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College Baseball Projected Field Of 64: April 17

Projections

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We’re a couple of weeks removed from the midseason mark and there are several changes to unveil when it comes to our projected postseason field.

In our previous edition of projections, the protected top eight seeds included NC State, Arizona State and Texas Tech. NC State has since dropped into the 9-16 range after having a couple of stumbling blocks and seeing its RPI dip a bit, while the Sun Devils have dropped out of the Top 16 for the time being with their RPI falling to 36. There’s absolutely a pathway for the Devils to get back into the discussion with some good RPI opponents still left on the weekend schedule. As for Tech, the Red Raiders are down to 17 in the RPI and have a losing record vs. RPI Top 50 and .500 mark vs. RPI Top 50. The Raiders also need some assistance in league play with a .500 Big 12 mark, but we’re expecting a strong finish from Tim Tadlock’s club.

In terms of teams in our 9-16 range at the midseason mark, only two are out as hosts this week — Clemson and Auburn. Clemson was a strong consideration to remain a host this week, but simply put, other teams leaped them in the discussion. CU still has a strong ACC mark along with solid metrics (5-3 vs. Top 25, 10-5 vs. Top 50), so it could easily get right back in as a host soon. As for Auburn, it has some work to do. Yes, the Tigers have a strong RPI of 16 along with a respectable SEC mark. However, AU has a losing record against RPI Top 25/50 teams and is currently trending the wrong direction with a tough remaining schedule.

Our two new hosts include UC Santa Barbara and West Virginia. The Gauchos will have a hard time maintaining a premier RPI with their remaining schedule. They must be terrific down the stretch, but as of now, the ‘Chos are at 4 in the RPI and will have a gaudy record with solid metrics. WVU is a surprise to the hosting mix, but the Mountaineers deserve it. WVU’s resume might look a little light when you break down the metrics, but it’s up to 15 in the RPI, it’s trending the right direction and Mazey’s club has a favorable schedule down the stretch. We’ll see how much staying power the Mountaineers have sooner rather than later, but for now, it makes sense to give the No. 2 RPI conference with seven postseason teams two spots in the Top 16.

Here’s how the overall bids breakdown by conference: SEC (11), ACC (7), Big 12 (7), Pac 12 (6), American (3), Big Ten (3), Big West (2), Conference USA (2).

Resident bracketologist Mark Etheridge and national writers Kendall Rogers and Aaron Fitt make up the postseason field each week.


LAST FIVE IN: California, Florida State, TCU, Illinois, Southern Miss

FIRST FIVE OUT: Michigan, Gonzaga, FAU, Indiana State, Texas-Arlington


D1Baseball's Projected Field of 64: April 17
LOS ANGELESSANTA BARBARA
1 UCLA* (1)1 UC Santa Barbara* (16)
4 Coppin State*4 New Mexico State*
3 Loyola Marymount*3 Bryant*
2 Connecticut2 Arizona State
CORVALLISLUBBOCK
1 Oregon State (2)1 Texas Tech (15)
4 Harvard*4 Wright State*
3 Creighton*3 Dallas Baptist*
2 Texas2 Tennessee
NASHVILLEMORGANTOWN
1 Vanderbilt* (3)1 West Virginia (14)
4 Jacksonville State*4 Liberty*
3 California3 Illinois
2 Indiana*2 Ole Miss
LOUISVILLEGREENVILLE
1 Louisville* (4)1 East Carolina* (13)
4 Miami (OH)*4 Campbell*
3 Oklahoma3 Nebraska
2 Missouri2 North Carolina
ATHENSBATON ROUGE
1 Georgia (5)1 LSU (12)
4 Canisius*4 Southern*
3 Florida State3 Louisiana Tech*
2 Coastal Carolina*2 Baylor*
STANFORDRALEIGH
1 Stanford (6)1 NC State (11)
4 Navy*4 Elon*
3 Fresno State*3 UC Irvine
2 Auburn2 Florida
STARKVILLECOLLEGE STATION
1 Mississippi State (7)1 Texas A&M (10)
4 Samford*4 Stony Brook*
3 Southern Miss3 Sam Houston State*
2 Clemson2 Oklahoma State
ATLANTAFAYETTEVILLE
1 Georgia Tech (8)1 Arkansas (9)
4 Va. Commonwealth*4 Omaha*
3 Houston3 TCU
2 Oregon2 Miami
Projected automatic bids indicated by *

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