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Top 25 Chat: April 23

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  Top 25 Chat: April 23 (04/23/2018) 
9:32
Kendall Rogers: 

Aaron and Kendall will be here to take your questions at 2 PM ET — until then, get YOUR questions in now.

Monday April 23, 2018 9:32 Kendall Rogers
2:01
[Comment From BillBill: ] 

Any chance Unc can become a national seed? Do they need to win 2 out of 3 at N.C. State this weekend

Monday April 23, 2018 2:01 Bill
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Bill — I’m not so sure UNC is a national seed just yet but it should absolutely be in the discussion this week. The resume is probably a little light right now for one, but the Tar Heels have 22 wins vs. RPI Top 100 and could make a huge splash this weekend against the Wolfpack. Take the series over NC State and I have a feeling we’ll have UNC as a top eight next week. Stay tuned.

  Kendall Rogers
2:01
Aaron Fitt: 

Hey folks, let’s roll.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:01 Aaron Fitt
2:02
[Comment From BrendonBrendon: ] 

With Duke Kinamon closing in on returning for Stanford, what are your thought on how David Esquer will deploy this lineup? Beau Branton is hitting .382 in his absence (granted all of his hits except for 2 have been singles), but Duke is one of the best up the middle defenders in the country and should provide a little more pop. Stanford does have a hole at DH where they could employ one or the other but it seems like it might be tough for David to remove a .382 hitter completely from the lineup.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:02 Brendon
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Yeah I’m with you — Branton’s going to keep playing even after Kinamon gets back. Not sure how they’re going to do it, but no way you take Branton out of the lineup while he’s playing like this. You find a spot for both of them.

  Aaron Fitt
2:02
[Comment From MattMatt: ] 

What are you biggest takeaways from Beaver Baseball’s 5-0 streak? Have they righted the ship, or should OSU fans hold their judgment until they play Stanford and UCLA next month?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:02 Matt
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Matt,
I was never really worried that much about OSU. Sure, the pitching staff isn’t as good as last year, but that’s like thinking you should have perfection every season. That staff was insane. I think the Beavs looked great last weekend and again this past weekend with Nick Madrigal back in the lineup. It looked like the old Beavs again, and I can’t wait to see what happens in that Stanford series in a few weeks.

  Kendall Rogers
2:05
[Comment From GregGreg: ] 

UCLA looking more like a host after the rivalry sweep this weekend? If they end up being Pac 12 champs, will they be a top 8 seed?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:05 Greg
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Bruins definitely trending in the right direction, up to No. 30 in the RPI. We have seen teams in the Pac host with RPIs in the 20s before if they win the conference, but probably won’t host with an RPI outside the top 20 unless they get that conference title. But with those series still ahead vs. Stanford and OSU, I have a feeling that RPI will keep on climbing; if they finish inside the top 20 with a strong conference record but finish second or third, I could see them hosting in that scenario too. Still a ways to go for top 8, but it’s within the realm of possibility, especially if they win the Stanford and OSU series. They’ll be tough to deny if they do that.

  Aaron Fitt
2:05
[Comment From MichaelMichael: ] 

What will it take for Southern Miss to become a regional host?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:05 Michael
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Michael — Just have to keep winning and see where things stand at the end of the Conference USA tournament. The problem USM has is that the RPIs in C-USA are just plain bad this year, so right now, it is still out of range for a host site. The RPI is going up, though. We’ll see what happens. Right now, I’d say it’s unlikely.

  Kendall Rogers
2:07
[Comment From PhillipPhillip: ] 

Is it still possible for Oklahoma State to host a regional. If so, what do they need to do?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:07 Phillip
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Sure it is; the Cowboys are in first place in the Big 12 right now. Winning that conference would be enough to host, almost regardless of the RPI (assuming its top 25 or so — and right now it’s No. 35, with four good series left against top 50 RPI teams, two of them on the road). So expect that RPI to keep on climbing, and if OSU can win three of those last four series, I think it hosts.

  Aaron Fitt
2:08
[Comment From NathanNathan: ] 

Who do you having win the Big 12?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:08 Nathan
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Nathan — I still like Texas Tech to win the regular season crown. I think Tech wins its final three series against TCU, Texas and Oklahoma State to take him the crown. That’s a fun race, though, with OSU leading for now and UT right ahead of Tech.

  Kendall Rogers
2:10
[Comment From DrewDrew: ] 

What does Mississippi State have to do down the stretch to sneak into the postseason? Tough schedule to finish out the year, but that also means plenty of opportunities to pick up quality wins.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:10 Drew
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Drew — Win three of their last four series and I think the Bulldogs would be in … win two of them, and I think MSU could get in with a strong run in Hoover. It’s there for the taking, but it likely means they’ll need to play well at home against Florida to end the SEC regular season. That won’t be, umm, easy.

  Kendall Rogers
2:12
[Comment From JtJt: ] 

Good morning, just curious for your thoughts as to where Andrew Vaughn sits in regard to being voted Golden Spikes award winner. Not only does he have the most impressive batting stats in the nation while playing in a more than respectable conference, but he also plays a first-rate, gold glove caliber first base. This kid can pick balls at first w/ the best of ’em. And, that is no exaggeration!…Regarding the Pac-12: Do you guys see either Cal Or Arizona making it to a Regional as the 4th team from this conference? Huge series this weekend down on ‘The Farm’, hope Cal can stay competitive. Lastly, what is your prediction for huge Big West series this weekend down in the OC: Fullerton @ UCI. Although the Big West is down this season, this is always a dogfight, and really hope that Coach “Skip” Gillespie can win this final battle against “Hooky”. You guys do a tremendous job, keep up the good work, and really appreciate your comments and/or feedback!!

Monday April 23, 2018 2:12 Jt
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Vaughn is a force of nature, no other way to put it. To hit for that kind of power on the West Coast is really, really loud — that is not a home run hitter’s conference, and he’s got 18 bombs. That’s incredible. Right now, it’s Vaughn, Bren Spillane and India leading the GSA pack (for hitters), and probably Casey Mize for pitchers. To me, that’s the top four; I probably still lean toward India because he plays a premium position while Spillane and Vaughn are first basemen (they still get credit for playing good defense, but not as much as an elite third baseman deserves). Cal has some momentum right now, for sure — four straight series wins, including very good ones vs. UCLA and Washington. Still have a long way to go with that RPI (No. 98 — really need to be in the top 65 or so to have a chance as a West Coast team), and still just 3-6 vs. the top 50. But if they win that Stanford series, I really like their chances; that RPI should rocket up just for playing those games. Lastly — Fullerton/Irvine looks like a good series, both teams playing pretty well right now. I’ll go with the Anteaters; I think Skip’s going to go out strong in his final year.

  Aaron Fitt
2:14
[Comment From Spear15Spear15: ] 

Has FSU squandered their chances at a top 8 seed? Or would series wins against Miami, @ Clemson, and NC State put the Noles back into the mix?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:14 Spear15
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Spear — If the Seminoles did just that, they’d be right back in the mix for a national seed for sure. That would be two very good series wins and one solid one in Miami. Let’s say they go 2-1 the rest of the way that’d make FSU 17-12 in the league. That would be a very solid mark considering all of the injuries the Seminoles have had to endure this season. FSU is also 15-9 vs. RPI Top 50, which is very solid.

  Kendall Rogers
2:15
[Comment From BatCatsBatCats: ] 

What should UK fans make of last week? Florida is head and shoulders above the rest of the league, but the Cats inability to capitalize with runner in scoring position was maddening. What do they need to do coming home to lock up another week at The Cliff?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:15 BatCats
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I still really like Kentucky’s club, but obviously they really miss Zack Thompson; when he gets back, I suspect they’re going to make a real push down the stretch. The remaining schedule looks extremely favorable: vs. Missouri, at Tennessee, vs. Mississippi State, at Vanderbilt. I bet Kentucky wins between 7 and 9 of those games and makes a run at hosting; I still really believe in their talent and depth.

  Aaron Fitt
2:16
[Comment From Eric SimmonsEric Simmons: ] 

Did Houston get back in the at large discussion after sweeping Wichita State? I think they might have but I think they still have work to do! That was an enormous sweep by the Cougars!

Monday April 23, 2018 2:16 Eric Simmons
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Eric — I would like to say they are in the mix, but the Coogs still have work to do. There’s no doubt in my mind this is an NCAA tournament quality club with series win over USF, Wichita State and others, but the RPI is sitting at 83, which is well out of range. The good news for Todd Whitting’s crew? UH has Texas for one and East Carolina the next four games. Win two or three of those and the Cougars will get yet another big RPI boost. I think UH controls its own destiny if it continues to roll. If it can win the AAC and have an RPI in the 40-58 range, I like its chances of getting in.

  Kendall Rogers
2:17
[Comment From Eric SimmonsEric Simmons: ] 

Who’s in more trouble LSU or TCU? I say TCU If I had to choose

Monday April 23, 2018 2:17 Eric Simmons
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Simmons — Easily TCU. The Frogs are barely over .500 and have an RPI nearing 80. Basically, this weekend’s series against Texas Tech is somewhat their season. Lose that series and the path to making the NCAA tournament basically boils down to the Big 12 tournament. Fascinating weekend ahead, and I’ll be there in FTW for it.

  Kendall Rogers
2:17
[Comment From SamSam: ] 

South Carolina had an impressive weekend with sweeping LSU, does this get the Gamecocks in the at-large bid discussion? If they do get an at-large bid could yall see them in the Greenville Regional with ECU or would they likely head to the Clemson regional if Clemson is a host.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:17 Sam
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Definitely back in the at-large race; they looked dead a week ago, but now they’re alive again. Still probably on the wrong side of the bubble with a No. 60 RPI, but at least the conference record is back to .500 at 9-9. South Carolina has four tough series left, but if they can win half of them to finish 15-15, I like their chances.

  Aaron Fitt
2:20
[Comment From GregGreg: ] 

I know no one wants to speculate on which coaches might be on the hot seat. So, on the flip side, can you think of a few head coaches who will be targeted by big programs as openings arise? Who are the current head coaches whose stock has really risen this year?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:20 Greg
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I’ll throw a few at you: Matt Bragga at Tennessee Tech; Link Jarrett at UNCG; Darin Hendrickson at Saint Louis; Jim Penders at UConn; Chris Hayes at Jacksonville.

  Aaron Fitt
2:22
[Comment From Bruinstyle2001Bruinstyle2001: ] 

The SEC is becoming a logjam with 3 games separating the #2 seed to #13. Which do you believe is more likely come the end of the regular season: 11 teams make the NCAA Tournament or 7 teams host?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:22 Bruinstyle2001
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Yeah, what a logjam. It makes Florida’s 14-4 conference record that much more impressive; the next-best team is 10-8 (three of them). I think 11 regional teams is looking likelier than 7 hosts, just because the host candidates keep beating each other up. Heck, I suppose the same could be said for the bubble teams… When the dust settles it’ll probably be 10 regional teams and 5 hosts, something like that.

  Aaron Fitt
2:23
[Comment From BenBen: ] 

Hey guys! Wondering who you guys would rate as the top 4 or 5 “no easy outs” offenses in the country? Thanks!

Monday April 23, 2018 2:23 Ben
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I like this question! I’ll go, in no particular order… Texas Tech, Oregon State, NC State, Florida… and Kentucky, based on what I saw earlier this year in that series vs TTU.

  Aaron Fitt
2:25
[Comment From MikeMike: ] 

First, I’m not going to complain about East vs West bias. My question is more a question of: is there a better way… In the pacific northwest (Northeast and up in the midwest there are similar circumstances), these schools are extremely geographically isolated. The only ability they have is to play University of Portland or Seattle University or if they’re lucky they catch an LMU or Santa Clara on their way through when those teams play Portland or Gonzaga. From an RPI standpoint these teams are at a huge disadvantage as they don’t have the ability to play Power conference teams in midweek games. Their non-conference RPI by the end of the season is slowly brought down to the point where (for example) OSU is better off not even scheduling University of Portland tomorrow as likely even a win will drop their RPI. To OSU’s credit they do play 2 tournaments in Arizona and try to get some bigger names at those tournaments. They actually went out to Missouri State to play a non-conference road series. I know at the end of the year there becomes some leeway when it comes to RPI judgements (I assume for schools with these scenarios), but this is completely subjective and is not standard. Can this system improve?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:25 Mike
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Mike — Oregon State is in the top five of the RPI right now and will stay there as long it continues to win. If you are at a disadvantage from a scheduling standpoint, the best way to solve the issue is to make sure you fix it with scheduling. If I was OSU, I would quit going to Surprise to play neutral site games — and instead find an SEC, AAC, team, or something to go play AT where you get road RPI points for it. The two weeks in Surprise don’t make much sense from an RPI standpoint, but I get that it’s good for the fans.

  Kendall Rogers
2:27
[Comment From PAULPAUL: ] 

What are your thoughts on Horton’s future with Oregon?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:27 PAUL
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Paul – Horton just signed an extension, so nothing is imminent. But his lack of success the past few seasons has been perplexing because he got off to a hot start there with the Ducks. I think George is obviously a fantastic coach, but things just haven’t computed with the Ducks the past few years. Weird deal.

  Kendall Rogers
2:27
[Comment From SamfordSamford: ] 

Hi, what have you guys seen from SO Ayrton Schafer from Samford? Big numbers in freshman season. Have you guys had a chance to see him/what are your views on him.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:27 Samford
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I’ve seen Samford four times, including yesterday. Schafer is interesting — big, physical guy who can run too, showed me an above-average home to first time yesterday. Needs to improve his plate discipline, can be prone to chase, but definitely an intriguing talent.

  Aaron Fitt
2:27
[Comment From JBJB: ] 

Any concerns about UF’s sunday role? Dyson has looked less than sharp his last few times out.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:27 JB
 
Kendall Rogers: 

JB — I’m still not concerned. I’ve seen Tyler Dyson at his absolute best. I would expect Sully to stick with Tyler through thick and thin, especially if the Gators to win series in the SEC. I think you just hope he snaps out of it, which I think he will. I’m not ultra concerned here.

  Kendall Rogers
2:29
[Comment From BaseballDadBaseballDad: ] 

Is it looking possible that 12 SEC teams will make NCAAs?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:29 BaseballDad
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Baseball — I’m going to go on record as saying 11 SEC teams will make the postseason field — which would be a record. I don’t think 12 will get there, however. We’ll see, though. The SEC is very, very good top to bottom this year.

  Kendall Rogers
2:29
[Comment From Trey HebertTrey Hebert: ] 

In the most recent regional projection, y’all had Southern Miss as a three seed, please explain this reasoning to me because at this point I believe we should be in the mix for hosting and if not that, for sure a solid two seed.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:29 Trey Hebert
 
Aaron Fitt: 

That’s pure RPI, Trey — Southern Miss was around 60 in the RPI heading into the week, and they had a string of kinda disappointing 2-2 weeks. They’ve made a big jump up to No. 34 in the RPI after finally putting together a dominant 4-0 week, and now they’re back to being a strong bet to be a 2 seed. But regional hosts seldom come from outside the top 16-18 RPI teams, unless you’re in the West, so I still think they’re not a great bet t host, given Conference USA’s RPI woes. Gonna be hard to get inside the top 20.

  Aaron Fitt
2:30
[Comment From TeddTedd: ] 

do you think luken Baker will declare for the draft or return to tcu?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:30 Tedd
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Tedd — Well, you don’t declare for the draft in college baseball, but I still think he’s a premium hitter with incredible zone presence and power. He will still get drafted pretty high, and I’d be shocked if he returns to TCU. You never know, though …. never say never when it comes negotiations.

  Kendall Rogers
2:31
[Comment From BrandonBrandon: ] 

First off, thanks for yalls time and dedication to college baseball. You guys do great work. I know it’s still April and there’s plenty of baseball is left. But do you guys see Florida as the team to beat? And if so, who are a few teams you guys see as the most complete teams and the biggest threat to Florida to win the championship?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:31 Brandon
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Brandon — Yes, I think Florida is a step above everyone else right now. I actually think Stanford is very balanced.Jake Palish and Jack Little give the Cardinal a strong bullpen presence, the rotation is very good and the offense takes care of business. Outside of the Cardinal, I would list Arkansas and Oregon State as the two teams I think could give the Gators headaches if they face them in the postseason. I also really like NC State, but UF has such a large pitching advantage over the Wolf Pack.

  Kendall Rogers
2:32
[Comment From CayceCayce: ] 

UNC at N.C. State this weekend. Who wins and why?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:32 Cayce
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Well I bet against both teams in the picks last week and looked foolish, so take my pick for what it’s worth (which is not much!). But I like NC State at home. Love how the Wolfpack lineup and bullpen have been performing; neither team is particularly consistent in the rotation (that’s an understatement), so it could come down to a battle of the bullpens between two good offensive teams that grind out at-bats. And I like NC State’s bullpen depth more.

  Aaron Fitt
2:33
[Comment From CUSACUSA: ] 

Any thoughts on the ending of the FAU v Rice series (i.e. the overturned call in the T9 which reversed FAU’s go ahead run and the umpires calling the game in the B9 with 0 outs and 2 men on for Rice)?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:33 CUSA
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Lots of questions about this; I wasn’t there, and I haven’t spoken with either coach about it, so I’m not going to offer any uninformed take, sorry.

  Aaron Fitt
2:35
[Comment From AdamAdam: ] 

Your thought on the Hogs after this weekend. Everything that could have went wrong went wrong. Huge mid-week series against TTU this week as well.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:35 Adam
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I chock it up to the old “that’s baseball.” Every team has ups and downs; this wasn’t Arkansas’ weekend. Credit MSU for playing great baseball during its Super Bulldog Weekend. I still don’t have any significant question marks about Arkansas; the starting pitching was just OK this weekend, but they all at least pitched into the sixth, and I really like that trio. I think they’ve got all the right guys in place, and I still think they’re one of the leading contenders for the national title.

  Aaron Fitt
2:39
[Comment From Great White BuffaloGreat White Buffalo: ] 

It appears the only chink in UF’s armor may be Tyler Dyson struggling down the stretch. He was perhaps their best pitcher the first half of the season, but has lost command lately. Any idea if there’s anything else to it; has he lost any velocity off his fastball or is it strictly a command issue? Also, I’d like to join in the discussions after your articles, but don’t have a facebook account. Any chance we can get D1 to add Disquss or another means to post? Thanks for all the hard work, I really enjoy your insights.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:39 Great White Buffalo
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I’ll piggyback on Kendall’s answer about Dyson above, because I saw Dyson a few weeks ago vs. Vandy. The stuff was fine — 94-96 and up to 97 early on, then 92-95. He just struggled to finish his breaking ball that day, and certainly the command wasn’t very good. But it’s not a stuff issue, and ultimately I agree with KR, I think he’ll figure it out. As for comments, we had Discus a couple years ago and made the switch to Facebook; it’s got to be one or the other, and most people seem happy with Facebook comments. But maybe we’ll survey our email subscribers to ask for their preference. Thanks for your feedback.

  Aaron Fitt
2:40
[Comment From Eric SimmonsEric Simmons: ] 

Is LSU in danger of missing the NCAA Tournament after getting swept by South Carolina?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:40 Eric Simmons
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Eric — I think LSU will still make the tournament, but the Tigers aren’t a slam dunk and will need to make sure they don’t struggle down the stretch. I don’t think an SEC team with an RPI in the 60s is getting into the field. Fortunately for Mainieri’s club, they have an RPI bonanza coming up with series against Ole Miss, Arkansas and Auburn. Of course, they could lose all three of those series, too.

  Kendall Rogers
2:41
[Comment From Go GophsGo Gophs: ] 

Thoughts on Minnesota? How important is the series at Ohio State followed by Indiana? Maybe the most underrated pitching staff in the country? A lot of good arms deep in their staff, gonna be a fun team to follow through the postseason with that amount of depth. Also has to be one of the few teams in the country to only have played 1 game on their actual home field.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:41 Go Gophs
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I really like Minnesota’s club — so many mature veterans with tools in that lineup, and a very talented young pitching staff. I’m excited to get a look at the Gophers this weekend in Columbus; that’s shaping up as a really neat series. I think both teams are on track to be regional teams, but winning that series could really sew it up for either.

  Aaron Fitt
2:42
[Comment From JonathanJonathan: ] 

Kendall, who are 3-5 realistic coaches in the running for the Mississippi State baseball job?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:42 Jonathan
 
Kendall Rogers: 

I spoke with someone close to search earlier this week. I am hearing some big names continue to be intrigued by the MSU job. How many of those are looking for raises and how many are legitimately interested? I know of two big-time coaches who are very very legitimately interested. My long-standing policy is to not mention candidates during the season, especially when these coaches are still playing. Let it all play out and I’ll provide inside scoop at the appropriate time. But MSU fans should be pumped.

  Kendall Rogers
2:43
[Comment From RaiderRedTTURaiderRedTTU: ] 

Last week you said Kody Clemens was your Big 12 hitter of the year. However, Little and Jung from TTU both have a significantly better avg, by a significant margin, along with a slew of other categories (R, H, RBI, OB%). Shouldn’t both of the TTU players be on the short list, if not leading for that award?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:43 RaiderRedTTU
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Must have been Kendall who answered that one last week. Clemens has had a great year, and he’s definitely strongly in the running for Big 12 POY… but I’m with you on Little and Jung being right there with him. It’s worth noting ballpark context — Clemens plays half his games at a notorious graveyard, and he’s got 13 home runs. Obviously Lubbock is a much more hitter-friendly atmosphere, particularly when that wind gets howling. But Little and Jung do have better OPS marks, and Jung is also a high-level defender at a demanding position (third base), though Clemens is an up-the-middle player. Tough one… I may lean Jung ever so slightly right now, but that’s gonna be a great race, and the final month should determine it.

  Aaron Fitt
Kendall Rogers: 

I would go Clemens or Jung with Little right behind them. Fitt makes a good point — Clemens plays in a massive pitcher’s park. You could also argue his value for Texas surpasses that of some other candidates. This is a fun race, though.

  Kendall Rogers
2:46
[Comment From MikeMike: ] 

I need some clarity on midweek games. Florida somehow lost the #1 spot after losing midweeks to UCF where the Knights used weekend arms. Florida was penalized despite everyone saying midweeks don’t matter, and the Knights are rewarded. Last week, Florida loses to a JU team that didn’t use midweek starters. Florida stays at #1 this time and people have used that game to talk about JU lately. Is Florida dropping earlier in the year because they lost 2 instead of 1 midweek? That seems kind of strange. It seems like you guys say midweeks don’t matter for the elite teams but that they do matter for the smaller instate schools. Which is it?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:46 Mike
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Well, we’ve never said that midweek games don’t matter — it’s just that they matter less than weekend games. But they still count, and we do consider them. And winning two premium midweek games in the same week, or losing two midweek games in the same week, has a significantly more pronounced effect than just one game. That said, we still would probably have left Florida No. 1 most weeks, but Oregon State was a buzzsaw at that time and deserved to move up; you always have to look at what the other teams near you in the rankings have done, because this stuff doesn’t happen in a vacuum. It’s more an art than a science, obviously.

  Aaron Fitt
2:47
[Comment From JasonJason: ] 

OU dropped from the rankings with their second consecutive series loss @ TTU. Do they also fall out of the field of 64 or now on the bubble?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:47 Jason
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Nah, the Sooners are still in awesome shape for an at-large, with a No. 28 RPI and a 10-5 record in the Big 12. Not even close to being on the bubble right now; assuming they don’t completely go in the tank in the final month, they should be an at-large lock.

  Aaron Fitt
2:48
[Comment From New YorkerNew Yorker: ] 

St. John’s heating up in the BE

Monday April 23, 2018 2:48 New Yorker
 
Kendall Rogers: 

New Yorker — I noticed that earlier today — the Johnnies suddenly have a nice winning streak going. That could be a really dangerous team in the postseason with Kevin Magee, Sean Mooney leading that pitching staff. The Big East could very well be a two-bid league this year, and I think the Johnnies would be a dangerous team to draw in the postseason.

  Kendall Rogers
2:48
[Comment From WilliamWilliam: ] 

Kendall I know you can’t really say names but do you think Cohen has a #1 candidate picked out yet? Hearing rumblings he’s got something lined up already. Feel like it’s still a bit early to think that’s all wrapped up.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:48 William
 
Kendall Rogers: 

There is nothing wrapped up in the Miss. State search. Anyone saying that has no clue what they’re talking about. John will vet candidates well throughout the season, but a decision made right now? Would be foolish without doing interviews.

  Kendall Rogers
2:50
[Comment From JohnJohn: ] 

With some surprising sweeps in the SEC this past weekend, there are now 8 teams that are within 2.0 games of the #13 seed in the conference. Who do you think joins Alabama and doesn’t get an invite to Hoover?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:50 John
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Obviously all of these teams are capable of beating each other in a given week, so it’s not easy to predict… but if I had to make a prediction, I’d go Alabama, Tennessee, South Carolina and Mississippi State to miss out on Hoover. But really, who knows?

  Aaron Fitt
2:50
[Comment From OC Diamond GuyOC Diamond Guy: ] 

Looks like Miami’s nation-leading 30+ Win Season streak will end this year. Will Fullerton get to 30+ wins for the 44th consecutive season?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:50 OC Diamond Guy
 
Kendall Rogers: 

I think Fullerton will get to the 30-plus win mark, and I think the Titans will end up winning the Big West automatic bid. That was a nice series win over Hawaii this past weekend. We’ll likely be making the flip back to CSF as our auto bid over Hawaii.

  Kendall Rogers
2:50
[Comment From KDKD: ] 

Can Texas Tech still be a National Seed if they dont win the Big 12 regular season title?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:50 KD
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Absolutely.

  Kendall Rogers
2:53
[Comment From TealNationFollowerTealNationFollower: ] 

What do the CCU Chanticleers need to do for the rest of the regular season to secure a regional? Do they have to win the Sun Belt tournament or is their regular season resume enough?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:53 TealNationFollower
 
Aaron Fitt: 

The Chants took a fall back in the RPI after a 2-2 week; now they’re down to No. 24, which would put them on the wrong side of the hosting bubble. Such is life for a mid-major. That final series against 11-28 App State is going to be an RPI killer, so Coastal really doesn’t have much room for error if they want to host. They’ve got to finish red-hot. As Mark Etheridge has repeatedly pointed out, the last few years all of the hosts have come from the top 17 or so in the RPI, so if you’re in the 20s and you’re not a West team, your chances are not very good.

  Aaron Fitt
2:54
[Comment From WilliamWilliam: ] 

Is Ole Miss now the favorite in the SEC West based on their remaining schedule?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:54 William
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Hm, maybe so. Ole Miss’ remaining schedule is slightly more favorable than Arkansas’. But it’s almost a coin toss for me.

  Aaron Fitt
2:55
[Comment From GregGreg: ] 

Now that Tennessee Tech is in the top 25 in most polls and 25th in RPI, do you see them as a potential at large bid?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:55 Greg
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Absolutely. That 25-game winning streak gives them serious cachet, and I like that they’re 12-3 against the top 100. Right now they’d be a no-brainer at-large team, and as long as they can keep that RPI from tumbling outside the top 50, they should be in.

  Aaron Fitt
2:56
[Comment From JasonJason: ] 

Guys I wanted to get yall’s thoughts on the job that Josh Holliday and Rob Walton are doing so far with this Oklahoma State team. When you take into consideration the injury’s that they have suffer in the pitching staff, not having Jenson Elliott, Parker Scott, Mithcell Stone and Brett Standlee who they had pegged as there closer.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:56 Jason
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Jason — Those guys do an excellent job, and Josh predicted the Cowboys would make a big run when we spoke a few weeks ago. OSU is trending the right direction and could even get into the hosting discussion with a strong finish to the regular season. It wasn’t that long ago OSU looked in pretty rough shape from an RPI standpoint. Strong finish as usual for the Pokes. Like clockwork.

  Kendall Rogers
2:57
[Comment From RobertRobert: ] 

After State’s MASSIVE sweep over the Razorbacks, their RPI is up to 46. What needs to be done the rest of the way to feel good about an at-large bid? Thanks

Monday April 23, 2018 2:57 Robert
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Tough remaining schedule: vs. A&M, at Alabama, at Kentucky, vs. Florida. If they win two of those four and get to 14 SEC wins, they should have a real shot. To feel really good? Win three of those series and get to 15 or 16 conference wins. I think the RPI will continue to climb against that finishing schedule.

  Aaron Fitt
2:58
[Comment From NE baseballNE baseball: ] 

How does UConn look seeding wise? Are they a low 1 or a strong 2 in your eyes? I expect them to drop a couple games they shouldn’t this week with all the injuries, but everyone is expected to be back by early May.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:58 NE baseball
 
Kendall Rogers: 

NE — Right now, I would say UCONN is a one seed, and at worst, an extremely high two seed. I would lean a one right now — the Huskies have done nothing to lose a host site and I’m not sure anyone has taken it fro them this week.

  Kendall Rogers
2:58
[Comment From Chris HChris H: ] 

In the latest Field of 64, Connecticut was slated to host a regional at Fenway Park – is there any truth behind this? Considering BC/FSU played there over the weekend it doesn’t seem like it would be out of the question, but it would still be surprising.

Monday April 23, 2018 2:58 Chris H
 
Aaron Fitt: 

That was based on Kendall’s conversation with Jim Penders, who said the Huskies were hoping to submit a bid to host at Fenway. We’ll try to follow up on that to see how that plan is coming together.

  Aaron Fitt
2:59
[Comment From RGNCJNRGNCJN: ] 

The Cajun bats are starting to come alive and pitching has finally settled into a routine rotation with Schmidt leading the way. What are Louisiana’s chances at making the field of 64? Is their only chance winning the conference tournament, which they host in Lafayette this year?

Monday April 23, 2018 2:59 RGNCJN
 
Kendall Rogers: 

RGN — The RPI needs to get better, but you’re right, they are trending up. I noticed that upward trending RPI this past weekend and those guys seem to be playing a much better brand of baseball overall. There’s still time for the Cajuns to get into striking distance for an AL bid with an RPI of 69, but I would win that conference tournament and not put my chips on a 50-60-ish RPI.

  Kendall Rogers
3:00
[Comment From GrantGrant: ] 

Thoughts on who is going to end up taking the big 12 title? Still some HUGE series left to play.

Monday April 23, 2018 3:00 Grant
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Texas Tech has three tough finishing series: at TCU, vs. Texas, at Oklahoma State… definitely not the easiest path, considering they’re already trailing in the standings (10-5)… but ultimately I just think the Raiders are the best team, and they’re gonna find a way to get it done.

  Aaron Fitt
3:01
[Comment From TECHSanTECHSan: ] 

Learned this week that Aaron is an Eagles fan. What a great surprise that was!! GO BIRDS! SB52CHAPMS! Back2Back….hopefully….

Monday April 23, 2018 3:01 TECHSan
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Get lost, Roons! Go Pats!

  Aaron Fitt
3:03
[Comment From LowTideLowTide: ] 

Wheels seem to have fallen off for Alabama. Any chance they can turn this around? and is there any help out there on the horizon for a team that is lacking a bunch of SEC-quality players?

Monday April 23, 2018 3:03 LowTide
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Low — the Tide can turn it around, but they’ll need to win some games. You aren’t making the postseason as an SEC team with an RPI in the 60s. Bama still has trips to Arkansas and LSU on the schedule, along with home series against MSU and Ole Miss. If I am being honest, I’m not really liking the Tide’s chances very much.

  Kendall Rogers
3:04
[Comment From JeffJeff: ] 

At this point in their 2015 national-championship season, injury-plagued UVa was 26-15 and 9-12 in the ACC, and they looked almost sure to miss the postseason. Here in injury-plagued 2018, they’re 24-17 and once again 9-12 in the ACC…but in this weekend’s Louisville series showed a glimmer of turning things around. What do you see them having to do from here out to make regionals this year?

Monday April 23, 2018 3:04 Jeff
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Interesting side-by-side comparison — and a great reminder of just how unlikely that 2015 title run was. What an insane turnaround. But no, I don’t think this team is going to follow in the footsteps of the 2015 team. Brandon Waddell, Josh Sborz and Connor Jones ain’t walking through that door. Remember that the 2015 team was preseason No. 2 or something; they had elite talent and just took a while to get healthy and to gel. This team doesn’t have that kind of talent. But you’re right, they showed some life this weekend, and that was a season-saving road series win. Still got work to do in the RPI, just No. 74, and still just 9-12 in the ACC. They’ve got vs. Clemson, vs. Ga Tech, at Wake Forest left. Win all three series to get to 15-15 in the league, and they’ll probably have a shot.

  Aaron Fitt
3:04
Aaron Fitt: 

OK folks, great chat today, thanks for stopping by! That’s all I’ve got time for. See you next week.

Monday April 23, 2018 3:04 Aaron Fitt
3:04
[Comment From Adam CAdam C: ] 

Where do you guys see USF ending up? Can they make their way into being a 1 or 2 seed?

Monday April 23, 2018 3:04 Adam C
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Adam — USF has an RPI of 21 and some really solid wins, so it absolutely is in the mix for a host site right now. But I would say the Bulls need to win their three remaining series against Memphis, Wichita State and Cincinnati to be in solid shape entering the American tournament. That WSU series in two weeks is going to be big for both teams, IMO. The Shocks need some wins after dropping all three at UH this past weekend.

  Kendall Rogers
3:07
[Comment From Ag23Ag23: ] 

Rough week for my ags. What do they need to do to get back in the hosting discussion and I know it’s a pipe dream at this point but what do they need to do to get a top 8 seed?

Monday April 23, 2018 3:07 Ag23
 
Kendall Rogers: 

AG23 — The Aggies are still in the hosting discussion, but I’d probably have them out after losing a series to a below average Tennessee team. The good news for A&M is that it still has an RPI of 14 with remaining series against Arkansas, Florida (at home), Mississippi State and South Carolina (at home). I will say that A&M needs to win the MSU and South Carolina series and maybe upset Ark or UF in one of those other two series to secure a host site.

  Kendall Rogers
3:09
[Comment From ColonialDawgColonialDawg: ] 

La Tech went 4-0 this week, winning on the road at a hot ULL and on the road at Marshall for a series sweep. The RPI jumped from 72 to 50. Had Rice been allowed to finish the FAU game, they would of jumped into the top 100 to giving La Tech another three top 100 wins. What RPI number does Tech need to target, how many top 100 wins does it need, and does another win over ULL this week plus another road series sweep in CUSA get Tech ranked again with you guys? Basically, it seems that Tech’s season will boil down to not dropping any more series, including winning the series on the road at Southern Miss? Or do things look better than that? Has the #2 ERA team been left out of the tourney before?

Monday April 23, 2018 3:09 ColonialDawg
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Colonial,
I think La Tech will be one of those teams that ranks very well with the RAC (regional adversity committee). They definitely pass the eyeball test, and as you mentioned, the Bulldogs have some big-time arms. With that said, with an RPI of 50 and just 5-5 vs. RPI Top 100, La Tech will need to finish very strong. I would say they can’t afford to lose another series in the regular season. If they go 4-0 these next four — they will get in, IMO.

  Kendall Rogers
3:14
[Comment From GlennGlenn: ] 

Did Charleston seriously hurt their at large chances getting swept at Hofstra and is Northeastern now in the drivers seat to finish in first in the CAA.

Monday April 23, 2018 3:14 Glenn
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Glenn — Sure did. A CAA team with an RPI in the 60s isn’t getting into the field. Charleston will need to finish the regular season very strong to get back into the at-large mix. The Cougars are on the board right now, but likely out this week.

  Kendall Rogers
3:15
[Comment From GusGus: ] 

3 new teams in Top 25 this week… who are the next 3 on your radar that we should be aware of?

Monday April 23, 2018 3:15 Gus
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Gus — Some teams we discussed this week: Auburn, Florida Atlantic, Michigan and Ohio State. I would say all four of those teams are pretty equal on our radar right now. Keep an eye on them over the next week.

  Kendall Rogers
3:16
[Comment From WalterWalter: ] 

The AAC is currently 4th in conference RPI. How many teams do you believe make it to the post-season?

Monday April 23, 2018 3:16 Walter
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Walter — I think it would be a four-bid league right now with someone like UCF narrowly make it in. Could be a three-bid league as well. Close race for UCF as that final AL. Of course, if UH wins the automatic bid, it’ll definitely be a four-bid league barring a huge surprise.

  Kendall Rogers
3:17
[Comment From ChrisChris: ] 

I need some ECU talk. Are they in great shape to host baring a collapse and what needs to happen to be a National Seed?

Monday April 23, 2018 3:17 Chris
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Chris — Everything looking good for ECU right now. The Pirates should win their next three series, which likely sets up a terrific showdown against UCONN to end the regular season.

  Kendall Rogers
3:19
[Comment From ReedReed: ] 

Is Auburn back in the discussion for a host site?

Monday April 23, 2018 3:19 Reed
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Reed — It would be not wrong to put AU’s name into the hat, but I want to see how it navigates this final stretch of brutal games. Series still remain against Florida (2), Vanderbilt (23), Ole Miss (5) and LSU (58). On one hand, things could go way south in a hurry. On the other, the Tigers could surge like no other. Fascinating finish.

  Kendall Rogers
3:20
Kendall Rogers: 

All right all. that’s all the time we have today.

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Monday April 23, 2018 3:20 Kendall Rogers
 
 

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