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Field Of 64 Projections: Monday, May 24

Projections
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With one week to go until Selection Monday, the field of 64 is starting to take shape. Over the weekend, automatic bids were secured in the MEAC (where Norfolk State won the conference tournament) and the SWAC (where Southern upset undefeated Jackson State to win the tourney). In addition, Nebraska and Arizona clinched the automatic bids in the Big Ten and Pac-12, respectively, by wrapping up regular-season titles (those two leagues will not have conference tournaments this year).

With conference tournament mania set to begin Tuesday, the postseason picture will shift rapidly over the next week, and we’ll update our field of 64 projection nightly as the week progresses. Below is our first projection of the season’s final week, constructed on Sunday night by Aaron Fitt, Mark Etheridge and Kendall Rogers. You can listen to them deliberate the national seeds, hosts and at-large teams in our latest Nerdcast.

CHANGES FROM LAST WEEK

TOP-EIGHT NATIONAL SEEDS: Texas Tech replaces TCU as a top-eight national seed. The Frogs have lost three straight series, squandering the advantage they have by finishing three games ahead of Tech in the Big 12 standings.

REGIONAL HOSTS: Charlotte replaces Louisiana Tech as a host. The Bulldogs dropped two games to Old Dominion over the weekend and slipped to No. 29 in the RPI, while the 49ers finished with C-USA’s best league record (24-8) and the highest RPI ranking (No. 18) of the three host candidates in the conference. But ultimately the C-USA tournament will likely decide which team hosts between Charlotte, La Tech and Southern Miss — there is very little separation between the three of them right now.

AUTOMATIC BIDS: Central Michigan replaces Ball State as our projected automatic qualifier out of the Mid-American conference. There is no MAC tournament this year, so the regular-season champ will earn the auto bid. Ball State split a four-game set at Ohio to fall two games behind CMU with one weekend remaining, and we don’t like Ball State’s chances to overcome that deficit.

Also, Norfolk State and Southern replace NC Central and Jackson State, the two teams we projected as automatic qualifiers in the MEAC and SWAC last week.

AT-LARGE BIDS: Duke, UC Santa Barbara and California join our field as at-large teams, while Tulane, Clemson and Louisville fall out.

The Blue Devils and Golden Bears still have work to do to shore up their at-large credentials in the final week, but they both took big steps forward this weekend and passed Tulane and Clemson in the pecking order, along with a bunch of other bubble teams. Duke swept a road series at Clemson, effectively knocking the Tigers (24-26 overall and 16-20 in the ACC) out of the at-large race, a week after the Devils did the same to Virginia Tech (also 16-20 in the ACC) in another sweep. Duke is up to 16-17 in the ACC and No. 27 in the RPI. Heading into the conference tournament, we have Duke higher on the at-large ladder than fellow bubble teams Pittsburgh and Louisville, both of whom are hurt by the “momentum factor”, as Louisville (16-16 ACC, No. 67 RPI) has been swept three times in its last four series and Pitt (16-17 ACC, No. 48 RPI) was swept in its final two series. The Devils are still a tick behind UVa and North Carolina (both of whom are 18-18 in the ACC), as both of those teams played better down the stretch than Pitt and Louisville, and both the Cavs and Tar Heels own series wins against the Blue Devils. The ACC tournament should help sort out this quagmire.

Cal would be the seventh Pac-12 team in the field. A No. 81 RPI still hurts the Golden Bears, but back-to-back series wins against Stanford and UCLA have lifted them to 14-13 in the Pac. A home series win against Oregon this weekend would get Cal into the field, we believe. A series loss in the final weekend likely lands Cal on the wrong side of the bubble. For now, we’re giving the Bears the benefit of the doubt, with a soft bubble.

UC Santa Barbara is another team that climbs in part due to other bubble teams falling on their faces. The Gauchos swept a four-game set from UC Riverside to improve to 25-11 in the Big West and No. 56 in the RPI. A 2-9 record against the top 50 still hurts the Gauchos, but that gaudy Big West record helps offset it, especially with other bubble teams fading.

Tulane was swept in a four-game set at Cincinnati to fall to No. 77 in the RPI. The Green Wave likely needs to win AAC tournament and capture the automatic bid to get in now, because getting swept in a four-game series by a team that had been .500 in the league is a bad look in the final weekend.

AT-LARGE LADDER

Finally, here’s how we size up the at-large candidates heading into conference tourney week, listed from safest to least safe on our ladder:

LAST FIVE IN:

60. Indiana State

61. Indiana

62. Pittsburgh

63. California

64. Baylor

FIRST FIVE OUT:

65. Louisville

66. Oklahoma

67. Long Beach State

68. Alabama

69. San Diego


D1Baseball Projected Field of 64: May 24
FAYETTEVILLECHARLOTTE
1. Arkansas* (1)1. Charlotte* (16)
4. Oral Roberts*4. Campbell*
2. Oklahoma State2. NC State
3. Indiana State3. Georgia
NASHVILLESPOKANE
1. Vanderbilt (2)1. Gonzaga* (15)
4. Southeast Missouri State*4. VCU*
2. Connecticut*2. Oregon State
3. Maryland3. Pittsburgh
AUSTINGAINESVILLE
1. Texas* (3)1. Florida (14)
4. Stony Brook*4. South Alabama*
2. UCLA2. Miami
3. Liberty*3. Fairfield*
TUCSONOXFORD
1. Arizona* (4)1. Ole Miss (13)
4. Grand Canyon*4. Wright State*
2. Florida State2. Louisiana Tech
3. UC Santa Barbara3. Virginia
KNOXVILLEEUGENE
1. Tennessee (5)1. Oregon (12)
4. Norfolk State*4. Northeastern*
2. Old Dominion2. Georgia Tech
3. North Carolina3. Indiana
SOUTH BENDFORT WORTH
1. Notre Dame* (6)1. TCU (11)
4. Central Michigan*4. Bryant*
2. Michigan2. Arizona State
3. LSU3. Dallas Baptist
STARKVILLEGREENVILLE
1. Mississippi State (7)1. East Carolina* (10)
4. Southern4. Wofford*
2. Southern Miss2. South Carolina
3. Baylor3. Duke
LUBBOCKSTANFORD
1. Texas Tech (8)1. Stanford (9)
4. Abilene Christian*4. Lehigh*
2. Nebraska2. UC Irvine*
3. California3. Nevada*
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Dave
Dave
4 months ago

How solidly would you say Georgia is in? Do you think they need at least one win in the SEC tournament to solidify a bid?

Sam
Sam
4 months ago
Reply to  Dave

It would help, yes, but they are almost a lock for the tourney, as of right now they should be 3 seed in Lubbock. Might get bumped down to four seed but it would be very hard for them to be out of the tournament altogether.

MSU Dawg
MSU Dawg
4 months ago
Reply to  Sam

No team from a power5 conference will get a 4 seed. Those end up being automatic qualifiers from the weaker conferences.

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  MSU Dawg

good point, I wondered about that when I made the statement that no SEC team has received a 4 seed, but think you are correct, do not recall the Power 5 having even one #4 seed in past years.

k9_r
k9_r
4 months ago
Reply to  Rick

There are only 16 4 seeds, one in each regional, right? There are well more than 16 weak conferences whose AQs eat up those spots and even spill over into the 3 seed slots. No room for a power five team there.

Vince
Vince
4 months ago
Reply to  k9_r

The only chance of a team from a power conference getting a 4 seed is if a low seeded team wins a conference tournament. This would not be a factor in the SEC because all teams that qualify for the conference tournament are at least close to bubble teams. The big 10 usually has non-bubble teams at the bottom of their tournament seedings, but they are not having a tournament this year so a 4 seed from a power conference is even more unlikely this year, but still possible.

Vince
Vince
4 months ago
Reply to  Vince

Just out of curiosity I checked the last NCAA baseball tournament and Ohio State made it in as a #4 seed in 2019. So it is possible.

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  Sam

I do not believe that an SEC team has ever been seeded 4th in a region. They get a 3, or do not get selected. Georgia looked good to me in April, expect them to be there. Not sure on LSU, not sure they belong in the field, but they and their fans are sure a blast in Omaha when they get there. Shoot, the fans will be there anyway, question is, will their team? Do not see it, not sure I see a bid, even.

BrunoVFL
BrunoVFL
4 months ago
Reply to  Dave

I think Ga/LSU might be an elimination game……and if not you need to hope favorites win conference tourneys……you are on the edge…….but just my opine

Sutpens 100
Sutpens 100
4 months ago
Reply to  BrunoVFL

You nailed it.

Kyle Duet
Kyle Duet
4 months ago
Reply to  Sutpens 100

No he didn’t. LSU and Georgia is a lock. There is no bubble team, including the current last five in, that deserves to be in over LSU or Georgia.

Sutpens 100
Sutpens 100
4 months ago
Reply to  Kyle Duet

Haha. OK, dude, whatever you say. Plenty of 13-win SEC teams have missed the cut in years past, glad to know this year’s under-achievers are LOCKS🔒. You guarantee that???

Earle
Earle
4 months ago
Reply to  Sutpens 100

Another SEC envy.

Sutpens 100
Sutpens 100
4 months ago
Reply to  Earle

Not at all. I’m an SEC fan and hope both GA and LSU make it to the field of 64…I just don’t think either are locks. LSU MAY already be in, but I think GA has to win at least one in Hoover.

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  Sutpens 100

really? Have there been 13-17 SEC teams picked in the past? That is going a bit too far, and I am an SEC guy. I think no one belongs in a year end tourney who is not ,500 in their conference, in any sport, but then, you’d have to lop off some bowls should that rule arrive. For sure not in basketball or baseball, though.

BrunoVFL
BrunoVFL
4 months ago
Reply to  Rick

YES…13 wins has gotten in…….i think the stat was 17% of the time

Sutpens 100
Sutpens 100
4 months ago
Reply to  BrunoVFL

Right.

Wes
Wes
4 months ago

Not sure I like Nebraska in Lubbock.

Riccoricci
Riccoricci
4 months ago
Reply to  Wes

It’s hard to get a good read on the Big10 teams. They only played an in-conference schedule and nobody really dominated. They could be amazing or so so average. I have a feeling one of them will make it all the way to Omaha as a dark horse.

k9_r
k9_r
4 months ago
Reply to  Riccoricci

I mean, with one week to go Nebraska has a .725 Win% and a 3 1/2 game lead over 2nd place. Seems dominate-ish.

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  k9_r

ye, but in conference where we got to see no non-B10 games, hard to know what any of the B10 teams have for sure, but they will do OK, talent really been rising in the B10 for awhile. I’ll take the jab – other than Ohio St, the B10 FB talent has been falling about as fast as the baseball has been rising. Still produce some great single players, just not great teams, outside OSU.

Wes
Wes
4 months ago
Reply to  Riccoricci

That is exactly what makes me uncomfortable. They have been as close to you can at dominating the B1G; but, what does that mean? I am entirely sure. Tech has already been displaced by a surging B1G program in 2019 (despite finishing 3-2 over UM), I really don’t want to see that again.

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  Riccoricci

do you have a betting window? Michigan was outstanding in ’19, but had a few very good players, don’t see that this year for any B10 team. Henry was the key to that run. Had some help, but he was special in June, ’19. I bought a bunch of his autographed ball cards that fall, see him being a Dave McNally type (now I am showing my age!) in the big leagues, just pinpoint control, and mentally as tough as nails, really liked what I saw of him. Got a chance to be as good as Pettitte, maybe ,for all you not at least 50, who never saw McNally.

Husker From Omaha
Husker From Omaha
4 months ago
Reply to  Wes

I’ve been saying Nebraska would be in a Big12 regional all month. I think their crossover will be Fayetteville. They’re playing well 4 sure but are very capable of laying eggs too.

Riccoricci
Riccoricci
4 months ago

Nebraska should be the 16 seed hosting their own Regional in Omaha. I would think they are a notch above Charlotte from CUSA.
If not, They’ll be a scary 2 seed for anyone. I hope they don’t end up in Lubbock.

Tommy Nicholson
Tommy Nicholson
4 months ago
Reply to  Riccoricci

Most truthful thing i’ve heard in a while

Tommy Nicholson
Tommy Nicholson
4 months ago
Reply to  Riccoricci

upsets do happen though so we could get moved somewhere else no?

James
James
4 months ago
Reply to  Riccoricci

Why would Nebraska host in Omaha? Their ballpark is nice enough to host in Lincoln

Riccoricci
Riccoricci
4 months ago
Reply to  James

It’s only a few miles from Lincoln and who wouldn’t want the invaluable experience of playing in the same ballpark as CWS. Would be to Nebraska’s advantage.

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  Riccoricci

recall the long, high scoring game between Nebraska and Clemson, in about 2005. NE had Alex Gordon and Joba, Clemson had Khalil Greene, a very toolsy SS who could not stay well after he got in pro ball. Think the final was like 12-11. Was there, almost left about 3 times, wanted to beat closing time at one of the awesome steak houses, but ended up staying, and settling for a lousy McD’s cheeseburger! I urge all who are thinking of going, to go, so cheap compared to other NCAA year end games, and the people are marvelous, the steakhouses, moderately priced for as good a steak as you will find, outside a $300 Kobe. Shoot, ask me, seen about 18 of these (with the 18 silk-screened T-shirts to prove it), know Anthony’s hours, right where it is, so if you want some tips, ask the old fart! Know a lot more than this about Omaha, America’s best kept secret in a city with under 500,00 people.

Sutpens 100
Sutpens 100
4 months ago

If by “crossover” you mean the super regional w/ which the regional including Nebraska is matched, those two things are not going to happen. Overall #1 seed will be in Fayetteville, matched with #16 seed. TCU is the lowest seeded Big 12 team #11. They might slip some more, but not all the way to #16.

Jeff Linden
Jeff Linden
4 months ago
Reply to  Wes

Better than Fayetteville! You bet, that the Big Ten is better than people think! Remember Michigan played for the National Title in 2019, so do not count out the Big Ten!

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  Jeff Linden

whomever this will be from the B10, they better have a kid as good as that Henry. He was something else. without him they do not get to Omaha.

Marlon Powell
Marlon Powell
4 months ago

You sure do love Florida, don’t you

John Deem
John Deem
4 months ago
Reply to  Marlon Powell

It’s probably more like the NCAA loves Florida and the D1 staff are aware of that sentiment.

Jon
Jon
4 months ago
Reply to  Marlon Powell

You sure do not make any reasonable argument, don’t you..?

michael reimer
michael reimer
4 months ago

Please not in the ECU regional!! 😖 We (Duke) can never beat them

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  michael reimer

nor can any of the ACC teams

John Deem
John Deem
4 months ago

I think Arkansas, Texas, and Tennessee are moving on no matter who the NCAA puts in their regionals. In the possibilities the D1 staff posted above, I also see Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Arizona, Stanford, and Ole Miss all advancing out of their home regionals. In the Spokane regional above, I like Oregon State’s chances. NC State could win the posted Charlotte regional. The Chickens pose a threat to East Carolina in the proposed Greenville regional. A rising Sun Devil team could upset the Frogs in Fort Worth. LSU could upset the Irish in South Bend. Both California and Nebraska might prove a tough test for Tech to get past in Lubbock even with the Red Raiders healthy now. And I really believe that both Northeastern and Indiana would have a chance to pull off an upset in Eugene.

B. Allen
B. Allen
4 months ago
Reply to  John Deem

Tech is still missing two starting outfielders to include a pre-season All American and Big 12 player of the year and 4 pitchers, 3 of which were going to be starters. Some young guys have stepped up of late but we are missing 6 guys with 3 years of tournament experience. To get a National Seed would be Tadlock’s best coaching job to date. I am thrilled to even be in the discussion for a National Seed.

John Deem
John Deem
4 months ago
Reply to  B. Allen

Which preseason All American team? I don’t know of any Tech players on the first team of either the NCAA or Baseball America or D!. I thought their one of their outfielders and two of their starting pitchers were back in the active lineup? They have certainly been playing better lately. I hope so for their sake. Tadlock is a good coach, Tech is very lucky to have him. Still not convinced he is staying. The SEC has megabucks to pay. LSU’s budget for baseball is 6 million a year. The rest are all around 4 million a year. Most college baseball programs run on less than a million a year. May are less than $500.000 a year. I’m sure Tadlock loves it there, and I like people who stay in one place and build programs, but in our society money talks. Anyway, Nebraska and California are also playing well right now. Neither should be underestimated. Cal might not make the tournament though. Personally, I think they will need to sweep Oregon to get in because they are bubbling on the very edge. Like LSU and some others, they just screwed up too much early in the season, but we’ll see. The D1 staff could be right. Nebraska in in, and if they end up in Lubbock, then Tech will have someone to contend with them. Don’t underestimate them just because they play in the Big-10 now. At heart, they will always be a Big-12 program.

B. Allen
B. Allen
4 months ago
Reply to  John Deem

Dylan Neuse, 3 year starting center fielder is out for season. Preseason All American and Big 12 player of the year. Kurt Wilson a three season utility player that has pitched, played third, short and first, but this year settled in as the starting left fielder is still out with broken thumb. I thought he may come back to the bullpen but he has not. Both those guys have massive post season experience to include in Omaha. The two guys filling in in the outfield have played pretty well in the field but are not the offensive threat of the two guys that are out. Drew Baker started season in right field but moved to left when Wilson was hurt. He was also out for a few weeks, to include when we lost a couple of series. Baker is the only one of the seven injured that has come back.

Last edited 4 months ago by B. Allen
Wade U
Wade U
4 months ago

I like Nebraska in Lubbock.
I like it a lot.

David Abramson
David Abramson
4 months ago
Reply to  Wade U

Amazing Huskers adjust well to an artificial surface. Indiana pod showed that. Plus, Tech will be distracted with possibly losing coach Tadlock.

SFRedRaider
SFRedRaider
4 months ago
Reply to  David Abramson

Tech signed Tadlock to a lifetime contract earlier today. I guess we can remove that distraction.

Tabor
Tabor
4 months ago
Reply to  David Abramson

Might want to rethink the Tadlock part chuckles.

Riccoricci
Riccoricci
4 months ago
Reply to  David Abramson

Oh, because you think Tadlock will join Beard in Austin…sarcasm.
Along with the recently built, state of the art, new basketball facility, Tech is also building a new facility for the Baseball team. Tadlock has no reason to leave.

CharleeB
CharleeB
4 months ago
Reply to  Riccoricci

Not to mention the lifelong contract he signed

B. Allen
B. Allen
4 months ago
Reply to  David Abramson

Lots of luck with the Tadlock distraction thing. He signed a lifetime contract with Tech yesterday. He ain’t going no wheres.

Last edited 4 months ago by B. Allen
Kennith A walker
Kennith A walker
4 months ago
Reply to  Wade U

Me too Cause I thank they sux and Arkansas would slaughter them.

B. Allen
B. Allen
4 months ago
Reply to  Wade U

So do I as a Tech fan. Not because I think Nebraska will be easy but, because I like their fans and would love to see them back in the Big 12.

Jay Hartigan
Jay Hartigan
4 months ago

With 4 teams in the top 25 and likely 2 seeds or better what would it take for CUSA to get a 5th team in the field? FAU 30-23 has quality wins at UF (2-1) and at UM (3-0) and a current RPI of 60. .

BrunoVFL
BrunoVFL
4 months ago
Reply to  Jay Hartigan

i think that rpi (61) is painful…and few series wins in conference is not gonna get you there with 2 midweek wins over Fla/Mia. Gonna need to win tourney, in my opine

Scott
Scott
4 months ago

Liberty in Austin could be scary…..

Sutpens 100
Sutpens 100
4 months ago
Reply to  Scott

Especially if Hugh Freeze is coaching that team…

Scott
Scott
4 months ago
Reply to  Sutpens 100

Maybe. I think Jackson is doing a good job.

B Siegel
B Siegel
4 months ago

The problem I have with some of these 2 seeds is that it isn’t S curvy enough, yeah I made that phrase up. 1 should be 32, 2/31, 3/30, 4/29 etc. all the way to 7 should be playing an “unranked” team. Arizona is paired with FSU that is ranked 23rd, its one thing if it’s a geographical necessity but last I checked Florida is nowhere near Tucson. Swapping Georgia Tech out of Eugene makes better S Curve sense.

BrunoVFL
BrunoVFL
4 months ago
Reply to  B Siegel

FSU has a 46 rpi…….consider this, TN got #5 seed and our 2 seed is ODU, ranked #24 with a 12 rpi……doesnt seem like a fair draw either…..but things will change a bit in the next 5 days.

Scott
Scott
4 months ago
Reply to  BrunoVFL

How does ODU have a 12 RPI. RPI is useless. They played 3 ranked teams because they had (conference). That’s it.

BrunoVFL
BrunoVFL
4 months ago
Reply to  Scott

SOS is 27….and13 q1 wins….(using ranked teams is not a reliable factor).

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  Scott

totally agree. If that thing has ODU at 12, it is more useless than I thought it was yesterday.

John Deem
John Deem
4 months ago
Reply to  B Siegel

And the NCAA will probably consider that. The D1 staff are not the oracles of college baseball. They do a pretty accurate job of forecasting, but no one is infallible. We have a few games to go. I might speculate a little like many others, but I don’t take any predictions too seriously including my own. We’ll just have to wait and see what happens.

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  B Siegel

the NCAA needs to get over that silly crap, the virus is gone, there are no reasons at all for this proximity crutch the NCAA has used through the years. I mean, we have airplanes, right?

Eric Simmons
Eric Simmons
4 months ago

What does Kentucky need to do to get back in the discussion for the NCAA Tournament? I think win the SEC West

Kennith A walker
Kennith A walker
4 months ago
Reply to  Eric Simmons

Just win the Tournament sec

Sutpens 100
Sutpens 100
4 months ago
Reply to  Eric Simmons

First pitch against Florida in Hoover is in about 10 minutes…win that game and the next 5 or 6 to become the first ever team to win the SEC tournament from the day one, single elimination group of eight. Call me if that happens and we can discuss the NCAA tournament.

Earle
Earle
4 months ago
Reply to  Eric Simmons

They are in the SEC East.

Jon
Jon
4 months ago
Reply to  Eric Simmons

Buy a ticket???

B. Allen
B. Allen
4 months ago
Reply to  Jon

That’s cold dude, but funny as hell.

Sutpens 100
Sutpens 100
4 months ago
Reply to  B. Allen

Agreed.

Steve
Steve
4 months ago

Pitt currently 7 game losing streak. Last win was Msy 8th. 22-19 16-17. You are thinking way too high of the ACC. Normally a good conference but not this year.

James
James
4 months ago
Reply to  Steve

Yes, the ACC boner that D1 seems to have maintained all season is not borne out by the results on the field.

B. Allen
B. Allen
4 months ago

Does anyone else find it odd that there is not another Power 5 team in the Stanford Regional. I know UC Irvine is really good even though not a Power 5.

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  B. Allen

you are right. They seem to be giving them the treatment Duke has had over the years in basketball if that happens.

Martin Bednar
Martin Bednar
4 months ago

Why would Michigan get a #2 and Maryland a #3 ? They are both 26-15 and Maryland has beaten Michigan 3 out of 5 games.

BrunoVFL
BrunoVFL
4 months ago
Reply to  Martin Bednar

its a full resume’……not a series, not conference standings…..but the whole schedule

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  Martin Bednar

great point? Must help to be an original B10 team!

k9_r
k9_r
4 months ago
Reply to  Martin Bednar

My question is why are Michigan and Indiana even on this list? Everyone is saying throw out RPI when discussing the Big Ten (ACC as well) but with one week to go..
Michigan RPI 99
Indiana RPI 115

These are at-large candidates? At least Maryland is RPI 67. Oh, BTW, Indiana is at Maryland, Michigan is at Nebraska in this final week. Those RPIs could both be 100+ on selection day. What will the committee do?

B. Allen
B. Allen
4 months ago

TCU fans are probably nervous about having Dallas Baptist in Fort Worth. I hope they keep DBU in Fort Worth and do not put them in Lubbock because DBU can be a pain in the rear.

tcuwr87
tcuwr87
4 months ago
Reply to  B. Allen

I think we are equally as nervous about Bryant or ASU (or any team that is lucky enough to draw the Ftw regional).

Aaron
Aaron
4 months ago

Go Beavs!

Jayson Bentley
Jayson Bentley
4 months ago

So is there a chance with a good showing in the tournament Oklahoma could get in the field?

Sutpens 100
Sutpens 100
4 months ago
Reply to  Jayson Bentley

27-26 (11-13 conf), 56 RPI…maybe with a deep run in your tournament, but it’s going to be tough, especially if there are a few bid stealers who win their tournaments. Best plan is for OK to win its tourney.

BrunoVFL
BrunoVFL
4 months ago
Reply to  Jayson Bentley

a good showing could put you on the edge…i’d think minimum of 3 wins to feel good……..then hope for some help

TOM BURKE
TOM BURKE
4 months ago

How good are Creightons chances?

Jon
Jon
4 months ago
Reply to  TOM BURKE

small

Ted Lemser
Ted Lemser
4 months ago

How do you ignore Oklahoma’s win at Arkansas.

Jon
Jon
4 months ago
Reply to  Ted Lemser

Body of work..not a single game???.. No one is ignoring anything..

Rick
Rick
4 months ago
Reply to  Ted Lemser

midweek game, #4 P’s for both teams. The strength of your #4 will help you about as much as if you wished and hoped a lot.

WARREN DONALDSON
4 months ago

“Texas Tech replaces TCU as a top-eight national seed. The Frogs have lost three straight series, squandering the advantage they have by finishing three games ahead of Tech in the Big 12 standings.”

I thought the Selection Committee is supposed to be looking at the entire season “Body of Work.” Maybe that’s just basketball, but if so finishing 3 games ahead of another team in its own conference and having a (slightly) higher RPI should be enough to put TCU ahead of Texas Tech. Had you noted Tech’s 2-of-3 series win (at home, including one extra-inning victory), that might be the difference.

I suppose the conference tournament could decide this. TCU has a better draw than Tech by virtue of its #2 seed.

Jon
Jon
4 months ago

It comes down to that..good luck

B. Allen
B. Allen
4 months ago

Look my TCU friend, these D1 guys are not deciding squat. Tech and TCU play their first game of the tournament tommorow. If they both win, Tech and TCU will settle this on the field on Thursday. If they both wind up in the losers bracket they will still play on Thursday. Bottom line, we get to settle this on the field and neither one of us can do anything about the likes of ND being seeded ahead of us.

Last edited 4 months ago by B. Allen
Riccoricci
Riccoricci
4 months ago

Let’s not forget that a short handed Tech team (numerous season ending injuries at top of lineup) won their series over both TCU and Texas. That speaks volumes.

Rick
Rick
4 months ago

I suppose we will see who is more savvy, the NCAA committee or these guys. Why would you rank Texas #2, then say you believe VU will get the #2 national seed? Seems odd. Not that it matters at all, as long as you get a top 8, get both weekends at home, that’s all you need. VU has been very good at home, but 3rd P still worries them. Reilly looked better his last two starts. Love to think you can get by on 2 SP’s, but you really cannot.

Where’s my Ark buddy? Think it is 50/50 that was tongue in cheek, when he said a few days ago, “Kopps and Wicklander are the best 2 pitchers in the SEC”. The last time anyone had two as tough to hit as the two at VU, was Bauer and Cole at UCLA, and they won in the lowest scoring CWS in probably the past 30 years. The could not hit, but it did not matter. That may have been the first year in the new stadium, when power fell off the table, all but disappeared. Not that I liked the 14-10 final years ago that USC played in when they had Mark Prior (do you recall where he was his freshman year?), thought changes were due, but went from one extreme to the other. Seems to be about right currently, the number of HR in the CWS. Think after we all see the pairings, regions Monday, those who come here a lot need to send their picks for the Eight for Omaha. I’ll try to remember to get the ball rolling, so you will have someone to make fun of! Then, we’ll get your picks, and maybe break out laughing again.

B. Allen
B. Allen
4 months ago
Reply to  Rick

South Carolina won the first year in the new stadium in Omaha. That was 2011. They also won in 2010.

Jon
Jon
4 months ago
Reply to  B. Allen

As a gator fan..please don’t remind me..!!

Vince
Vince
4 months ago

Louisville probably does not deserve to get in due to their collapse at the end of the season. If they do, they could be a dangerous team with their talent potential similar to the Florida St team of a few years ago They hit 7 home runs yesterday but gave up 10 runs in a win. The bubble teams are pretty bad so I am starting to think they might back in, but I would not dispute the committee’s decision if they don’t.

john sonedecker
john sonedecker
4 months ago

The Big Ten was at a tremendous disadvantage this year with only an in-conference 44 game schedule, no mid-week games, and no conference tournament. Nevertheless, four teams (Conferenc Champ Nebraska, Michigan, Maryland, and Indiana) belong in the NCAA Tournament. Look out for Nebraska….remember Meatchicken’s (their name in Ohio) run in 2019!
Dr. John Sonedecker, proud member
The Ohio State University 1966 NCAA Champs…..the last Big Ten team to win it all!

idk
idk
4 months ago

If Mississippi state goes 0-2 in hoover do they still get a national seed

Michael James
Michael James
4 months ago

The C USA host will b southern miss n base burg ms

Michael James
Michael James
4 months ago

Charlotte is gone home. La tech are the eagles to take