the fall, and heading into 2015 everybody thought Cody was a likely first-rounder. Could certainly envision both of those guys climbing into the first.
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about an hour ago
Comment From DR
Bryan Reynolds–if he shows power, could he end up the first OF taken?
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
I think he’d have to show a lot of power but it’s possible. I still think Reed, Lewis, Ray will compete for that spot.
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about an hour ago
Comment From BaseballFan27
Has FAU made a decision going into spring on Colyn O’Connell as Friday or Closer? Heard mid 90s from big body
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
It sounds like they are leaning toward starting him. And yes, that’s a very interesting arm…
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about an hour ago
Comment From joe
You guys have Alex Bostic ranked pretty high.. Think he could be one of the tope closers in college baseball?
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
The stuff is there. If he can be 91-94 with sharper command as we’ve heard then it’s in there. He’s a major wildcard for them and what they do in that conference.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Boomer
What is the difference between Puk and Hansen? Who has the larger upside?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
Puk gets the clear edge first of all because he’s lefthanded. Hansen is capable of showing you more raw velocity (though both guys sat around 93-96 when I saw them in consecutive weekends last May). Puk has more advanced feel for pitching and a more consistent slider slider, though I have also seen Hansen flash a plus slider in the 84-86 range.
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about an hour ago
Comment From DR
Where would Schwarz rank if he were eligible this year?
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
Good question. I won’t speak for Kendall and Aaron but he’d be in my top 4-5
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
Same here. Power bats like that don’t come around very often, and it sounds like he’s made big strides behind the plate as well. If he can catch, with that kind of bat… I mean, it’s enormous upside. Heck, he might be No. 2 on my list behind Puk.
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about an hour ago
Comment From joe
Do you see anyone on Clemson’s roster right now who could be a first rounder either in 2016 or in future years?
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about an hour ago

Kendall Rogers:
Joe,
Chris Okey clearly is an elite prospect and a guy that could very well be a first-round selection. I’m intrigued to see what Okey does this spring. He clearly showed the ability to hit for power last season, and I look for him to be even more consistent this year. Such an impressive player all those tools wrapped into one.
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about an hour ago
Comment From VP
How projectable do you see Marshall’s Chase Boster at the next level
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about an hour ago

Kendall Rogers:
VP,
I wrote up Boster a couple of summers ago, and he’s a guy that should get some serious looks with a strong season. He’s going to start on Friday’s for the Herd, and he’s got a fastball that can bump 94. However, I’m a little concerned with his inability to miss bats with that type of velocity. He clearly will need to show that wipeout pitch this spring to truly develop into a solid draft guy.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Jason wilsonCBFAN
Was wondering who are some of the preseason top prospects in the big south conference? I am a Campbell univ fan and was wondering who are some new comers and names to watch this year in the conference.
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
Matt Crohan from Winthrop is certainly the top prospect in the league this year — a power lefty who can run his fastball into the mid-90s at his best. High Point has a couple very interesting guys in Andre Scrubb (a righty who can touch 95) and Josh Greene (a very athletic center fielder). Liberty has a couple of power bats who could make some noise in Andrew Yacyk and Will Shepherd. Coastal Carolina has some very exciting talent in its freshman and sophomore classes, led by Jason Bilous and Dalton Ewing.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Will
Does Anthony Kay have enough stuff to get into the first round?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
That feels a little rich to me, but it’s certainly possible — he really helped himself last summer with Team USA. He’s a lefty who can touch 93 without a ton of effort, has good command of the fastball, really good feel for his changeup, and good enough breaking stuff. Pretty nice package. Guys like that have certainly gone in the first round before.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Donnydonuts
What do you think of Louisville 2017 recruiting class so far? How many make it to campus ?
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
It’s really too far away to answer that second part of your question, but I really like the class. Jordon Adell is an explosive talent. Plus arm, better than a plus runner, big time power potential. The kid does it all. They have a big righty named Bobby Miller as well. Gets up to 92, projects. It’s a strong group.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Edgar
No mention of Eric Filia from UCLA in top 300 how come?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
The biggest reason is he’s a fifth-year senior who will be 24 years old in July, and he hasn’t played D-I baseball since 2013. He’s a good hitter, but he’s never shown a ton of power, and he isn’t enough of a runner to play center field. UCLA is lucky to have him back, he’s good college player who could have a nice year for them. But he’s got a lot to prove before he makes himself into a prospect again.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Austin
Florida’s rotation looks stacked this year. Is it tops in the nation, and who do you think their top 3 pitchers will be?
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about an hour ago

Kendall Rogers:
Austin,
Yes, I would say Florida has the top weekend rotation in college baseball, though I actually think Vanderbilt will be pretty close behind with Kyle Wright, Sheffield and Kilichowski/Bowden, especially from a sheer talent standpoint. As for Florida’s top three pitchers? Puk and Shore, and everyone else. I’m a huge Shore fan, as Frankie and Aaron are, too. He’s got some velo, but damn, he’s just a pitcher. Such a fan guy to watch.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Illini24/7
How do you view the Illini’s Sedlock, Blackburn, Walton and Goldstein as prospects after they had so many guys drafted last season?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
Sedlock is obviously the best of the bunch, and he’s got a chance to go very very high in this draft. I think Adam Walton might be the next guy — wouldn’t surprise me at all if he goes in the top-10 rounds as a money-saving senior sign with some upside. He’s a very good athlete with a patient approach and solid defensive skills at shortstop, just probably not a ton of bat impact there.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Mark
How do you leave TCU S.S. Ryan Merrill off your list? 15th round draft pick by the Cardinals also juco all- american. iIdo not understand.
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
Merrill is a very, very nice player and is going to do big things for TCU this year. But there’s a ton of quality in this class, and a lot of good players were left off. That doesn’t mean he won’t get drafted. Merrill can pick it at shortstop and the athleticism is going to stand out. But, believe us when we tell you there were difficult decisions made to leave guys out even going this deep.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Johnny Ringo
Jake Fraley at LSU has some tough shoes this season being the only returning starter. What makes him a guy who can become that “dude” this spring?
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
I’ve believed in Fraley for a long time now, just awaiting his breakout. But everything we heard this fall was that his power took the next step. He’s capable of driving the ball and being a legitimate power threat. With the rest of his game being what it is, if that power carries over, he’s a superstar in 2016.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Will
Do you see any Sonny Gray in Daulton Jefferies?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
Physically, there are certainly some similarities. I don’t think Jefferies is as explosive as Gray, and actually I think Jefferies has less effort in his delivery — it’s smoother. Sonny had a tick more fastball velocity at the same age (though it was fairly close), and the biggest difference might have been that Sonny had that hammer breaking ball. Jefferies knows how to use his slider well, but it’s not a true swing-and-miss big league pitch for me, the way Sonny’s was.
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about an hour ago
Comment From XenoAbe
Does Georgia Tech have enough all around talent to be a true contender this year?
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about an hour ago

Kendall Rogers:
Yes, and to keep this prospect-oriented, I’m extremely intrigued to see what Kel Johnson can do at the plate this season. He clearly has the tools and power, but needs to stay healthy. If you remember, I absolutely loved this kid coming out of high school. If he’s healthy, watch out. Could have a huge year for the Jackets. For a 2017, look at Patrick Wiseman. Big-time power arm who is starting to get his bearings straight.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Boxcar Billy
What’s the big announcement you teased on Twitter, Kendall?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
I think he was referring to the unveiling of a Top 300 college prospect list — which is deeper than anyone has ever gone for college prospects, as far as I know.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Thomas
You’ve got Cal Quantril ranked pretty high, despite TJ surgery? Does that say more about his skills or how well recoveries from TJ are these days?
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
We had a pretty lengthy staff discussion about this actually. Ultimately, we are rolling the dice on him being the guy we saw before surgery. Honestly, if he gets back to being that guy and we knew that for sure….he’d be ranked even higher. He’s special when healthy. So it’s a combination of both factors you mentioned. We are banking on his recovery and being that electric, polished force we’ve seen before.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Wesley
How is JJ Schwartz not ranked as high as Okey and Collins?
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
Because he’s not eligible for the 2016 draft. He’ll be on the 2017 list.
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about an hour ago
Comment From STL Hawkeye
I see you have Cal Quantrill rated #11. I think that’s fair with him coming off his TJ. Best CU in D1 baseball?
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
Best changeup by a wide margin in my opinion.
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about an hour ago
Comment From joe
Think Brooks Crawford and Charlie Barnes are the weekend starters behind Schmidt this year?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
I think Barnes for sure, and Crawford will be in the mix with Jake Higginbotham. I loved what I saw out of Crawford in the fall, just not sure what his role is going to be yet. I think he’s a future starter at some point, for sure, just don’t know when.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Evan
Any prospects from iowa besides Tyler Peyton?
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about an hour ago

Kendall Rogers:
I’d keep an eye on third baseman Mason McCoy. Really talented junior college transfer, whom Rick Heller thought might end up signing this past summer. Well, he’s on campus. He’s a very well-rounded hitter with some pop. He’s definitely going to help the Hawkeyes from the get-go this spring.
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
Good call on McCoy, Kendall. I think Ryan Erickson’s got a chance too — a lefty with feel for pitching and a good body.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Rover
How about Wofford? They have a couple of pitchers in Stillman and Milburn. Any thoughts?
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
I think Stillman is probably the better prospect, a candidate to be drafted in the top 15 rounds. Millburn is a nice bulldog atop the rotation, but probably a later-rounds draft pick.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Howard
Frankie, does Banks still have the best bat (swing) in college or has someone taken over that spot in your mind?
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about an hour ago

Frankie Piliere:
I saw him develop some things in the swing I didn’t love, but I’ve heard he’s gotten that ironed out. If those bad habits are gone I’m still confident it’s the best swing in college baseball. Ray, Reed, Lewis, Senzel, Reynolds are all superb but if you’re asking me to bet on a pure swing and hit tool I’ll take Banks in that category
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about an hour ago

Aaron Fitt:
To piggyback on Frankie’s answer, I’d like to see Banks turn on the ball with authority more often, as he had a tendency to just serve it the other way for singles with Team USA this summer. But his pure ability to make contact and barrel up line drives might be the best in this class.
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about an hour ago
Comment From Brandt
Any thoughts on what to make of Lucas Erceg? He transferred from Cal to Menlo. Where should we expect to see him drafted?
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43 minutes ago

Kendall Rogers:
Brandt,
I think the sky is the limit for Erceg. I’ve been on the Erceg train ever since seeing him at A&M last year in the regional. Just an electric player. Vacuum at third, beautiful arm from the left side of the infield and some real juice in the bat. With that said, I think LE’s future is on the bump, where he can get up to 96-98 with his fastball. He clearly needs to refine his secondary stuff a bit more, but there’s a lot or projection there.
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43 minutes ago
Comment From Kelly
How is Kyle Lewis ranked near the top with the likes of Buddy Reed and Corey Ray. His swing looks horrible with all the movement.
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39 minutes ago

Frankie Piliere:
Horrible is not a word I’d associate with anything Kyle Lewis related. Lewis handled elite pitching as well as player I’ve seen in this class. He lets the ball track extremely deep, handles elite velocity, and spits on some nasty pitches. He’s got pre-swing movement that isn’t the most traditional but you know what….his bat speed and barrel feel sure do seem to compensate for it. Lots of great hitters have done some unorthodox things with their hands. The numbers, although this isn’t something I usually like to reference, sure do speak for themselves. Look at what he did to Cape competition.
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39 minutes ago
Comment From VP
What prospects from C-USA are being talked about the most
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39 minutes ago

Kendall Rogers:
VP,
I think the big guy everyone can’t wait to see finally healthy this spring is Rice RHP Jon Duplantier. I had reports that John was up to 98 in the fall. However, his secondary stuff has taken a step back. We will see which Jon we see this spring. Here’s your pick to click in C-USA, and that’s Adam Atkins, a talented for La Tech. He had a good year last year, but I think he takes another step forward. 90-93 sidearmer with a funky angle, really really crisp stuff, per scouts.
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39 minutes ago
Comment From Henry
What does Buddy Reed have to be ranked higher than Corey Ray?
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37 minutes ago

Aaron Fitt:
A few things. Reed is a pure center fielder with premium speed, while Ray is more of a corner outfielder with good speed but not as much. Reed is 6-foot-4 and projectable, while Ray is 5-11 and closer to his ceiling. Reed is also a switch-hitter. Ray has more current strength, but he also has holes in his swing. Reed has made a huge progress in a short amount of time for a guy who came into college as a raw Northern three-sport athlete — he’s just scratching the surface of his ability, and his upside is bigger.
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37 minutes ago
Comment From Vaughn
Not really familiar with Nick Senzel. Can you give me some thoughts of him?
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36 minutes ago

Kendall Rogers:
Vaughn.
Frankie saw Senzel throughout last summer, but the big thing for him right now is that he’s molded into a complete hitter. He’s learned to use all fields over the past few months. Guys like he and Kyle Serrano really need to have strong campaigns to for that program to take a step forward.
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36 minutes ago

Frankie Piliere:
Kendall is spot on – the difference is how he uses the whole field. And he’s as quick on the fastball as any hitter out there right now. You can’t beat him inside.
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36 minutes ago
Comment From Martineau
Who does Willie Abreu remind you boys of? Oh, hi aaron. i’m so sorry.
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35 minutes ago

Aaron Fitt:
Hmm… maybe Brennan Boesch. Both Six-foot-4, 225-pound corner outfielders with plus raw power but some swing-and-miss tendencies. That’s off the top of my head; I haven’t heard a comp from a scout.
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35 minutes ago
Comment From Larry
Every year in the MLB draft there is a college bat that wasn’t really hyped/tracked/followed as a top talent? Do you see one in the draft class that has the potential to jump up?
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33 minutes ago

Frankie Piliere:
This is a tricky question because if we saw it coming we should have ranked the player higher. But it’s still a good question. I could see it happening with Will Toffey, only because we tempered our ranking because he’s just a sophomore and the feeling is another year of seasoning will send him way up the list next year. But, if he performs this year I could see him moving way up.
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33 minutes ago
Comment From KingadamSC
I had saw that somebody had mentioned the big south conference in earlier commits. I am very curious about Presbyterian College, they beat some top ranked opponents last year in SC, UCF, Clemson and Indiana. I know they struggled in there conference, but for a school like that! To beat teams like they beat, is saying something. Any Players that could possible make some noise this spring?
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31 minutes ago

Aaron Fitt:
The Blue Hose have their work cut out for them replacing their two best players from last year, Cam McRae and Jay Lizanich. Pitching was an issue for them last year, but at least they’ve got their top two starters back in Tanner Chock and David Sauer. Probably a middle-of-the-pack Big South team.
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31 minutes ago
Comment From VP
What have you seen thus far from the talented freshman class Vanderbilt has been able to recruit? Any potential every day starters?
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30 minutes ago

Kendall Rogers:
VP,
Chandler Day and Donny Everett are both premium arms that will have good roles on the mound this season, while Ethan Paul, Alonzo Jones and Connor Kaiser are all guys to watch in the field. Kaiser was very fluid and impressive throughout fall workouts, even surprising the staff a little bit. Jones is very toolsy, but just needs to continue to refine his game. Very very good class, as usual.
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30 minutes ago
Comment From Perry
Ryan Boldt was a talent coming out of HS, but he currently isn’t near the top. Is there a problem with his development?
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29 minutes ago

Aaron Fitt:
He just hasn’t really driven the ball the way we thought he would. He’s a pretty big, strong guy, and he had 10 extra-base hits in 218 at-bats last year. He still has a lot of upside, and I did speak with a scout recently who thought he still has a chance to sneak into the first round, but it feels like the industry consensus currently has him more in the third-round range, with a chance to certainly jump back up with a strong spring.
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29 minutes ago
Comment From STL Hawkeye
I think Luken Baker from TCU is the front runner for freshman of the year. He’s either the DH or pitching in every TCU game… Special talent.. Would have been a 1st rounder last year…
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29 minutes ago

Aaron Fitt:
Agreed.
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29 minutes ago
Comment From Jason Harris
Does UGA have enough talent to make the postseason this year?
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27 minutes ago

Aaron Fitt:
I think they do, actually. It’s a young team, and they’ll lean heavily on some talented freshmen, but I liked what I saw from that team in the fall. Stephen Wrenn has blossomed into a really, really good player, and I like the upside of some of the supporting guys like Michael Curry, Keegan McGovern and LJ Talley. If Robert Tyler and Connor Jones can harness their potential atop the rotation, look out.
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27 minutes ago
Comment From Dogwood59
Any other prospects at Mercer besides Lewis?
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27 minutes ago

Frankie Piliere:
Charlie Madden, their catcher, will hit in the middle of the lineup with Lewis and he could get some play in rounds 10-20
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27 minutes ago
Comment From Terrance
Is Bukauskas a slam dunk first round pick when he is eligible if he stays healthy?
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24 minutes ago

Kendall Rogers:
Terrance,
It certainly seems that way. For me, Bukauskas kind of reminds me of Robert Tyler. Good frame, great great velocity on his fastball, but otherwise, an unproven pitcher at this level. I think JB takes a sizable step forward this spring, but we’ll see what happens.
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24 minutes ago
Comment From Morris
Of all players eligible for the draft this year, who is most likely to be a future MLB home run champ? Dalbec?
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23 minutes ago

Aaron Fitt:
Hmm… Dalbec has huge raw power, no doubt, but I think I believe more that Kyle Lewis and Zack Collins will be able to get to their power at higher levels. Dalbec’s hit tool makes me nervous.
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23 minutes ago

Frankie Piliere:
Those would be names on top of the list. If Willie Abreu can get to his power, that guy puts on absolutely show in BP.
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23 minutes ago
Comment From Wesley
Ok, ignorant of me, completely forgot this was a 2016 draft chat. However, do ya’ll consider JJ Schwartz a better prospect than Collins and Okey?
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20 minutes ago

Frankie Piliere:
I do. He’s a special, special, top of the draft talent with his combination of power and ability to stick at catcher (potentially)
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20 minutes ago
Comment From VP
Do you see Joe Dunand having a breakout season?
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20 minutes ago

Aaron Fitt:
For sure, he’s one of my favorite 2016 breakout candidates. Love the defense, really like the physical frame and offensive potential. He showed last year that he has power; I think he’ll also hit for much better average this year and just be a more complete overall player.
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20 minutes ago
Comment From joe
Expect Seth Beer to start in the outfield right away for Clemson?
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19 minutes ago

Aaron Fitt:
Yeah, I’ll be very surprised if he doesn’t.
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19 minutes ago
Comment From LUKE
Who will end up being the better Burdi in the end?
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19 minutes ago

Aaron Fitt:
Hmm… I think I like Zack better, actually. Better pitchability and secondary stuff, though not quite as much raw velocity.
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19 minutes ago
Comment From HeelsBaseball
Can you talk about some of the newcomers for UNC and who you expect to make an impact and turn out to be a legit prospect going forward?
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17 minutes ago

Aaron Fitt:
Tyler Lynn is going to make a huge impact right away as an athletic juco outfielder with a really nice lefthanded swing. Kyle Datres is an athletic two-way guy who should start every day at second base. And they’ve got three freshman catchers who all have a chance to be pretty good players.
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17 minutes ago

Kendall Rogers
All right, everyone. We’ve got to get back to writing, but we really appreciate everyone tuning in to the chat and asking some great question.

Be sure to pick up a D1Baseball Subscription, here: https://d1baseball.com/s…

And also, here’s our season preview index: https://d1baseball.com/a…

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17 minutes ago

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