College Baseball Projected Field Of 64: May 1Projections
Another week is in the books and the postseason picture continues to get clearer.
In last week’s projections, we had UCLA, Oregon State and Vanderbilt leading the charge. UCLA remains our top national seed, while Vanderbilt, which had yet another outstanding weekend, moves into the two-hole. Oregon State dropped to the seventh national seed after going 3-3 over the past week, but it’s worth noting the Beavers still have some power opponents left on the schedule that could vault them back up the national seed pecking order.
Stanford was one of our top eight national seeds last week, but the Cardinal is out of the mix for now after seeing their RPI drop to 19 over the past week. The good news for Stanford? It still has series left against solid RPI teams such as California, Oregon State and Arizona State, so there’s plenty of time to get into the top eight. Mississippi State took Stanford’s place this week. The Bulldogs rebounded nicely from that weekend at Arkansas by sweeping Georgia at home. State is up to 4 in the RPI with an 11-7 mark vs. Top 25, 15-9 mark vs. Top 50 and a solid 21-9 mark vs. Top 100.
In terms of the remaining Top 16 seeds, we have two changes this week. Texas A&M and UC Santa Barbara were hosts last week, but both had tough weekends. The Aggies were swept on the road by Ole Miss, while the Gauchos dropped two of three to UC Riverside. A&M is still in the picture with an RPI of 18 and solid marks but ends the season with some challenging series against Mississippi State (home), Alabama (road) and Arkansas (home). It’s a tough road, but the path is certainly there for the Aggies. As for the Gauchos, they are still sitting in solid shape with an RPI of 13, but it’s hard to imagine them playing flawless baseball down the stretch. They’ll need to do that to be in position to host.
Baylor and Miami entered as hosts this week. The Bears had a big weekend at TCU, are up to 22 in the RPI and are leading the Big 12 standings. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes have a favorable remaining schedule, a solid ACC record and are up to 10 in the RPI. Miami is in good shape barring some surprising losses down the stretch.
Here are how the overall bids break down by conference: SEC (11), ACC (8), Big 12 (5), Big Ten (5), Pac 12 (5), American (3) and Big West (2).
Resident bracketologist Mark Etheridge and national writers Kendall Rogers and Aaron Fitt make up the postseason field each week.
LAST FIVE IN: Houston, Indiana State, Florida, Clemson, Iowa
FIRST FIVE OUT: Illinois State, BYU, Texas, Washington, Oregon
Projected automatic bids indicated by *