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Top 25 Chat: May 21

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  Top 25 Chat: May 21 (05/21/2018) 
8:27
Kendall Rogers: 

Hey all — Kendall and Aaron will be here at 2 PM ET to start answering your questions — but go ahead and leave them now!

Monday May 21, 2018 8:27 Kendall Rogers
2:04
Aaron Fitt: 

Hey everybody, let’s roll!

Monday May 21, 2018 2:04 Aaron Fitt
2:05
[Comment From Austin RAustin R: ] 

Gentlemen – what are your thoughts on Ole Miss and their body of work as it relates to a National Seed (Safe, Work to Do in Hoover, etc)?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:05 Austin R
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Pretty safe, I think. If they go 0-2 and somebody like Clemson or FSU makes a deep run in ACC, I could see one of those teams squeezing past Ole Miss, but I feel pretty good about their chances.

  Aaron Fitt
2:06
[Comment From FredFred: ] 

By losing the series to Ga Tech, did Duke play themselves out of a regional host?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:06 Fred
 
Aaron Fitt: 

It was a setback, but I think they’re still right in the mix. Probably competing with East Carolina and Coastal for one host spot, the way I see it. So the next week could help sort out that little tangle.

  Aaron Fitt
2:08
[Comment From JakeJake: ] 

What does Minnesota have to do in the B1G Tournament to host a Regional? Win 2? Win it All?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:08 Jake
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Honestly after the regular season they’ve had, I think they’ll probably wind up hosting even if they go 0-2. But I think at least one win in the conference tourney ought to be sufficient.

  Aaron Fitt
2:12
Kendall Rogers: 

Sorry for the late arrival. I promise I wasn’t on Rogers time — packing up to head to Hoover here in about two hours.

Monday May 21, 2018 2:12 Kendall Rogers
2:12
[Comment From BobBob: ] 

Looks like there will be a lot of jobs open this year. Too early to guess at the number of openings.?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:12 Bob
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Bob — Too early to predict the number of openings, but we’re already at 7 — and I expect that number to certainly get into the 15-20 range, at minimum.

  Kendall Rogers
2:13
[Comment From BillBill: ] 

Where do you guys see Mississippi State going if they make a regional at this point? With the freshman getting hot and Mangum and Stovall lighting it up at the plate too it could be interesting if they can get in!

Monday May 21, 2018 2:13 Bill
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Bill — I think Miss State has put itself in a situation where it won’t go too far for a regional, where as teams like Kentucky, A&M and LSU are kind of at the mercy of the committee from a slotting standpoint. My hunch is somewhere like Tally for the Bulldogs.

  Kendall Rogers
2:14
[Comment From StanleyStanley: ] 

Missouri State a lock?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:14 Stanley
 
Kendall Rogers: 

I would say Missouri State is in very very good shape right now. 30 RPI with a conference crown in the MVC. Some other metrics, such as Top 50 marks, are pretty blah, but again, they’ve done what they’ve needed to do in league play to be one of the 64 teams. Feel good about them at this point.

  Kendall Rogers
2:15
[Comment From Cowens707Cowens707: ] 

How do you feel about Arkansas being a top 8 seed? Will the road record cause them to miss out despite a great resume otherwoot?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:15 Cowens707
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Cowens — The problem right now is if you bump out Arkansas, who the heck do you replace the Hogs with? Right now, the next team has such an inferior resume to Dave Van Horn’s club. Arkansas is going to have to lose a national seed this week in Hoover. WTS — I am definitely concerned about the road record. You never want to give the committee ammo to bump you down a few notches.

  Kendall Rogers
2:16
[Comment From BectioBectio: ] 

BIG 12 POY: Player A – .389 Avg, 11 HR, 71 RBI, .671 Slugg %, .488 OB% or Player B – .344 Avg, 19 HR, 61 RBI, .703 Slugg %, .437 OB%

Monday May 21, 2018 2:16 Bectio
 
Aaron Fitt: 

That’s a tough one. Player A (Josh Jung) has the higher OPS… Player B has out-slugged him, and done it in a much more pitcher-friendly environment. Jung also has a lot more support on his own team — Grant Little’s numbers are just about as good as Jung’s. The Longhorns would be totally lost without Clemens. So I think I’d vote for him.

  Aaron Fitt
Kendall Rogers: 

Agree with Fitt here. Clemens is clearly the “MVP” of that league, IMO.

  Kendall Rogers
2:16
[Comment From Eric SimmonsEric Simmons: ] 

Can Texas A&M still make the NCAA Tournament if it loses tomorrow?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:16 Eric Simmons
 
Kendall Rogers: 

It can — but the Aggies will need everything to go their way in various conference tournaments that could result in stolen bids. If they win tomorrow, I think they’re probably OK, but that’s a huge IF. A&M has not played well at all as of late.

  Kendall Rogers
2:17
[Comment From DaveDave: ] 

Is the big east a one bid conference if St. John’s loses before the championship round?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:17 Dave
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I think the Johnnies are probably still in good shape for an at-large bid, with a No. 33 RPI and a regular-season conference title. So even if they lose earlier in the conference tourney, I think they’d get an at-large, making it a two-bid league.

  Aaron Fitt
2:17
[Comment From AndrewAndrew: ] 

On a scale of 1 (meditative calm) to 10 (hair on fire panic), how worried should the Gators and their fans be about the recent four game losing streak and sweep in Starkville? Kind of worrisome to see Byrne get so badly beaten up, for example.

Monday May 21, 2018 2:17 Andrew
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Maybe I’m just really naive, but I’m not really worried about the Gators. Let’s see how they play in Hoover. If they struggle there, too, then I’ll wonder a little bit.

  Kendall Rogers
Aaron Fitt: 

I’ll chime in here with an actual answer to your question: 2.

  Aaron Fitt
Kendall Rogers: 

-15 for Fitt.

  Kendall Rogers
2:18
[Comment From Miguel JimenezMiguel Jimenez: ] 

What are your thoughts on Texas hosting a regional in Austin this year?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:18 Miguel Jimenez
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Miguel — I feel pretty good about the Longhorns hosting to say the least. They’re a lock. Conference champs, Top 15 RPI — Texas is closer to being a national seed at this point than not being a host at all, I’d say. Keep an eye on UT in the national seed mix if it rolls through the conference tourney.

  Kendall Rogers
2:20
[Comment From WJWJ: ] 

I guarantee this question comes up more than once today, but where does Arkansas stand in the national seed debate? After once again going 1-2 on the road against an RPI top-5 team, the Hogs’ road record is pretty terrible. Will the committee factor in the strength of the road schedule when choosing the last few national host sites? Lastly, if Arkansas doesn’t have a national seed locked up yet, what does it need to do in SEC Tourney to get one?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:20 WJ
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Oh, I still see the Hogs as a lock for a national seed despite the terrible road record. That 15-6 mark against the top 25 is loud (tied with Florida for best in the country). 20-12 vs. top 50… No. 5 RPI… 18-12 in the SEC. It all adds up to an easy national seed.

  Aaron Fitt
2:21
[Comment From Joraca96Joraca96: ] 

What do you think is next for the West Virginia coaching staff (Dave Serrano , Randy Mazey, Steve Sabins)? Who returns who could land where?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:21 Joraca96
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Joraca — Serrano will be in the mix for the MTSU job, I’m hearing. He has interest and he’s certainly a guy who has had success at a mid-major. Personally, my guy for that job, if he’d go there, would be Matt Bragga. He’s done a great job at TTU this year.

  Kendall Rogers
Aaron Fitt: 

Keep an eye on Jim Toman for that MTSU job too!

  Aaron Fitt
2:23
[Comment From Just CuriousJust Curious: ] 

If the Aggies do make the tournament, what are the chances they go any where other than Austin for a regional?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:23 Just Curious
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Just — I think the Aggies will get shipped off at this point. To me, you don’t get rewarded with a short 95-mile trip after barely making the postseason. I’m thinking it will be like a few years ago when the Aggies were sent out to Corvallis as a very low two seed. I could see that scenario playing out again.

  Kendall Rogers
2:25
[Comment From T.S.T.S.: ] 

Could Auburn play their way into a host in Hoover this week?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:25 T.S.
 
Kendall Rogers: 

TS — Definitely could. The RPI there, but the overall conference record (including tournament games) needs to get better, as do some other metrics. AU is one of those teams with the best chance to boost its postseason stock with a strong run throughout the week, for sure.

  Kendall Rogers
2:25
[Comment From BectioBectio: ] 

How does UT move up so much with a home sweep of struggling TCU and Texas Tech stays put with a road sweep of the the then conference leading OSU? I get the conf title, thanks to TTU’s help, but one was more impressive than the other, dominating on the road in all 3 games, which were not close games.

Monday May 21, 2018 2:25 Bectio
 
Aaron Fitt: 

It was an adjustment to the cumulative effect — Texas needed to make a big jump after finishing the season hot. I mean, Texas also did win two of three at TTU in their previous conference series. I would agree that TTU’s week was more impressive this week, but Texas’ head-to-head series win and conference title mean they needed to make a big jump.

  Aaron Fitt
2:26
[Comment From KyleKyle: ] 

Luca Dalatri turned in a fantastic effort last weekend after returning to the UNC rotation from a near season long injury. Does his reappearance carry any consideration with the selection committee?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:26 Kyle
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Kyle — It certainly can’t hurt, but the Tar Heels won the ACC regular season crown without Dalatri, so I’m not sure it matters too much. As for UNC’s long-term potential in the postseason, getting Dalatri back is certainly huge. It sounds like he pitched pretty well in his return against Va. Tech.

  Kendall Rogers
2:27
[Comment From BrettBrett: ] 

Should USM risk Game 1 and pitch Sandlin in Game 2 of a regional? Feels like that may be our best shot of getting out of one.

Monday May 21, 2018 2:27 Brett
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Brett — That’s always a tough call. My advice? Wait and see who you are paired up with and go from there. It might make sense, and it might not.

  Kendall Rogers
2:28
[Comment From NolefanNolefan: ] 

FSU have any chance for a national seed heading into tournament play?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:28 Nolefan
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Nole — Absolutely. The Seminoles were strongly under consideration for a national seed this week, and honestly, if they go on a run in the conference tourney, I think Aaron and I both expect FSU to be a national seed. 19 wins vs. RPI Top 50 is loud, as are 11 wins vs. RPI Top 25. A Top 8 is right there for the taking for 11’s club.

  Kendall Rogers
2:29
[Comment From JeffJeff: ] 

I realize Kentucky was poor in conference play at 13-17, but I think that has a lot more to do with the loss of Thompson and for the last 3 weeks Lewis in that weekend rotation. This is a team that has 17 group 1 wins with series wins over Auburn, Georgia, Texas Tech and a split with Louisville. It would seem to be a tragedy if they didn’t get into the post season field. With that said it seems like they are on the outside looking in, so what do they have to do in the sec tournament to be in? Would a win over Auburn do it? Thanks guys….

Monday May 21, 2018 2:29 Jeff
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I think Kentucky is ahead of Texas A&M and LSU in the pecking order, for the reasons you stated — those high-end wins. And it’s not like UK has completely folded in the last month, they’ve won two of their last four series (vs. Mississippi State and Missouri), so it’s not like A&M losing four of their last five series. That said… 13-17 in conference is definitely dicey, and UK needs to win at least one game in Hoover, I think. They need to win two games to breathe easier, but I think in the end one win will do it.

  Aaron Fitt
2:29
[Comment From JackJack: ] 

Schlossnagle seems to be the name emerging for the Mississippi State job in the last couple weeks here in Mississippi. What say you.?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:29 Jack
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Schlossnagle is definitely a very serious candidate for the MSU job, but I would keep a very close eye on Dan McDonnell as well. There’s a third coach out there to watch, too, but I want to see a few things materialize before I mention his name. We will know a lot more on MSU here very soon, IMO.

  Kendall Rogers
2:30
[Comment From DL IIIDL III: ] 

Guys — Do you think Missouri is in the field as of now?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:30 DL III
 
Kendall Rogers: 

DL — No we don’t. Missouri’s RPI is good and I actually like some of Mizzou’s metrics, but the conference record is a problem and the Tigers aren’t a team that’s likely to get the benefit of the doubt. They need to win a few games in Hoover and hope someone like LSU-UK-A&M stumbles. Reason is? I don’t think the SEC is getting 12 teams in the field no matter what.

  Kendall Rogers
2:31
[Comment From RebelRebel: ] 

Of Georgia, Arkansas, and Ole Miss, who has the most to lose in Hoover in regards to a National Seed?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:31 Rebel
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Probably Ole Miss just because it’s got the worst RPI ranking of the group. They all have the same conference record, but it’s hard to envision Georgia and Arkansas falling out of the top eight considering their top-5 RPIs. Ole Miss is just a little less secure with that No. 9 RPI. Ultimately, though, I think all of them are on track to be national seeds.

  Aaron Fitt
2:36
[Comment From MattMatt: ] 

While, OSU is #2 in your poll, their RPI is several spots lower at 7. In your opinion, what is the lowest (or highest?) their RPI can be in order to receive a national seed?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:36 Matt
 
Aaron Fitt: 

We’ve seen teams get national seeds with RPIs as low as 14 in recent years. Given the season OSU has had, even if it slipped down into the teens, the Beavs would be just fine.

  Aaron Fitt
2:37
[Comment From scottyscotty: ] 

Could you see either of Clemson’s Bradley LeCroy or Andrew See in play for head coaching vacancies?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:37 scotty
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Sure — two very good coaches that are well respected in the business and have had a lot to do with Clemson’s success. I imagine it’s only a matter of time before they’re running their own programs. But I haven’t heard their names connected to any particular jobs yet this spring.

  Aaron Fitt
2:38
[Comment From Jordan LJordan L: ] 

Can my Miami Hurricanes still make the postseason?!

Monday May 21, 2018 2:38 Jordan L
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I think they’re gonna need to win that automatic bid, Jordan. They’re in a pretty similar position to last year — if anything, their resumé was a bit stronger last year, and they did not make it. I do like their momentum with that 10-game winning streak, and the 16-13 conference mark is good… but ACC teams with RPIs in the 60s do not get at-large bids. Even in the 50s, it’s unlikely. Maybe if they win 3 games to make the ACC title game and then fall short, maybe they can get that RPI up enough to snag an at-large spot… but seems like a long shot.

  Aaron Fitt
2:42
[Comment From Keegan BKeegan B: ] 

Who has the most to gain in the ACC tournament?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:42 Keegan B
 
Kendall Rogers: 

I would actually say Miami. The Hurricanes can probably get into the postseason field by winning their pool and getting to the conference tourney title game. Do that, and they’d have a nice treasure chest of conference wins. That’d make getting in the field a decent as opposed to a highly unlikely possibility.

  Kendall Rogers
2:43
[Comment From MinnyMinny: ] 

How many wins in Omaha this week for Minnesota to clinch a host spot? Outside chance at national seed if they run through the bracket?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:43 Minny
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Minny — I think the Gophers are good no matter what. They’ve done enough this year to warrant a host. With that said, we have some other teams ahead of them in the NS pecking order, but as always, never say never.

  Kendall Rogers
2:45
[Comment From BenBen: ] 

Any way the Gamecocks can play their way into a regional host slot this weekend?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:45 Ben
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Ben — Perhaps getting to the tournament title game could get South Carolina’s RPI where it needs to be, but I don’t think an SEC team with a mid-20s RPI, for instance, is going to host. Would need to get into the teens to have a chance … we’ll see if that ends up being a possibility.

  Kendall Rogers
2:45
[Comment From DillonDillon: ] 

So I dont disagree with you all keeping Florida #1 over Oregon State… But I was wondering, had OSU swept Southern Cal, would the ranking still be what they are now. And do you really think Florida is that more of a superior team than the Beavers? I think that would be one hell of a series.

Monday May 21, 2018 2:45 Dillon
 
Aaron Fitt: 

If OSU had swept this weekend, it might have put the Beavs over the top — we debated it at length, and it was close. Overall, it’s not that we think Florida is vastly superior than Oregon State — but it’s just that its season has been significantly more impressive on the whole compared with everybody else in the nation. I mean, the number of high-end wins is staggering; 15-6 vs. the top 25 compared with 2-1 for OSU, etc etc. And this was their first series loss of the year (a week after they’d already clinched the SEC title), while OSU has lost two series (one of them against a 14-38 team), and OSU is not going to win its league (which is a clearly inferior league). Anyway, add it all up and Florida may have held onto the top spot even if OSU had swept. But regardless — I absolutely agree, that would be one hell of a series.

  Aaron Fitt
2:45
[Comment From DavidDavid: ] 

Does Texas save Kingham for a Game 2 in a regional? Or go with your ace and get the first win

Monday May 21, 2018 2:45 David
 
Kendall Rogers: 

David — I would go with Kingham and go from there. I think that rotation is pretty even for the most part, so I don’t think you’ll see Pierce mess with the rotation. But as always, let’s see who is in UT’s regional before we make a proclamation.

  Kendall Rogers
2:47
[Comment From ZachZach: ] 

Any way NC State doesn’t host?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:47 Zach
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I suppose NC State is JUST shy of a lock…. but it’s really close to being a lock. If they go 0-2, and teams like Duke and ECU and Coastal all make deep runs, maybe those other teams could wind up hosting at NC State’s expense. But I’d bet pretty confidently on the Wolfpack hosting, with a 19-11 ACC mark and a top-15 RPI.

  Aaron Fitt
2:47
[Comment From Kalen HarrisKalen Harris: ] 

If UK loses tomorrow would you have them out? Or is the resume strong enough at this point?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:47 Kalen Harris
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Kalen — It would be close. Right now, we have UK clearly ahead of A&M and LSU. UK has been very inconsistent, but it at least has some marquee series wins to hang its hat on. Let’s cross that bridge when we get there.

  Kendall Rogers
2:50
[Comment From RowdyRowdy: ] 

If Arizona takes 2/3 on the road against Oregon will a 14-16 conference mark (6-4 in Pac12 weekend series), RPI of 55 (estimate), Non Conf RPI of 11, 10-1 in midweek contests,15 consecutive non conference win streak, with series wins over Oregon State and UCLA be enough to secure them in the postseason?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:50 Rowdy
 
Aaron Fitt: 

For me, it would (especially since I think the RPI would probably hang around in the top 50 in that scenario). As usual, Arizona was the subject of extended and robust debate at the end of last night’s nerdcast, which will be posted this afternoon. But for the record, I voted IN on Arizona assuming it wins that last series.

  Aaron Fitt
2:52
[Comment From RobRob: ] 

In 2011 LSU had an RPI of 21, went 13-17 in SEC (4-6 in weekend series), 7-3 down the stretch and as the 9th place team in SEC was left out of Hoover (when only 8/12 teams qualified) as well as the postseason. 2018 TAMU has an RPI of 21, 13-17 in SEC (3-7 in weekend series) and 3-7 down the stretch. As the 11th place team in SEC they qualify for Hoover (12/14 do now). Your May 19 article (D1 Saturday Digest) stated that TAMU needed a win or two in Hoover to feel safe for postseason. How are two wins or really anything short of winning the SEC tournament enough to get the Aggies into the postseason given this historical context where the 2011 LSU team (with better resume) was left out?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:52 Rob
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Simply because it’s a very soft bubble this year… But I happen to believe that a win or two in Hoover is still not enough for A&M to feel “safe”. I think a win or two gives them a shot, because there’s just not a particularly large pool of deserving candidates competing with them for spots… but safe? No, not for me (and perhaps I disagree with my colleagues on that).

  Aaron Fitt
2:53
[Comment From BobBob: ] 

Do the Beavers need to win the series against UCLA to be a national seed?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:53 Bob
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Bob — Nope. I think the Beavers are well locked in. They proved they could win with or without Nick Madrigal, and they’ve been an excellent team down the stretch. Go ahead and put Case’s boys on the board with a Natty.

  Kendall Rogers
2:53
[Comment From Tm123Tm123: ] 

kendall, you mentioned Texas being closer to a national seed then not hosting. If they win the tourney I would assume the rpi reaches top 10 , do you see that getting them one? I could see Texas falling early though due to inconsistent pitching though.

Monday May 21, 2018 2:53 Tm123
 
Kendall Rogers: 

TM123 — If Texas storms through the Big 12 tournament and finishes with an RPI of 10 or higher, I think I would be pretty surprised if the Horns don’t get a top eight.

  Kendall Rogers
2:54
[Comment From Paul ILLPaul ILL: ] 

How much work does Illinois have to do this week in Omaha?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:54 Paul ILL
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Paul — There was a hearty debate with our three-man committee on Illinois’ merits vs. Arizona’s for one of the final spots in the field. In the end, we placed heavy emphasis on Ill’s win over Arizona, plus more consistency in league play (in a comparable league). Illinois is definitely not safe — must continue winning in the league tourney.

  Kendall Rogers
2:54
[Comment From Carl JamesCarl James: ] 

It looks like a lot of teams are likely to travel far to regionals this year. Once the close teams are set, what process is used to determine where to send other teams?

Monday May 21, 2018 2:54 Carl James
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I think they try to do it with an eye toward competitive equity, Carl. Obviously the highest national seeds should be rewarded a bit with regionals that aren’t stacked with all the toughest 2s, 3s and 4s… but overall I think the goal should be for most of the regionals to be fairly equitable. If you’ve got a very strong 4, maybe you should have one of the bottom 2s and a middle of the pack 3, for instance. Hopefully the committee looks at it that way too.

  Aaron Fitt
2:55
[Comment From Eric SimmonsEric Simmons: ] 

Is this year for TCU a 1 year blip or a sign of things to come? I think just a 1 year blip!

Monday May 21, 2018 2:55 Eric Simmons
 
Kendall Rogers: 

I think it’s a blip — but the TCU program could have a lot of shakeups this summer. Schloss is a strong candidate at Miss State, Saarloos is a strong candidate at Rice, and so on … could be a wild summer in Fort Worth.

  Kendall Rogers
2:59
[Comment From MikeMike: ] 

At this point I’m basically counting a Sunday game (or 3rd game in a rotation) a loss for the Beavers. Do you still think this team can make it to Omaha? Assuming Luke picks up the win against any team in the nation in Game 1, Fehmel has a good shot of getting game 2 (depending on how much run support he receives), Beavs would lose a Game 3 and potentially 4. Is this team even a lock to get through a regional let alone a super regional? We’ve been told to hold off on the panic button but my hands getting ready to push.

Monday May 21, 2018 2:59 Mike
 
Aaron Fitt: 

I think I saw an Oregon State fan on Twitter say he’s more concerned about getting through a regional, and if they can do that, they should be able to win a super in two games — but you have to win at least 3 games to get through a super. I think that’s probably a good read. I certainly recognize that OSU has lost some Sunday games, and that the No. 3 starter spot remains an issue… but I mean, they’re 42-9. They’ve swept plenty of series, either by just relying on their superb offense or piecing it together on the mound. I still think they’re deep enough on the mound to get through that third games by mixing and matching with guys like Abel, Eisert, Pearce, Chamerlain and Mulholland. Are you going to get 7 shutout innings from your No. 3 starter? Probably not. But I don’t think you NEED to get that to win.

  Aaron Fitt
3:00
[Comment From TimfromSCTimfromSC: ] 

Gamecocks are notorious for playing poorly in Hoover, but this is a new team with a new regime and new direction. How do you like SC’s chances in Hoover? How much would going winless in Hoover effect SC’s tournament spot? (Though I hope that doesn’t happen!)

Monday May 21, 2018 3:00 TimfromSC
 
Aaron Fitt: 

The way SC has played for five solid weeks, I see no reason to expect those guys to go to Hoover and lay an egg. I think they’ll continue to compete hard, and I think they can make some noise. But even going winless in Hoover shouldn’t affect their seeding; I see them as a safe bet for a 2 seed now. What a second half for Kingston and his boys.

  Aaron Fitt
3:01
[Comment From BulldogBulldog: ] 

Did Louisiana Tech do enough this year to get in?

Monday May 21, 2018 3:01 Bulldog
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Bulldog — I think Louisiana Tech is just shy of being in the tournament for now, but could get right back in there with a strong showing in the C-USA tournament. Tech is down to 59 in the RPI with a 3-3 mark vs. RPI Top 50 and 11-9 mark vs. RPI top 100. That resume needs to be bolstered a bit over the course of this week.

  Kendall Rogers
3:01
[Comment From BenBen: ] 

Hey guys! If both teams go 2-1 this weekend, who gets a higher seed, OSU or Stanford? Thanks!

Monday May 21, 2018 3:01 Ben
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Stanford. Better RPI and a conference championship offsets the head-to-head series, especially since it was in Corvallis and the Cardinal didn’t get swept (OSU held serve, did what you’d expect in a home series. Credit the Beavs for that, but that’s not enough to overcome the fairly wide gap in the standings and RPI).

  Aaron Fitt
3:02
[Comment From ThomasThomas: ] 

Do you see a scenarios that Louisville moves up to a regional host?

Monday May 21, 2018 3:02 Thomas
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Thomas — It’s a possibility, but Louisville would need to storm through the ACC tournament to make it happen. I say it’s a long shot for now — but a possibility.

  Kendall Rogers
3:03
[Comment From TomTom: ] 

How about those LMU Lions! How disappointing was St. Mary’s run after being the preseason favorite?

Monday May 21, 2018 3:03 Tom
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Boy, I certainly wasn’t expecting LMU to sweep St. Mary’s after getting swept by Santa Clara just last week — the Lions showed some resilience, that’s for sure. That team flew under the radar all year, but Jason Gill is a good coach, and he got them to scrap and claw their way into the conference tournament. Definitely a disappointing year for St. Mary’s, a team that we actually discussed for a preseason Top 25 spot. I know Eric Valenzuela had very high hopes for this team, and I’m sure no one is more disappointed than him.

  Aaron Fitt
3:04
[Comment From Big12FanBig12Fan: ] 

Is OSU in trouble of making the tourney if they go 0-2 this week? Also does TCU need to win tourney for a spot? who are your hosts as well in Big12?

Monday May 21, 2018 3:04 Big12Fan
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Big12 — You know, if OSU doesn’t win one this week, it wouldn’t even win 30 games for the season. That’s an interesting dilemma for the committee. I would say the RPI and conference mark would still get the Pokes in the field, though. TCU needs to win the tournament, and right now, the Big 12 will only have two hosts. I don’t expect that to change.

  Kendall Rogers
3:05
[Comment From RobertRobert: ] 

There is a lot of buzz about Texas A&M not making the tournament even with the 6th highest RPI in the SEC at number 20 and talks of up to 10 SEC teams making a regional. How much trouble are the Aggies in right now and what do they need to do in Hoover to feel comfortable?

Monday May 21, 2018 3:05 Robert
 
Kendall Rogers: 

Robert — A&M is 13-17 in the league and have a pretty bland overall resume. The non-conference slate was weak and the Aggies won just three conference series. Lose tomorrow in Hoover and they might want to invest in some sweat buckets fro the Selection Show on Monday.

  Kendall Rogers
3:06
[Comment From Left Field LoungerLeft Field Lounger: ] 

Gotta put your life savings on one guy………who is the next coach at Mississippi State?

Monday May 21, 2018 3:06 Left Field Lounger
 
Kendall Rogers: 

You thought you were going to trick me. Be patient. I’ll say who it’ll be in due time buddy. State fans will be happy.

  Kendall Rogers
3:06
[Comment From DavidDavid: ] 

Should USM fans feel good about getting in a regional despite bad RPI?

Monday May 21, 2018 3:06 David
 
Kendall Rogers: 

David — I think USM is safe despite the iffy RPI. It took care of business in league play and certainly will rank well with the RAC (Regional Advisory Committee). The Eagles are still in fine shape in my book.

  Kendall Rogers
3:07
[Comment From ClemsonFan0101ClemsonFan0101: ] 

Where is Louisville in the rankings? And how come Vanderbilt comes in?

Monday May 21, 2018 3:07 ClemsonFan0101
 
Aaron Fitt: 

Vanderbilt has just beaten a lot more good teams than Louisville — the Cards got fat on the soft underbelly of the ACC (10-1 vs. Notre Dame, Pitt, BC, Va Tech). Louisville did win a series vs. UNC way back in the first week of ACC play, but that’s the only series it has won against a regional team — and we really value quality series wins against postseason-caliber opponents. Vanderbilt, meanwhile, has won series vs. Kentucky (sweep), Ole Miss, Georgia, LSU, at Miss State (sweep), and Duke, plus wins over TCU and UCLA in Dodgertown. Even if UK and LSU don’t wind up making regionals (and they’re both on the bubble right now), that’s a lot of good wins. That dwarfs what Louisville has done, in my opinion.

  Aaron Fitt
3:08
Aaron Fitt: 

OK folks, that’s all for me this week. Thanks for swinging by, as always!

Monday May 21, 2018 3:08 Aaron Fitt
3:12
Kendall Rogers: 

All right all … I need to finish packing up. Maybe we’ll do a little impromptu chat a little later this week on Friday morning. Stay tuned!

In the meantime Subscribe to D1Baseball.com today!

https://d1baseball.com/subs…

Monday May 21, 2018 3:12 Kendall Rogers
 
 

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