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Projected Field Of 64: May 11

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SEE ALSO: Postseason Stock Report | Etheridge on SEC’s bubble situations


Just a few weeks ago, we released our first in-season Field of 64 projections at the midseason mark. Since that point, we’ve had three projections, and there’s even more movement to report this week, with at least one change from a Top 16 hosting perspective.

In terms of the top eight national seeds, the teams are the same, but there is some jockeying for position. For instance, Texas hit the road and took a series from TCU, and jumped the Frogs in the national seed pecking order as a result. Meanwhile, Arizona, which was at No. 6 last week, dropped to No. 8 after a tough road series loss to Stanford. Both Stanford and Oregon are in our Top 16, and the two teams are just outside of the top spot in the Pac 12 behind the Wildcats. The winner of the Pac 12 regular season title — if it’s one of those three teams — will be a top-eight national seed.

In terms of the teams in the 9-16 seed range and hosts, there was just one change this week with Ole Miss dropping out after a series loss at Texas A&M, and Florida State joining the mix at No. 16 after taking a road series from Notre Dame. FSU still has somewhat of an RPI problem, but how much will the committee actually look at RPIs in the ACC? That is to be determined. Just two new teams entered the field this week — Maryland and Kentucky — with San Diego and UC Santa Barbara dropping out.

Our updated bids by conference: ACC (9), SEC (9), Pac 12 (6), Big 12 (5), Big Ten (5), Conference USA (4), American (2), Missouri Valley (2).

FIRST FIVE OUT:

Alabama, LSU, UC Santa Barbara, San Diego, Virginia

LAST FIVE IN:

Georgia, Kentucky, Tulane, Oklahoma State, Maryland


D1Baseball staff writers Kendall Rogers, Aaron Fitt and Mark Etheridge assemble the projections

D1Baseball Projected Field of 64: May 11
FAYETTEVILLETALLAHASSEE
1. Arkansas* (1)1. Florida State (16)
4. Oral Roberts*4. South Alabama*
2. Nebraska2. Charlotte
3. Oklahoma State3. Georgia
NASHVILLEPITTSBURGH
1. Vanderbilt (2)1. Pittsburgh (15)
4. Southeast Missouri State*4. Lehigh*
2. Old Dominion2. UCLA
3. Maryland3. Fairfield*
AUSTINRUSTON
1. Texas (3)1. Louisiana Tech* (14)
4. Bryant*4. New Orleans*
2. Michigan2. Ole Miss
3. Miami3. Tulane
STARKVILLEGREENVILLE
1. Mississippi State (4)1. East Carolina* (13)
4. Jackson State*4. Wofford*
2. Southern Miss2. South Carolina
3. Clemson3. NC State
FORT WORTHGAINESVILLE
1. TCU* (5)1. Florida (12)
4. Stony Brook*4. Florida A&M*
2. Oregon State2. Louisville
3. Dallas Baptist*3. USC Upstate*
KNOXVILLEEUGENE
1. Tennessee (6)1. Oregon (11)
4. VCU*4. Northeastern*
2. Georgia Tech2. Gonzaga*
3. Liberty*3. Kentucky
SOUTH BENDLUBBOCK
1. Notre Dame* (7)1. Texas Tech (10)
4. Central Michigan*4. Wright State*
2. Indiana*2. Arizona State
3. Indiana State3. Iowa
TUCSONSTANFORD
1. Arizona* (8)1. Stanford (9)
4. Grand Canyon*4. Nevada*
2. Baylor2. UC Irvine*
3. Virginia Tech3. Connecticut*
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RangerRic
RangerRic
1 month ago

Not trying to sound like a homer but…TTU at #10 is outright disrespectful. They own series wins over both #5TCU and #3UT (in Austin). Yes, they have a couple of 1-2 series losses to also ran conference teams but those were due to season ending injuries in key spots.
My 2¢! Carry on.

Samuel Bond
Samuel Bond
1 month ago
Reply to  RangerRic

They realistically aren’t going to catch UT or TCU in the league standings and will finish 3rd in the conference. The Big12 likely won’t get 3 national seeds so that leaves them at either 9 or 10. I personally would have them at 9 ahead of Stanford, but my opinion doesn’t matter. Only the stats listed above. Head to head wins are typically looked at the most in the event of a tie in the standings, which as I stated above isn’t likely. They’re a scary team though and I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see them in Omaha.

RangerRic
RangerRic
1 month ago
Reply to  Samuel Bond

I totally get what you’re saying, however, if a team is that good…the conference they’re in shouldn’t matter. I know there’s a lot of jealousy, spite, envy, resentment, etc towards the SEC having so many teams in Top25 but if it’s a good team – reward it.
The Top 8 National Seeds should probably be 4 SEC, 3 Big12, 1 PAC or 5 SEC, 3 B12.

Samuel Bond
Samuel Bond
1 month ago
Reply to  RangerRic

I can understand that but it won’t ever happen. There aren’t enough interconference games, especially this season, to reliably compare conference strengths to that degree. Most of it is just very analytical speculation. Granted that speculation is usually right, but sometimes you have a team like Michigan in 2019 that was much better than what anyone believed based on their conference.

Donald Peterson
Donald Peterson
1 month ago
Reply to  Samuel Bond

Precisely, and I anticipate some real surprises this June that no one has a feel for because of the lack of inter conference play, hard to know what anyone really has.

Jared
Jared
30 days ago
Reply to  Samuel Bond

If it’s not SEC, it’s not worth watching. Hope your TTU team can survive their bracket and then come play some real teams… See how they fair against Vandy with Leiter and/or Rocker on the hill…

Vince Henderson
Vince Henderson
28 days ago
Reply to  Jared

Just WOW. 😳
If you’re just looking at final scores and nothing else this makes sense. Can’t watch every game and I understand. If not for 9th inning bullpen collapses Tech is 2-1 rather than 0-3 to begin the season in a tournament with Arkansas, Miss St and Ole Miss. It’s all subjective. We’re about to find out who the best teams are.

John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago
Reply to  RangerRic

Ranger Ric. A few years back, Arizona had the best team in college basketball, hands down until injuries sidelined some key players. They didn’t win it all. When the Red Raiders are healthy, they are formidable. No one would say they are not in the top ten or capable of winning it all. They are! But injuries are part of the game, and there are consequences to every loss just as there are for every victory. In the end it’s who wins it all that counts. Nothing else matters, especially rankings.

BrunoVFL
BrunoVFL
1 month ago
Reply to  John Deem

3 rankings systems have them at 10, 12 and 14. Good luck with ya season

Vince Henderson
Vince Henderson
28 days ago
Reply to  BrunoVFL

Tool😂

Mark Fuqua
Mark Fuqua
1 month ago
Reply to  RangerRic

Totally agree

Jeff Skelton
Jeff Skelton
1 month ago

Why is Texas a higher seed than Mississippi State? By every metric, State should be the higher seed. In RPI, State is #2 and Texas is #3. In strength of schedule, State is #3 and Texas is #10. In record versus top 100 RPI teams State is 23-10 and Texas is 21-10. The D1 Top25 has State ranked ahead of Texas. What metric, fact, theory, feeling or anything can the D1 staff point to which justifies Texas being seeded higher than State? Although the D1 staff discounts the win because it was early in the season, State beat Texas head to head at a neutral site in Texas. The D1 staff also points to Texas’ sweep of South Carolina in Austin. However, that too was early in the year, and South Carolina is only a middle of the pack SEC team. Is MSU being given a lower seed just an effort to break up SEC teams at the very top? Is it just to generate interest or clicks from SEC fans? Being either a #3 or #4 national seed is great, and I will be happy if MSU gets a national seed even if it is below Texas. Ultimately, you have to win on the field no matter where seeded. I just want to understand the D1 staff’s thinking.

Last edited 1 month ago by Jeff Skelton
Samuel Bond
Samuel Bond
1 month ago
Reply to  Jeff Skelton

They’re projecting that as the #2 conference the Big12 will get a seeding before the SEC gets a 3rd, which is probably likely. I don’t have a big issue with it. Hail State!

Coy W.
Coy W.
1 month ago
Reply to  Jeff Skelton

Plus, we beat Texas head-to-head in Arlington, TX & their ace Ty Madden!!

Samuel Bond
Samuel Bond
1 month ago
Reply to  Coy W.

I’m a Hail State alum and currently attending there again, but we’ve got to stop bringing that up as a valid comparison. That was one game, the first one to be exact. Head to head victories come into play when you’re talking series, not single games where the other team didn’t even get to practice the week before. It was great for our rpi, that’s about it at this point.

Larry
Larry
1 month ago
Reply to  Samuel Bond

It’s ONE of the reasons. RPI, SOS, ranking and conference strength all favor state. If you add head to head it seals it, if you discount head to head it still makes no sense

Samuel Bond
Samuel Bond
1 month ago
Reply to  Larry

I’m just telling you what’s likely, not who I think is the better team. I just don’t see the committee putting 3 teams from the same conference in before putting in a single team from the #2 rpi conference. Since Texas will likely win the Big12, that team will likely be Texas. I hope I’m wrong though. Hail State!

B. Allen
B. Allen
1 month ago
Reply to  Samuel Bond

What makes you think Texas will win the big 12? They will need KState to beat TCU. I think TCU will win the conference and Texas will have Tech to blame.

Jeff Skelton
Jeff Skelton
1 month ago
Reply to  B. Allen

Good point. It looks like TCU, not Texas, has the best chance to be Big 12 champion. TCU is in first place by one game. Both teams have three games left against similar (RPI over 100) conference opponents. So, again what metric, fact, theory or anything justifies Texas being seeded higher than Mississippi State?

B. Allen
B. Allen
1 month ago
Reply to  Coy W.

Was that in February? Tech pounded the crap out of their 1st round ace last week on their home field and they are now projected 7 seeds ahead of Tech.

James Reinhart
James Reinhart
1 month ago
Reply to  B. Allen

What you don’t know is that the Texas Ace, Ty Madden, was fighting a nagging blister throughput the game.

Thomas McMurray
Thomas McMurray
1 month ago
Reply to  James Reinhart

Ty Madden is probably a top 5 draft. I would take him but Red Raiders can hit. He threw well with high velocity but TTU just hits better. Texas has issues with lower half of order. Love Hado. He will play MLB someday.

Glenn
Glenn
1 month ago
Reply to  James Reinhart

Now we find out. Knew it couldn’t simply be they got their butts handed to them.

Ronnie Fulton
Ronnie Fulton
1 month ago
Reply to  Jeff Skelton

Jeff, you make good points…and, there’s no legitimate argument against them. State just needs to keep winning. Since the 2-4 start in the SEC, State has won ever series except going 1-2 at Vandy. Today, the Bulldogs are hottest team in the country and will be a top two seed when it counts.

Last edited 1 month ago by Ronnie Fulton
Larry
28 days ago
Reply to  Ronnie Fulton

That’s the stupidest thing I have heard in a long time !! Congratulations

Gary
Gary
1 month ago
Reply to  Jeff Skelton

Disclosure – I am not a UT supporter, I’m a Texas Tech grad. You stated that Texas sweeping South Carolina was too early in the season, but it still holds some value since it was an actual 3-game series and it was a sweep. I would think that most of us would probably agree that the majority of teams are not at their finest early in the season so it proportionately works itself out.

You could also make the case that the majority of the teams in the top 10-12 have lost some games or series they “shouldn’t have.” Yes, the SEC collectively is the best conference overall; I’ll be the first to admit that. I actually enjoy watching SEC ball outside of big 12 ball because it’s good quality baseball. With that being said, I still believe we will see the usual breakdown of the final 8 – at least 2 SEC teams (any in the top 4-5 honestly), at least 1 big 12 team (TCU, Tech, or Texas), 1-2 ACC schools (Miami or FSU always have talent), or 1 pac 12 team (Oregon or UCLA have a reasonable path). Obviously that list can change and anything is possible. That’s why I love baseball because disparity tends to be relevant in this sport. It’s already been a great season.

Wreck ‘em Tech

Tanner
Tanner
1 month ago
Reply to  Jeff Skelton

Cry some more please

BrunoVFL
BrunoVFL
1 month ago
Reply to  Jeff Skelton

Texas currently has 5 to go, favored x 5……..MsSt has 7, 2 SEC series (Mz/)……may be somewhat factored in.

B. Allen
B. Allen
1 month ago
Reply to  Jeff Skelton

Dude, becuase they are FUT. After all they have won 3 of their last 6 conference games.

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago
Reply to  Jeff Skelton

First of all, just being here complaining about being #4 instead of #3 is stupid. You can nit pick on behalf of any team. You mentioned State being 23-10 vs Texas 21-10 vs top 100 RPI. Well, maybe that’s only because they’ve played 2 more games? It’s a meaningless difference. And it will change. One could point out that State is 10-9 vs the top 25 but Texas is 12-8. I think this scenario only plays out if Texas wins the BIg 12. As another poster said, they likely won’t put 3 SEC teams ahead of the Bjg 12 winner. Relax. Its only a PROJECTION. State may end up being #2 if Vandy falters in any way.

John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago
Reply to  Jeff Skelton

You said it yourself. Ultimately, you have to win no matter where you’re at. In the end, the only thing that counts is who wins. The SEC is awfully spoiled, pampered, and used to getting their way, but the second team in the Big 12 probably gets the nod over the number 3 in the SEC.

Corbin believer
Corbin believer
1 month ago
Reply to  John Deem

I seriously doubt that

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago
Reply to  John Deem

Only if Vandy flounders, which is less likely now that Hoglund is out for Ole Miss. Ms State could easily win all 7 of their remaining games, so don’t expect a 2nd Big 12 team to jump them.

Jon
Jon
30 days ago
Reply to  Jeff Skelton

Your boys are about to lose another SEC series.. This time at home to mizzou.. You need to wake up to reality.. If you get a host regional as the #1 seed in it..you should be thankful that being in the SEC saved you.. Just so you know, I am a gators fan, so no sec bias from me..I know how tough the sec is but MSU doesn’t have the resume for your post’s wishes.. Sry

Michael
Michael
1 month ago

ND, Arizona, and Stanford are all ranked below Texas Tech but they come in as a higher seed than Texas Tech at #10, what’s wrong with that picture?

Samuel Bond
Samuel Bond
1 month ago
Reply to  Michael

The only one that I don’t agree with is Stanford. Conference Champs of high rpi conferences will likely get the nod ahead of Tech

B. Allen
B. Allen
1 month ago
Reply to  Samuel Bond

If conference champs mean so much why is Fairfield not hosting? We both know why. They play in a shit conference. And so does AZ and Stanford. None of those left coast teams will make it to Omaha. The ACC is a good conference but this is a down year for them and ND is the beneficiary of Virgina and Louie having off years.

Last edited 1 month ago by B. Allen
Samuel Bond
Samuel Bond
1 month ago
Reply to  B. Allen

Because there’s a big difference between the MAAC and the PAC12 and ACC….

John
John
1 month ago
Reply to  B. Allen

Shit conference? Pac 12 has won 5 NCAA CWS championships this Century. If you include left Coast teams as you say, they have won 7 NCAA CWS championships. You have been hit too many times in the head with fast balls.

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago
Reply to  John

IMHO the consistency of quality DEPTH lags behind the ACC, Big12 and ACC. It only takes one great team to win the CWS. Omaha is filled with teams from those other conferences pretty much every year. The western teams seem to be more up and down. No Omaha teams in 2019. When was the last time that happened to those other conferences? PAC seems up this year but the other western conferences are down. I’m expecting the PAC to do better this year, mostly because there will be a lot of good but not elite ACC teams in the field. D1 says its common knowledge among baseball pros (media, scouts, coaches) that the SEC’s edge is due to more quality arms. We’ll see.

BrunoVFL
BrunoVFL
1 month ago
Reply to  B. Allen

There are stadium requirements for hosting……..may/may not have submitted a bid

B Siegel
B Siegel
1 month ago
Reply to  B. Allen

The PAC-12 is a shit conference? Probably going to have 6 teams in tournament and they played a non-conference schedule so not sure what you base that on. Sorry your cable provider doesn’t carry the P12 Network but they play pretty good baseball there. At least one will make it to Omaha.

Donald Peterson
Donald Peterson
1 month ago
Reply to  B. Allen

You completely discount the fact that PAC and ACC were constrained by excessive Covid protocols and neither conference did any fall or off-season work, whereas SEC didn’t adhere to such stringent lock downs, and so were more prepped at season start. We shall see if your very opinionated perspective holds true come mid-June, by then those shit conferences w/ some of the best talent pools to draw from in the country are as bad as you hubristically state…big humble pie if not….too many of your type on this forum.

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago

First of all, the “shitty” conference remark was so patently stupid that it may have been a troll and represents VERY few posters. My curiosity is up – how do you know what the COVID protocols and “fall or off season work” were at all these schools across the country? Not saying you don’t, but I follow baseball fairly closely and am unaware. Didn’t notice any decreased cancellation rate in those conferences due to actual infections but rather the opposite, so maybe “excessive COVID protocols” didn’t work?

B. Allen
B. Allen
1 month ago
Reply to  Samuel Bond

Unfortunately you are probably right. I just hope Tech gets to see that high conference champ in the supers.

Sutpens 100
Sutpens 100
1 month ago
Reply to  Michael

Michael, D1’s Top 25 rankings are meaningless when it comes to tournament seeding. Your better arguments are RPI and SOS, but that only works with Stanford and Notre Dame. TT RPI 9, SOS 23; AZ RPI/SOS 7/5; ND RPI/SOS 13/54; Stanford RPI/SOS 17/61. Samuel Bond makes a valid point about conference championships, too, and D1 is projecting both ND and AZ as winning their conferences. If ND loses the ACC tournament, maybe TT moves ahead of them.

B. Allen
B. Allen
1 month ago
Reply to  Sutpens 100

Good points. My prejudice against the once great PAC 12 is showing. If Tech is not a national seed vb I would hope to face AZ or Stanford.

Doug Wildman
Doug Wildman
1 month ago

What are the odds that the actual brackets look anything like this? Other than getting some of the regional hosts correct, the 2,3,and 4 seeds won’t be close.

Kendall Rogers
1 month ago
Reply to  Doug Wildman

Well considering our hit rate is off the charts good … I like our chances, Doug. 🙂

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago
Reply to  Doug Wildman

ABSOLUTELY correct. Could not agree more. They usually get all or almost all of the hosting teams correct but not necessarily the seeding. Look how the NCAA screwed over the SEC in 2018 with them eliminating each other in super regionals when it likely could have been avoided by a change of ONE seeding spot.

Last edited 1 month ago by RICHARD
John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago
Reply to  RICHARD

Poor poor SEC. They are so terribly mistreated. They should just eliminate everyone else no matter what and give all the teams in the SEC a tie for national champions every year. Now that would be fairness.

Donald Peterson
Donald Peterson
1 month ago
Reply to  John Deem

Man, I guess…some of these posters, uhg! Worse than Yankee fans!

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago

Seedings that pair teams from the same conference in opposite regionals, when it easily could have been rectified, is problematic and subject to criticism whatever the conference. BTW the biggest critics in 2018 were the D1 staff and other baseball media. They wrote at length about jt.

John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago

But I’m serious. I cry myself to sleep every night thinking about how unfairly the SEC is treated. Why cant they have 16 number number one seeds? Just because there are only 14 teams in the conference shouldn’t matter none. Then they could call the winner of each hosted regional the national champion, Vanderbilt and Arkansas could get two National Championships each, since the best two teams could host two regionals back to back. I know it’s a tad short on the glory for everyone else in the SEC to get only one National Championship. But hey, they might finish first and second and get two National Championships some other year. That way, it’s fair for everybody as long as they play in the SEC.

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago
Reply to  John Deem

What an intelligent, informative post. BTW he biggest complainers about the 2018 seeding were the D1 staff, AH.

Last edited 1 month ago by RICHARD
Dillon Fowler
Dillon Fowler
1 month ago

Florida State has no business hosting. 8 games over .500 and an RPI in the high 30’s. No way…

Samuel Bond
Samuel Bond
1 month ago
Reply to  Dillon Fowler

With a decent likelihood of reaching 21-15 in conference, yeah I’d imagine they host. If they drop either series to Clemson or NC State though, I doubt they will and someone like Southern Miss or Charlotte will have a shot to move in with a strong conference tournament showing

Randy
Randy
1 month ago
Reply to  Dillon Fowler

FSU has won 5 out last 6 series, including being the only team to take a series from Notre Dame, last weekend. Their Q1 record is 13-10, they have the best pitching staff in ACC; college baseball’s home run leader, Matt Nelson and 3 top notch weekend starters.
their SOS is 18. They started the season slow, but have played very well for 6 weeks! Definitely deserve to host.

John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago
Reply to  Dillon Fowler

Pretty sure Kendall Rogers made it clear D1 baseball was going out on a limb with that one. Anyway, it doesn’t amount to squat right now anyway because the season’s not over.

Jacob Hutson
Jacob Hutson
1 month ago

FSU over southern miss?

Michael
Michael
1 month ago
Reply to  Jacob Hutson

I was wondering the same thing. Why FSU over Southern Miss?

James
James
1 month ago

Florida State hosting over some of the other teams (Ole Miss, USM, etc) is a joke.

Beth
Beth
1 month ago
Reply to  James

Boo!!!! Go Noles!!!!

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago
Reply to  James

Ole Miss has lost 5 series including one at home to UCF, but the loss of Hogland makes the difference.

James
James
1 month ago
Reply to  RICHARD

They’ve actually lost 6 series (3 of those to Arkansas, Miss. State, and Florida). Don’t we keep hearing overall body of work for the entire season? (wins vs Texas, TCU, TTU) They’re still 25+ spots ahead of Florida State in the RPI with a stronger strength of schedule and are 19 games above .500 vs FSU’s 8 games above .500. So Hoglund being out just erases the gross disparity in RPI? I’m not arguing Ole Miss being in as a host as much as I’m arguing there’s no way FSU should be hosting. There are more deserving teams.

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago
Reply to  James

Make your argument for “other deserving teams” and why they should replace FSU. Forget RPIs – they are virtually meaningless with regard to the ACC and are totally meaningless for the Big 10 (and MEAC). And the NCAA DOES factor injuries, especially season ending ones.

Last edited 1 month ago by RICHARD
James
James
1 month ago
Reply to  RICHARD

In your “allowable metrics”, we can’t compare anything to do with RPI. USM, for one, has a comparable SOS (30 vs mid 20’s) and is 18 games above .500. FSU is 8 games above .500 but has played 6 fewer games (give them 4-2 and they’d be 10 games above .500). You could literally do that with a couple of other teams. Do you think FSU deserves a host spot? But definitely toss Ole Miss out bc # of series’ lost, never mind 3 sweeps but not getting swept (yet), and a season ending injury?

RICHARD
RICHARD
29 days ago
Reply to  James

NO. Comparing RPIs from teams outside the ACC with teams inside the ACC is almost meaningless THIS season because the ACC played so few interconference games. It is absolutely meaningless regarding the Big 10 and a few other conferences because they played ZERO inter conference games. If you don’t understand this, I’m not taking the time to try to explain. Read my other comment below. Read the articles written by the D1 staff regarding this. Read the weekly chat.

ALLEN STIDGER
ALLEN STIDGER
1 month ago
Reply to  RICHARD

I am curious. Why are RPIs meaningless? In past years it has seemed like the committee pretty much aligned with RPI. I have heard people say the RPI is no longer valid due to Covid but I never understood why.

James
James
1 month ago
Reply to  ALLEN STIDGER

The fact that some conferences didn’t play enough non-conference opponents to get a great gauge for the RPI to mean as much as it usually does. However, a small sample size is better than just ignoring an awful RPI. FSU is 8-4 with an 80 RPI vs non-conference opponents. Hell, Georgia is a 3 seed in FSU’s bracket in the projections with a better overall win percentage, much higher non-con win % and RPI, comparable SOS. FSU hosting is a joke.

RICHARD
RICHARD
29 days ago
Reply to  ALLEN STIDGER

I did NOT say RPIs were meaningless. I was specifically addressing the poster who said FSU should not be a regional post. I asked him to name the teams he thought should replace FSU and WHY but NOT to use RPI comparisons (with teams outside the ACC) because the ACC only had 2 nonconference weekends this year. That makes THEIR RPI almost meaningless. The RPI requires results from inter conference play to make valid comparisons. This is their database. The more games i.e data, the more meaningful the RPI. Several conferences such as the Big 10 played only conference games so their RPIs really are totally meaningless. It has nothing to do with COVID other than that is one reason the BIG 10 et al chose only to play conference games. The ACC decided to expand their conference schedule by 6 games so that eliminated 2 weekends from non conference play.

John
John
30 days ago
Reply to  James

How is Arkansas number 1 in the country? I have watched them play both games this weekend against TN and they have no starting pitching. This team will be lucky to make it out of a regional.

Jon
Jon
30 days ago
Reply to  John

Congratulations!!!.. You have just won Stupidest Comment Ever..!!!.. Great job..

B. Allen
B. Allen
1 month ago

Ok, I am a TTU homer but being behind ND, AZ, and Stanford is complete BS. I have no problem with the SEC teams in front of Tech; however, as one person posted yesterday this affirmative action program for ND is just getting ridiculous. And I am not impressed by those lame left coast teams. D1 said “Texas hit the road and took a series from TCU, and jumped the Frogs in the national seed pecking order as a result.” Well, just one week ago Tech “…hit the road and took a series from Texas (in Austin).” And Tech pounded the Texas 1st round ace, pounded their Saturday ace and sent their Sunday starter to the showers in the first inning. WTF, did you guys not see Texas shit the bed against Tech only one week before?

Last edited 1 month ago by B. Allen
Mike
Mike
1 month ago
Reply to  B. Allen

One thing about your post is right, your a homer, but you must not watch the games though. Hmmm, you pounded their Saturday ace? I see shut out for 8 innings, 1 big inning mainly due to 2 HBP and a walk, 6 total hits for the game, and then saved by the rain. The Sunday game (a big Texas win) appears to be the only game involving a pounding but you fail to mention that. Tech was lucky to win that series, you should be happy to still be top 10 instead of crying about UT and TCU.

John
John
1 month ago
Reply to  Mike

You win on the field. Plain and simple. Crying about TT too low a seed is for kindergarteners. If you have the better team then they will win. Period. Play ball and quit complaining about injuries. It is part of the game. You don’t win games on “what ifs”.

B. Allen
B. Allen
1 month ago
Reply to  Mike

Actually, having watched the Texas v. TCU series I am frankly amazed we won the series against them both. I also have no problem with both of them being ahead of Tech. They both have bullpens that are much deeper than Tech’s and that lack of depth is going to be a major problem for Tech in the regionals. I definitely expect them both to make it to Omaha and if they do i will be pulling for them. However, after that comment about Texas going on the road and beating TCU it seemed unjustified that Tech would be 7 seeds lower than Texas after Tech went on the road the week before and won the series against UT. Personally I would project TCU 5, Texas 6, Arizona 7 and Tech 8th. Realistically Tech is not going to be a national seed unless when can run the table becuase the RPIs of OU and KU will not help us. And we always play the conference tournament like iT Is an intrasquad scrimmage and this year we cannot afford to get anyone hurt in the conference tournament.

Last edited 1 month ago by B. Allen
Bevo
Bevo
1 month ago
Reply to  B. Allen

Poor, poor , Red Raiders! Always whining about something.

John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago
Reply to  B. Allen

Remind me how many National Championships in college baseball Texas Tech has? And how many have been won by this left coast? Tech has a very good team when healthy … a top ten team capable of winning it all. They might. They will certainly get their chance. In 1976, the NCAA very intentionally sent a number 2 ranked Arizona to a very tough Midwest Regional in the obvious hopes the Wildcats would be eliminated far from home. Jerry Kendall didn’t whine about it, and the Wildcats went to Omaha and won it all against the very best team to ever play college baseball, an Arizona State team ranked number one that eventually had 13 players play in the Major Leagues (Not I do not mean AAA ball). How many Texas Tech teams have had 13 major leaguers in one year? Check the facts, don’t take my word for it. Anyway, the point is they did not whine. The fans did not whine. We simply did the job. If this Tech team plays as well as it is capable, there will be no need for their fans to whine. They will simply do the job and bring home a National Championship. Then you can raise your finger high in the air at me and say looky here … WE GOT ONE!

Ken
Ken
1 month ago

Look out for LSU, I think they will get 13 conference wins and make the tournament. As of may 2 some had them at #1 for sos and 24 for rpi. Starting to play better, took 2 out of 3 from Auburn and today blasted La tech who had a rpi of 20 and ranked 14th. Easier remaining schedule after starting best conference in baseball against 6 top 10 sec schools with the 7th against Kentucky which was also ranked when they played. If they get in the tournament look for them to do some damage to someones regional

Walter Gauthreaux
Walter Gauthreaux
1 month ago
Reply to  Ken

Louisiana Tech being a host has to be a joke right? In two games LSU has out scored La Tech (A regional host apparently) by a combined total of 32-15.

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago
Reply to  Ken

Blowing that huge lead in the 8th inning and losing at OM was big. A sweep likely have gotten them in with 13 wins. Now very questionable unless they do well in the tourney and don’t blow any more games.

Ken
Ken
1 month ago
Reply to  RICHARD

Yes, team is very young, 2 decent Fri/sat starters, weak middle bullpen and hot and cold closer. I think if they take 2 from bama and 2 from Aggies and win 1 in tournament they should be in. Getting swept at Knoxville by a total of 4 runs and blowing a 8 run lead in 8th inning at Oxford definitely put pressure on tigers. Definitely not 2017 team that was runner-up in Omaha or the 2019 team that was upset in their super regional by fla st. I kind of compare this team to the 2018 team that overachieved in the sec tournament and wound up with 15 conference wins and was sent to Corvallis regional where they wound up 2 and 2 and ran out of pitching losing both games to eventual national champ Oregon St. If this year’s tigers do make the tournament, would love to see them in Tallahassee regional if fla st host. Tigers knocked Noles out of Omaha in 2017 and Noles knocked tigers out of their super in 2019.

John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago
Reply to  Ken

You might be right about LSU, Ken. But it is a close call. We’ll just have to see how it plays out down the stretch. I think their destiny is in their own hands and they are a talented and capable team.

Kevin Staine
Kevin Staine
1 month ago

I’m a Big10 fan but no way we get 5 in. It’s gonna be IU, Neb, and then 2 of the following Terps, Mich or Iowa. Go Terps!

Andrew
Andrew
1 month ago
Reply to  Kevin Staine

I don’t see why more than 2 would get in. If you refuse to play out of conference, you shouldn’t be rewarded with at large bids. I personally would say only one bid, but maybe give the runner up a bid too. A bunch of middling records vs middling teams is very unimpressive tbh.

Kevin Staine
Kevin Staine
1 month ago
Reply to  Andrew

Haha, well that’s not going to happen. 1 or 2? C’mon man. I’ll take your argument for limiting it to 3 possibly but that’ll be the minimum. They’ll get 4 though. Not 5. But 44 conference games – where every one matters, in a Power 5 is no joke. No cupcake mid-major mid-week games to help boost the W total here? But all of this will come out in the wash once the tourney begins. The B1G might surprise …..again.

Sutpens 100
Sutpens 100
1 month ago
Reply to  Kevin Staine

The top tier B1G teams don’t need any cupcake mid-major mid-week games to boost their W total because they’ve got the bottom half of the conference to feast off of.

Kevin Staine
Kevin Staine
1 month ago
Reply to  Sutpens 100

Fair. The only conferences you can’t say that abou though are the top 3 (SEC, ACC and PAC12). Other than that they all have the bottom portion of their conferences to beat up. Including the BIG12 (K-state, Kansas, Oklahoma, WVU). Almost half thier conference. All of them are well below .500 in conf but all except WVU have overall winning records. They have sweeps against the likes of St. Louis, Creighton, Omaha, South Dakota State, Western Mich.,Ark. Pine-Bluff, Morehead State, Central Mich). Lol… People is glass houses , you know sutpens? But again….we’ll see on the field. Lock in 4 for the B1G though.

John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago
Reply to  Kevin Staine

They’ll get at least three in, Ken. However, I don’t think the Mutant Ninja Terrapins are going to be one of them unless they boost their rpi by a lot. Michigan is most likely.

Kevin Staine
Kevin Staine
1 month ago
Reply to  John Deem

Purdue this weekend won’t help the Terps but the final 2 series are away at Michigan and home vs #21 Indiana. Those will help. But the winner of the Mich series will be the 3 or the 4 from the B1G. They’ll join Indiana and Nebraska . Iowa will also likely make it. Regardless who eventually does get the at-larges, the B1G will make some noise in the tourney.

John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago
Reply to  Kevin Staine

Michigan came close to winning a few years ago. Sadly for Arizona, good pitching usually beats good hitting, and the Big 10 has some good pitching. Don’t be surprised if it is an all SEC final. Vanderbilt and Arkansas are probably the two best. Even so, upsets can always happen.

Mac tee
Mac tee
1 month ago

Picking Nevada to win MWC interesting. Don’t sleep on SDSU currently in 1st place also tops in county in Avg. and runs.

Josh Goode
Josh Goode
1 month ago

Really? So Louisville beats Florida State 2 of 3, and Pittsburg wouldn’t even come play us, but yet they are gonna get a #15 & #16 seed when Louisville is ranked #15 and they are ranked #16 & #17? Sounds like BS to me!!!!

Jon
Jon
30 days ago
Reply to  Josh Goode

Waah..waah..waah..would you like some cheese with your whine??

Josh Goode
Josh Goode
1 month ago

Not to mention Louisville beat #2 Vanderbilt 7-2…. Come on now we got screwed in the NCAA Basketball tournament, don’t screw us in baseball too!

John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago
Reply to  Josh Goode

If the Cardinals are as good as you think they are, their fans will have nothing to cry about when all is said and done. You must win wherever you have to play. The final games are always in Omaha. Go to Pitt and beat them there. Go to Vanderbilt and beat them there. If this is your year and you’re better with a bigger heart and a little luck, you’ll win it all. If not, don’t cry about it or give up, there’s always next years and other years.

Ronnie Fulton
Ronnie Fulton
1 month ago
Reply to  John Deem

Josh, you better be nice…you could end up hosting with Clemson in the Louisville Regional.

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago
Reply to  Josh Goode

Never ceases to amaze me how posters will point to a single midweek game win, especially at home, as somehow having some greater significance beyond temporary bragging rights in the rivalry. It gave the Cards a tiny boost in their RPI, nothing more.

Ronnie Fulton
Ronnie Fulton
1 month ago
Reply to  Josh Goode

Louisville beat Vandy in midweek…They also lost to Kentucky in midweek.

John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago

I am a PAC-12 fan and detest the SEC. That said in complete honesty, I cannot believe the selection committee would select Maryland with an rpi of 88 over Alabama with an rpi of 30. As much as I may detest the SEC (LSU excepted since I was born in Louisiana) they are hands down the best conference in college baseball. I would not be surprised to see ten teams make the field of 64.

john sonedecker
john sonedecker
1 month ago

Ready for a “sleeper”……Ohio State has a narrow path to the NCAA Tournament. The Bucks need to sweep their games including four (4) over Big Ten Conference leaders Indiana and Nebraska. The Bucks already have a weekend 4 game sweep over the Hoosiers and a split with Nebraska. It can be done…Our 1966 NCAA Champions won 19 in a row on the road to the title! GO BUCKS!
Dr. John Sonedecker, proud member of our 1966 National Champs

John Deem
John Deem
1 month ago

Dear John This Ohio State team has an uphill climb over Mount Everest to win 19 in a row. They are a good team, and stranger things have happened.

Jon
Jon
30 days ago

Well..you are dreaming.. So, good luck to you..!!

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago

EVERYBODY needs to remember that these seedings are based on D1’s PROJECTED final resume for a team at the end of the regular season NOT the team’s current resume. This might end some of the squawking based on comparing things as of 5/11.

ALLEN STIDGER
ALLEN STIDGER
1 month ago
Reply to  RICHARD

That is a very valid point.

Ronnie Fulton
Ronnie Fulton
1 month ago

Who are the frontrunners for the Golden Spikes award? I’d like to nominate Tanner Allen OF from Mississippi State..The man does it all…great leader, defender, hitter (both power and average) and runs the bases better than any player I’ve seen this year. He’s a joy to watch play the game.

Corbin believer
Corbin believer
1 month ago
Reply to  Ronnie Fulton

not denying Tanner’s resume for potential GS award but must take exception to him being the best baserunner this year….Enrique Bradfield is in a league of his own on the bases.

RICHARD
RICHARD
1 month ago

Perhaps he was referring to RUNNING rather than STEALING. There is a dif

Corbin believer
Corbin believer
1 month ago
Reply to  RICHARD

so was I

John
John
30 days ago

Notice 9 SEC teams in and not one SEC – SEC super regional. Thinking only 9 SEC teams will make the field of 64 is incorrect. It will most likely be 11-12. The fact there will be nearly no potential SEC – SEC super regional match-ups is also by design. When ESPN sells the advertisement slots for the post season there is a desire to have as many SEC teams as possible in the field of 64 and have them play for as long as possible for the ratings. This is not a conspiracy theory – one of my good friends worked in Disney corporate strategy group. Any who thinks this is nuts, tell me CNN, ABC, NBC, etc. dont appeal to their core viewers – for college baseball theyre all in the south.

Jon
Jon
30 days ago
Reply to  John

More tinfoil hat conspiracy theory crap from you..every single post.. Wash..Rinse..Repeat..

RICHARD
RICHARD
29 days ago
Reply to  John

This is a projected field by the D1 staff not by the NCAA (or ESPN? Huh?). D1 tries to seed teams in their field of 64 whenever possible to avoid super regional matchups between teams from the same conference. That is NOT necessarily true of the NCAA (check 2018). Same conference matchups can save travel expenses. They can promote PC “diversity” in Omaha. After all, who wants to see 4 teams from the same conference in the semis at Omaha other than the fans from those conferences? Solution: make them play in the supers. Seed them so they end up in the same bracket in Omaha. This is more likely than your scenario.

Last edited 29 days ago by RICHARD
John
John
29 days ago
Reply to  RICHARD

I agree Richard but watch how the NCAA will setup the supers. They sprinkle the SEC teams around as much as possible?

Also, youre asking why D1 baseball would emulate this???? They are trying to predict what the NCAA will do thats why. If their predictions are wrong it reflects poorly on them.

As I said before, this is not a conspiracy theory. Is it a conspiracy theory to say Fox News appeals to conservative viewers and CNN liberal? The same is true of college baseball. No one in San Francisco would even watch the CWS if USF were in it but all the college baseball founds are in the SouthEast. It’s not a conspiracy theory at all, its simply following the $

Corey
Corey
22 days ago

Someone please tell me why Pitt is projected to host a regional site or at worst a #2 seed in some sites??? All they have to brag about on their resume is a sweep of a descent Florida St team, which may be a bit overrated, and a sweep of a mediocre Miami squad. Granted the series vs the Seminoles was on the road, I don’t think that should automatically give a team that much clout. They have struggled against the middle and bottom half of the conference and have no real notable non-con series wins. I mean for gosh sakes they were swept by Va. Tech and Wake Forest, lost to a terrible W. Virginia team and are on a 7 game skid to end the season. Throw in all the games missed due to covid, which wouldn’t have done much for their RPI anyway, and you have a sub par team hosting a regional based on 6 games. Any thoughts are welcome, Thanks!