Projected Field Of 64: May 11Projections
Just a few weeks ago, we released our first in-season Field of 64 projections at the midseason mark. Since that point, we’ve had three projections, and there’s even more movement to report this week, with at least one change from a Top 16 hosting perspective.
In terms of the top eight national seeds, the teams are the same, but there is some jockeying for position. For instance, Texas hit the road and took a series from TCU, and jumped the Frogs in the national seed pecking order as a result. Meanwhile, Arizona, which was at No. 6 last week, dropped to No. 8 after a tough road series loss to Stanford. Both Stanford and Oregon are in our Top 16, and the two teams are just outside of the top spot in the Pac 12 behind the Wildcats. The winner of the Pac 12 regular season title — if it’s one of those three teams — will be a top-eight national seed.
In terms of the teams in the 9-16 seed range and hosts, there was just one change this week with Ole Miss dropping out after a series loss at Texas A&M, and Florida State joining the mix at No. 16 after taking a road series from Notre Dame. FSU still has somewhat of an RPI problem, but how much will the committee actually look at RPIs in the ACC? That is to be determined. Just two new teams entered the field this week — Maryland and Kentucky — with San Diego and UC Santa Barbara dropping out.
Our updated bids by conference: ACC (9), SEC (9), Pac 12 (6), Big 12 (5), Big Ten (5), Conference USA (4), American (2), Missouri Valley (2).
FIRST FIVE OUT:
Alabama, LSU, UC Santa Barbara, San Diego, Virginia
LAST FIVE IN:
Georgia, Kentucky, Tulane, Oklahoma State, Maryland
D1Baseball staff writers Kendall Rogers, Aaron Fitt and Mark Etheridge assemble the projections