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Top 25 Chat: April 30

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  Top 25 Chat: April 30 (04/30/2018) 
9:52
Kendall Rogers: 

Our Kendall Rogers and Aaron Fitt will take all your burning questions a little later today at 2 PM ET. Until then, get your questions in the system!

Monday April 30, 2018 9:52 Kendall Rogers
2:01
Aaron Fitt: 

Hi everybody. Let’s dive right in.

Monday April 30, 2018 2:01 Aaron Fitt
2:03
[Comment From WilliamWilliam: ] 

With 3 series left plus Hoover what does Mississippi State need to do to make a regional? Would an RPI in the 40’s get them in with only 12/13 SEC wins? Thanks

Monday April 30, 2018 2:03 William
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Typically, 12 or 13 SEC wins and an RPI in the 40s isn’t good enough for an SEC team to get an at-large. Now, Mississippi State has a lot of high-end wins (9-7 vs. the top 25), which makes their case rather unique, so maybe they could get in with that kind of resume. But I’ll feel better about their chances if they can get to 14 SEC wins (with series left at Alabama, at Kentucky, vs. Florida, I feel like they really need to sweep that Bama series to have a great shot).

  Aaron Fitt
2:05
[Comment From JasonJason: ] 

Is Texas Tech still a top 8 seed? And what do they have to do to stay there or get back there?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:05 Jason
 
Aaron Fitt: 

We’ll break it down in tomorrow’s field of 64 projection and Nerdcast… but yeah, Texas Tech is still safe for a top 8 seed, with that No. 3 RPI, good SOS and lots of top 50 wins. They just need to make sure they don’t fall too far back in the conference standings, but it’s hard to envision a team with an RPI that high not getting a national seed.

  Aaron Fitt
2:07
Kendall Rogers: 

Hey guys — sorry for the delay. Had to pick up the little guy before chatting. Let’s rock and roll.

Monday April 30, 2018 2:07 Kendall Rogers
2:08
[Comment From DillonDillon: ] 

Do you truly believe the Beavers are the 3rd best team in the nation? 128 SOS is crap to me…. Don’t get me wrong, I couldn’t be happier that my Beavs are top 3. But is it deserving?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:08 Dillon
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Sure it’s deserving. They scheduled well, they tried to put together a challenging slate, with series against name-brand opponents like Fullerton and Missouri State (an Omaha team and a super regional team last year), plus games against Ohio State and Nebraska and New Mexico. It’s not OSU’s fault that Nebraska and UNM have had down years, that Fullerton’s only a couple games over .500, and that the bottom of the Pac-12 stinks this year, dragging down their SOS ranking. But Oregon State is a really good team, they proved that last year when they went 56-6 and reached the final four, and the core of that team is the same. Yes, they’re really good, regardless of SOS.

  Aaron Fitt
2:09
[Comment From TVTV: ] 

Should we start to worry any about Texas Tech or was this just a rough week playing against a good Arkansas team and a desperate TCU team. Are they still looking good for a national seed?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:09 TV
 
Kendall Rogers: 

TV,
I think Texas Tech is still looking pretty good for a national seed, but the next few week aren’t easy with Texas and Oklahoma State on the schedule. Should the Red Raiders lose both of those series, I have little doubt they’d move out as a top eight. Win the Texas series and lose the OSU series, and things would be interesting going into the Big 12 tournament. Tech still has a really solid resume and it certainly passes the eyeball test. But Davis Martin needs to be more consistent and 14 walks out of the pitching staff yesterday is obviously something to keep an eye on entering the Texas series. I was very very encouraged by Caleb Kilian’s start over the weekend. He was terrific.

  Kendall Rogers
2:11
[Comment From jbjb: ] 

I have to think SC is in at this point because they are have been really good the past 2 weekends and are finally healthy but where does Clemson fall in the hosting picture?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:11 jb
 
Kendall Rogers: 

I have a feeling we will end up putting the Gamecocks in our field, but let’s see how the metrics shake out. Clearly, SC has gone up in the RPI and made a loud statement over the past few weeks, while a team such as LSU, for instance, is trending the wrong direction. Clemson is in very good shape for a host site right now, IMO. In the mix for a top eight now.

  Kendall Rogers
2:11
[Comment From BrendonBrendon: ] 

Is David Esquer your leading candidate for National COY? First year on the job and 33-6 with a #2 ranking. He came into a very talented situation but they have turned a lineup that was below average last year into a lineup with some actual thump. I know their preseason ranking was high but he has to be on the short list, correct?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:11 Brendon
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Esquer is definitely on the short list, no question about it. He’s done an amazing job with that team. Other guys on the short list for me: Josh Holliday (he might be my front-runner at the moment, given when he’s done with a very young Oklahoma State team); John Savage (incredible how well he’s steered UCLA through its sea of injuries); Mike Fox, Elliott Avent and Chris Pollard, depending on how the ACC race shakes out (they’ve all done great jobs for various reasons); maybe somebody like a Jim Penders or a John Anderson.

  Aaron Fitt
2:12
[Comment From Cole WCole W: ] 

Is there a chance that Matt Deggs leaves SHSU in the off-season for Rice or another school?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:12 Cole W
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Rice would be incredibly smart to take a hard look at Matt Deggs, but I still think Kirk Saarloos is the top choice at Rice. With that said, Joe Karlgaard obviously hasn’t made his mind up in April, so stay tuned. Very fluid situation. I’d also keep an eye on DBU’s Dan Heefner for that gig, while they’ll also give Lance Berkman a shot, too. Contrary to popular belief, Lance doesn’t have some huge leg up on those guys. Far from it, actually.

  Kendall Rogers
2:12
[Comment From HonkyTonkHonkyTonk: ] 

What are the chances Wisconsin can pull it together and maybe come out of the B1G Tournament with an auto bid?….

Monday April 30, 2018 2:12 HonkyTonk
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I think St. Peter’s is more likely to snap its 71-game losing streak.

  Aaron Fitt
Kendall Rogers: 

I can’t believe Fitt would treat my Peacocks like that.

  Kendall Rogers
2:14
[Comment From BrendonBrendon: ] 

There are no such things as Omaha locks but let’s have some fun. Based on your field of 64 projections and the way you feel the seeding would fall today/how teams are playing. Can you give us 4 teams you are most confident in at this moment to make it to Omaha? Don’t be scared!

Monday April 30, 2018 2:14 Brendon
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Brendon,

Florida
Stanford
Arkansas
Oregon State

I feel like OSU and Arkansas both have some really nice components at the plate, but obviously have issues at times on the mound, it seems. But I still think both of them will have big success in the postseason.

  Kendall Rogers
2:15
[Comment From LeviLevi: ] 

How far can Oregon State go with mediocre Saturday and Sunday starting pitching?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:15 Levi
 
Aaron Fitt: 

It’s a valid question. And there are a bunch of teams in our top 10 that have mediocre starting pitching, frankly (UNC and NC State and Clemson all fit that description, I’d say). Strange how the paradigm seems to be shifting in college baseball — the traditional model of three workhorse weekend starters seems to be getting less common, and more teams are piecing it together with their bullpens. I’m sure the influence of analytics has a lot to do with this — big league teams have found that starters drop off in a huge way their third time through a lineup, and I’m sure the same is probably true in college baseball.

  Aaron Fitt
2:15
[Comment From TomTom: ] 

I think the Tenn Tech Coach should be a candidate for the MSU job. What say you. Thanks.

Monday April 30, 2018 2:15 Tom
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Tom,
John Cohen has a prior relationship with Matt Bragga, and I know he has a ton of respect for the job he’s done at TTU. But MSU has too many huge names interested in the position to go after Bragga at this point. But I agree that he should get a shot at a better overall job. Stay tuned.

  Kendall Rogers
2:16
[Comment From NBNB: ] 

Think there’s a shot at Tennessee Tech hosting? I don’t know what their facilities are in terms of what’s available in the area, but I can’t imagine them not being in the discussion if they win out the regular season (including a win at Vandy).

Monday April 30, 2018 2:16 NB
 
Kendall Rogers: 

NB — Probably to. I spoke briefly with Coach Bragga last week, and he seemed to joke about the ability for TTU to actually be able to host at its home ballpark. I do think the Minor League park in Johnson City could be used, but I’m not sure I see the RPI staying high enough to host.

  Kendall Rogers
2:17
[Comment From BrendonBrendon: ] 

Who wins the Pac-12? Safe to assume we all agree Oregon State is the most dangerous postseason Pac-12 team if fully healthy. But Stanford and UCLA have a 2 game lead in the conference standings with 12 games to go. Is there enough cushion there to where one of you would declare Stanford or UCLA the favorite to win the Pac-12 over Oregon State?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:17 Brendon
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I’m not so sure Oregon State will be more dangerous in the postseason than Stanford and UCLA; I think they’re all Omaha-caliber teams, and Stanford strikes me as the most complete of the bunch. Given remaining schedules, I would bet on Stanford as the favorite to win the conference title.

  Aaron Fitt
2:17
[Comment From WilliamWilliam: ] 

Rank these 3 on likelihood of making the tournament. Missouri, Mississippi State, LSU

Monday April 30, 2018 2:17 William
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Missouri, Mississippi State, LSU. I see LSU losing the Arkansas and Auburn series, and needing to do some serious work in Hoover. Of course, the Tigers have been pretty good in Hoover.

  Kendall Rogers
2:18
[Comment From Da RealistDa Realist: ] 

What has Stanford done to be #2?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:18 Da Realist
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Is this a serious question or a troll? I mean, they’re 33-6, and No. 2 in the RPI, with a No. 23 SOS. They won 3-of-4 on the road at Texas, and 3-of-4 vs. Big Ten leader Michigan, and swept Big West leader Fullerton, and they’re tied for first in the Pac. So… yeah.

  Aaron Fitt
2:19
[Comment From BobBob: ] 

How do you see the AAC shaping out? Are there teams that are guaranteed a regional spot already (Uconn, USF, ECU)? Can Wichita really get into a regional being under .500 in the AAC?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:19 Bob
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Bob,
I think we all at D1B still feel pretty good about the teams you mentioned being in the postseason, while I’d also throw UCF into that mix, though not a total slam dunk at this point. As for WSU, I don’t care what its RPI is, I don’t think the Shockers are getting in if they finish 3-4 games under .500 in the AAC. I’m fascinated to see how they finish the regular season. They certainly look the part in person.

  Kendall Rogers
2:20
[Comment From Mashed PotatoesMashed Potatoes: ] 

Feels like Tyler Dyson has hit the wall a bit in the first full season as a starter. But with Jack Leftwich on a roll as of late, how do you think Sully plays with those two going forward?Does he platoon them as that third weekend starter, or would the best thing actually be to give Dyson 2-3 weeks of spot bullpen duty in order to rejuvenate him for the postseason?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:20 Mashed Potatoes
 
Aaron Fitt: 

After the way Leftwich pitched on Sunday, I think it makes sense to roll with him in that spot for the time being, and you can always adjust later on. Maybe you build back Dyson’s confidence in the bullpen and see where you’re at come June. Maybe he sticks in the bullpen and then you could have a pretty special one-two punch with Byrne and Dyson, really shorten games.

  Aaron Fitt
2:22
[Comment From WoodshedkingWoodshedking: ] 

With 11 games left and the conference tournament, what does Southern Miss have to do to host a regional?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:22 Woodshedking
 
Aaron Fitt: 

The issue is the RPI — Southern Miss is No. 33, and considering the bad RPI teams in their conference, I don’t think the math is going to work out for them to climb into the top 20, which is where a Southeast team really needs to be to have any real shot to host these days. Heck, the RPI Needs Report at Boyd’s World says USM needs to win 11 or 12 of its final 13 games just to finish the regular season in the top 32. RPI math is working strongly against USM’s hosting chances.

  Aaron Fitt
2:26
[Comment From GoNolesGoNoles: ] 

Just about all the media coverage in Tallahassee revolves around Martin Sr. becoming the all-time winning-est college coach and rightfully so, however, nobody seems to inquire about Martin’s future. He is not under contract for next year. What is your take on his future in Tallahassee??

Monday April 30, 2018 2:26 GoNoles
 
Kendall Rogers: 

I would think that Martin will get to leave when he wants to leave as long as the Seminoles continue to win at a high level. Wayne Graham is being ushered out of Rice because they are trending the right direction. That isn’t the case at FSU. I’ll be intrigued to see what 11 decides after the season.

  Kendall Rogers
2:28
[Comment From StretchyStretchy: ] 

Do you really think Duke will host? I don’t

Monday April 30, 2018 2:28 Stretchy
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Duke would not host as of today — but finish strong in the regular season and do well in the ACC tournament? It’s absolutely possible. The RPI is within range.

  Kendall Rogers
2:28
[Comment From NewbyNewby: ] 

Help this newcomer understand why the SEC is so highly regarded this year. Is it past history of success nationally or personnel or something else?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:28 Newby
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I think you can start by looking at performance in nonconference play — the SEC has a .768 winning percentage in nonconference, compared with .660 for the ACC, .627 for the Big 12, .611 for the Pac-12, .642 for the American, .578 for the Big Ten. That’s a pretty significant gap between the SEC and everybody else, and it’s not like they haven’t challenged themselves, as much as West Coast homers want to spin it that way — Ole Miss, Arkansas and Vanderbilt all made trips to the west coast. Kentucky and Arkansas both played Texas Tech for a total of five games. Kentucky, Vandy and Mississippi State all went to that big Shriners College Classic. Etc etc — there are lots of examples of SEC teams testing themselves in nonconference, and they fared better than anybody else. Also, yes, they have far and away the most talent on their rosters than any other league this year, especially on the mound. The pitching talent blows everybody else away.

  Aaron Fitt
2:32
[Comment From BobBob: ] 

It’s looking like the Pac 12 may be a 3-bid league with three very strong teams at the top. Any chance UW can sneak in?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:32 Bob
 
Aaron Fitt: 

It is looking like that — a gloomy picture for the West. Washington has a good enough conference mark (11-7), but they’re just one game over .500 overall and 88 in the RPI — they need to win more games and get that RPI up into the 50s. So they have a chance, but they need to earn it — they can’t expect it to be given to them, just because they’re fourth in the Pac. Arizona could get itself back on the right track with a series win against UCLA this weekend too — that’s a huge series. I’m not writing off the Wildcats yet — but boy, losing a series to a 10-28 Utah team this past weekend was pretty brutal. Regional-caliber teams take care of business when they’re facing 10-28 opponents. So if the Pac only gets 3 teams in, it will have nobody to blame but itself — there’s no vast anti-West conspiracy. They don’t have enough teams that are taking care of business, it’s that simple.

  Aaron Fitt
2:32
[Comment From Cowtown BillCowtown Bill: ] 

The series win against Tech was good, but it still seems to me like the Frogs can’t get enough remaining quality wins to get a bid, short of winning the Conference tournament. Agree or disagree?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:32 Cowtown Bill
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Cowtown,
TCU would have to win the rest of its games just to finish in the Top 45 in the RPI. Basically, TCU needs to win its remaining series, sweep Lamar, and do some damage in OKC to get an at-large bid. Still a long shot at this point, though, as the Tech series didn’t do a ton for its RPI. BTW — look for Jake Eissler to move into the weekend rotation this coming weekend.

  Kendall Rogers
2:33
[Comment From tylerbeagle34tylerbeagle34: ] 

How do you feel about South Carolina after a sweep of LSU last weekend and a series win at Vandy this past weekend?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:33 tylerbeagle34
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Tyler,
The Gamecocks are starting to play a very good and consistent brand of baseball. The remaining schedule certainly is not easy, but this team is trending the right direction at the right time and would be on the positive side of the bubble, ahead of Mississippi State and LSU. It’s interesting how quickly things can change in the SEC and the postseason picture in general.

  Kendall Rogers
2:35
[Comment From Clayton #WPSClayton #WPS: ] 

Granted you never complain about a 4-0 week and a sweep in the SEC and were without Cronin but should Hogs be concerned about the bullpen if they seriously want to win a title. Walked 15 guys and 6 straight in 3rd inning Sunday or just relax?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:35 Clayton #WPS
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I’d probably lean toward “just relax,” but at this point in the season it’s a fair question. They’ve got some great arms, but maybe not as consistent with the strike-throwing as you’d like to see. Still, they’ve got so much depth that they should be able to just run in somebody else if one guy struggles to find the zone. I’m not worried about it.

  Aaron Fitt
2:39
[Comment From BenBen: ] 

Hey guys! Who gets to come out to Corvallis next weekend? If you had to pick right now, who wins that series? Who would you guys predict is gonna be the “MVP” of the series? Thanks!!

Monday April 30, 2018 2:39 Ben
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I’ll be there, and can’t wait for that one. Hard to bet against the Beavers at home, but I do think Stanford has a clear edge in the rotation, so I think it could definitely go either way. I’ll take Madrigal as the series MVP, he’s a big-time player who raises his game on the big stage.

  Aaron Fitt
2:40
[Comment From PaulPaul: ] 

With the series win(should’ve been a sweep) @Ohio State this weekend has Minnesota pretty well punched their ticket to the field of 64? Should be a lot of fun at Siebert this weekend with Indiana coming to town.

Monday April 30, 2018 2:40 Paul
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Paul,
Minnesota is obviously in very good shape to get into the NCAA tournament right now with an RPI of 28 and a strong Big Ten record. The Gophers are now trying to get into the hosting mix. Right now, they’re probably just outside of the range, but a series win over the Hoosiers would make things mighty interesting to say the least. Keep an eye on these guys down the stretch.

  Kendall Rogers
2:43
[Comment From BrandonBrandon: ] 

South Carolina has three series remaining, Ole Miss and Mizzou come to Columbia, then they travel to A&M. How do you see them finishing? Good enough to make the tourney? Also, if the bats stay hot and the starting pitching starts to figure it out, how far could this team go?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:43 Brandon
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Yeah, at this point I feel pretty confident that South Carolina will finish strong enough to get into a regional. They’re playing so much better right now, more like the team we expected they’d be in the preseason, when we projected them as a regional 2-seed. They’ve got enough talent and experience in the lineup to be dangerous in the postseason, though it still doesn’t strike me as an Omaha team. But then, it’s all about getting hot at the right time, playing your best in the postseason. No reason South Carolina couldn’t make a deep run if it is hot in June.

  Aaron Fitt
2:44
[Comment From robrob: ] 

Where does Iowa stand after the series win against Michigan?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:44 rob
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Rob,
Iowa continues to trend the right direction after that series win, but the RPI is still a little iffy at 45. The Hawkeyes would certainly be in as of today, but I don’t think they can afford to let their guard down, down the stretch. That series against Oklahoma State this weekend at home is massive. Win that series and it would be really hard to deny Iowa, IMO.

  Kendall Rogers
2:45
[Comment From FanofD1baseballFanofD1baseball: ] 

Huge fan of you all and great insight to college baseball. Do you expect the BIG12 to have more than 2 hosts this year? seems to show that TTU still is a good sport for national seed and OSU cant do no wrong right now in getting a host spot..

Monday April 30, 2018 2:45 FanofD1baseball
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Thanks for the kind words. It feels like the Big 12 is on course to get two hosts — Texas Tech and probably Oklahoma State, especially if the Cowboys can win the regular-season title. Texas and Oklahoma still have a shot, but they both took steps backward this past weekend, and I don’t love their chances.

  Aaron Fitt
2:46
[Comment From JimJim: ] 

Was watching the Beavers games this weekend and was wondering how Trevor Larch is looking for the draft. Is he continuing to move up the boards in the 1st rd? What are you hearing?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:46 Jim
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I do think scouts in the West view him as a potential first-rounder. I think he definitely goes inside the top 50 picks, and it wouldn’t surprise me if he goes in the back half of the first somewhere. One of the best bats in this draft, exciting upside there.

  Aaron Fitt
2:47
[Comment From JohnJohn: ] 

If Texas finishes 3-5 in their last 8 games and is 33-22 overall and 13-11 in the big 12, do they still easily get in the tournament or would they have work to do in the big 12 tourney?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:47 John
 
Kendall Rogers: 

John — I still think Texas would make the tournament at that point because the RPI would be pretty good. Being two games above .500 in conference would be the big key, but it might adjust their seeding in a regional.

  Kendall Rogers
2:50
[Comment From MarkMark: ] 

I typed up a nicely worded question last week, but y’all ran out of time, so I’ll be brief this week. Baylor. Discuss.

Monday April 30, 2018 2:50 Mark
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Steve Rodriguez is doing another great coaching job — this team is definitely figuring it out in the second half. Some of it is just young guys coming into their own — freshmen Nick Loftin and Davion Downey had big weekends for the Bears, and Andy Thomas has emerged as a nice middle-of-the-order piece as a sophomore. I know Kansas State doesn’t much for arms, but Baylor just pounded those guys, and they scored enough against TCU too — and the Frogs do have arms. That offense just looks transformed.

  Aaron Fitt
2:51
[Comment From CayceCayce: ] 

If N.C. State wins the remaining two ACC series (Wake Forrest at home and FSU away) plus a decent showing in the ACC tournament. Would that put them back on track to host a Super?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:51 Cayce
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Sure. I really don’t think one bad weekend has totally sunk NC State’s national seed chances. They’re still very much in the hunt; they’ve had a great season.

  Aaron Fitt
2:53
[Comment From OmaHogsOmaHogs: ] 

So is Missouri State totally out of the national picture now? We have developed a huge rivalry with them and I wanted revenge for the loss in the regional last year. Do you see them making the tourney? And will they play in Fayetteville or will the 2 seed be OSU?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:53 OmaHogs
 
Kendall Rogers: 

OmaHogs,
Missouri State is still very much in the mix for an at-large spot, though it has very little wiggle room for major setbacks. The Bears are 51 in the RPI and lead the MVC right now, so the latter is a huge plus. But I can’t get over the 2-7 mark vs. RPI Top 50. That series at DBU to end the regular season is a must-win to get into the postseason without an automatic berth.

  Kendall Rogers
2:54
[Comment From PiratePirate: ] 

How much did the sweep by Houston hurt ECU’s hosting chances?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:54 Pirate
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Pirate — I still think ECU is in fine shape right now to host a regional. ECU has some very good front-line wins, including a series win over North Carolina, along with a good overall resume. But there’s no doubt that series sweep to UH hurt their resume. They’re likely out of a top eight for now and hosting isn’t as much of a slam dunk as it was a few days ago.

  Kendall Rogers
2:54
[Comment From StevenSteven: ] 

What does Auburn have to do to be ranked? They have 31 wins against the 9th ranked strength of schedule, which is better than most teams that are ranked, hence their 6th place RPI ranking. Secondly, if Auburn can win its 3 remaining series vs Vandy, at Ole Miss, vs LSU (no small task), is there a chance at receiving a host bid? For the record I think this years version of the Tigers is better than last year, which was 1 strike away from hosting a Super Regional against Sam Houston State

Monday April 30, 2018 2:54 Steven
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Well, we didn’t have room to bring anybody into the rankings this week, but you’ll never see us bring in a team that just lost its weekend series, even if it was on the road against the No. 1 team in the country. But ultimately, Auburn’s body of work is pretty nice, as you pointed out, and if they win that Vandy series I like their chances to get back in the Top 25. We still think the key for Auburn’s hosting chances is to finish with a winning record in conference play, so that means a 6-3 finish against that tough remaining schedule. I could see them pulling it off, but I’m probably not betting on it.

  Aaron Fitt
2:56
[Comment From TateTate: ] 

What are the teams you feel are in competition to grab the 15th and 16th seeds for hosting? Texas A&M and Texas in the mix for those slots? A&M’s daunting remaining schedule may keep them just on the outside in my opinion.

Monday April 30, 2018 2:56 Tate
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Right now, teams in the mix for a final few host spots include Kentucky, Georgia, East Carolina, Texas A&M and Indiana. Texas took a big step back with that series loss to WVU.

  Kendall Rogers
2:58
[Comment From NeuNeu: ] 

What’s the lowest Northeastern’s rpi can drop to still get an at large

Monday April 30, 2018 2:58 Neu
 
Aaron Fitt: 

The RPI is really what’s propping up Northeastern — they’re just 3-8 against the top 50. So I think they’re probably safe as long as they’re still in the 30s. If they get down into the 40s, I’d probably start to worry.

  Aaron Fitt
2:59
[Comment From Trey HebertTrey Hebert: ] 

If Southern Miss wins out, regular season and conference tournament, do they earn a host site?

Monday April 30, 2018 2:59 Trey Hebert
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Trey — Southern Miss would need to be almost flawless the rest of the way to host. RPI is 33 and there just aren’t many opportunities for good RPI games in the C-USA. That Louisiana Tech series could help, though. I will say this: If USM wins the regular season and tourney titles, and finishes in the Top 25-30 in the RPI, that would make things mighty interesting going into Selection Monday. But right now, USM looks like a classic and strong No. 2 seed.

  Kendall Rogers
3:00
[Comment From HeelHeel: ] 

How high do you think UNC can rise in the national seed pecking order?

Monday April 30, 2018 3:00 Heel
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Suddenly you can envision UNC getting up there into the top three somewhere. They’re winning the ACC, the RPI and SOS are both there… it’s coming together. Kind of amazing that they could very well wind up with a body of work and a seeding that is similar to last year’s No. 2 national seed. Would not have guessed that after the first month of the season.

  Aaron Fitt
3:01
[Comment From CajunsCajuns: ] 

What are the chances that the state of Louisiana gets completely left out of the postseason this year?

Monday April 30, 2018 3:01 Cajuns
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Cajuns,
Wow, that’s a great point. Louisiana Tech has to win that Southern Miss series to have a chance to get in as an at-large team, Tulane is obviously a no-go and Louisiana still has serious work to do with an RPI in the 60s as a Sun Belt team. There’s also LSU, which is likely on the wrong side of the bubble right now, too. So, yeah, as of right now, the state of Louisiana would be left out.

  Kendall Rogers
3:03
Aaron Fitt: 

Lots of great questions still in the queue, but that’s all I’ve got time for this week. Thanks again to all of you for stopping by!

Monday April 30, 2018 3:03 Aaron Fitt
3:04
[Comment From Eric+SimmonsEric+Simmons: ] 

Can Houston get an at large bid? I think they can

Monday April 30, 2018 3:04 Eric+Simmons
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Eric,
I think Houston would still be in the tournament even without the auto bid as of today. Yes, I’d like to see the #Coogs improve that 50 RPI, but 11 wins vs. RPI Top 50 is loud and they obviously lead the American at the moment by a couple of games. UH controls its own destiny, IMO.

  Kendall Rogers
3:07
[Comment From RyanRyan: ] 

UCLA’s issue right now is pretty clearly their RPI. A series against Oregon St. will help, as will this spate of road games. What range do they have to get into to get a top eight seed?

Monday April 30, 2018 3:07 Ryan
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Ryan,
UCLA would need to get in the Top 16 to be a top seed. At the moment, the Needs Report says the Bruins can finish in the Top 16 with 12 wins in their last 15 games, while they actually could finish in the top eight with 14 wins in their last 15. So, yeah, it’s going to be tough to get into the Top 16, but the path is absolutely there.

  Kendall Rogers
3:15
Kendall Rogers: 

That’s all the time we have today — but be sure to hop on board with a D1Baseball.com Subscription with the postseason nearing!

https://d1baseball.com/subs…

Monday April 30, 2018 3:15 Kendall Rogers
 
 

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