Brendan McKay, Louisville

Brendan McKay, Louisville (Louisville photo)


Field Of 64 Projection: April 19

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We’re finally past the halfway mark of the regular season, and with that comes postseason projections each week leading up to Selection Monday. While our Midseason Field of 64 had some pleasant surprises, the very latest field includes some notable changes, both in way of national seeds and hosts and bubble teams.

Unlike last week, we won’t dive into all the numbers and metrics in this portion of our projections. Instead, our Aaron Fitt will have an in-depth Postseason Stock Report, which will dissect the cases for national seeds, hosts and more.

So, what are the major changes this week?

For starters, there was one change in way of national seeds. In our midseason projections, South Carolina was a top eight seed. However, the Gamecocks have since dropped two-straight series to Vanderbilt and Mississippi State. Taking the Gamecocks place is Louisville, which has an RPI of 6, 31-5 overall record and a 5-3 mark vs. RPI Top 25 and 8-4 mark vs. RPI Top 50. The Cardinals also are an impressive 15-3 in the ACC, while also winning their last two series against Wake Forest and Georgia Tech.

In terms of hosts, Oklahoma and Houston were in the mix the last time we had projections. However, the Sooners have plummeted in the RPI after a poor showing in Michigan, while the Cougars, while still in the mix, also have slipped a little in the RPI. LSU, which is up to 14 in the RPI, moved in as a host after winning back-to-back series over Arkansas and Ole Miss, while West Virginia moves in as a host, too, after taking a huge home series from TCU. WVU has room to grow its resume, too, with an RPI of 8 and the beneficiaries of a stronger than expected Big 12.

Connecticut, Old Dominion, Nebraska and Indiana were the first four teams out of our field, while teams on the bubble until the very end, but making it in, include South Florida, NC State, Florida Atlantic, UCLA, Ole Miss and UL Lafayette.

Without further ado, the latest projections are here. It’s worth noting that these projections are a snapshot of where things currently stand, while also projecting how teams might also finish the regular season.

Field Of 64 Projections: April 19

Projected automatic bids indicated by *
National seed hosts Regional hosts
1 Oregon State* (1)1 LSU
4 Fairfield*4 Binghamton*
3 Minnesota3 McNeese*
2 Missouri State*2 Baylor
1 North Carolina* (2)1 West Virginia
4 Northeastern*4 VCU*
3 Charlotte3 Ole Miss
2 Vanderbilt2 Virginia
1 Texas Tech* (3)1 Long Beach State*
4 Central Connecticut*4 Navy*
3 Oregon3 Stanford
2 Texas A&M2 San Diego*
1 Arizona (4)1 Cal State Fullerton
4 New Mexico St.*4 Dartmouth*
3 Texas3 UCLA
2 St. John's*2 Michigan
1 Clemson (5)1 Mississippi State
4 Presbyterian*4 Alabama State*
3 Coastal Carolina*3 UL Lafayette
2 Maryland*2 Southern Miss*
1 Louisville (6)1 Kentucky
4 Tennessee Tech*4 Kent State*
3 Florida Atlantic3 Washington
2 Auburn2 Florida State
1 Florida* (7)1 Wake Forest
4 Florida A&M*4 Florida Gulf Coast*
3 NC State3 Mercer*
2 UCF2 South Carolina
1 TCU (8)1 Arkansas
4 Oral Roberts*4 Wright State*
3 New Mexico*3 South Florida
2 Houston*2 Oklahoma

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