Kreidler gets the heroes welcome at home by teammate Michael Toglia.


Postseason Stock Report: Week 10

Stock Report

SEE ALSO: Field of 64 projection: Week 10
SEE ALSO: ? Nerdcast: Discussing the top 16 seeds
SEE ALSO: ? Nerdcast: Discussing at-large candidates
SEE ALSO: ? RPI Nitty Gritty

This time of year, a hefty majority of all questions submitted in our weekly college chat, as well as those sent via e-mail or Twitter, center around the battle for postseason positioning. Our readers want to know how the races for national seeds, host sites and at-large bids are shaping up—so it’s time to roll out our weekly Stock Report feature. Every week, we’ll examine how the postseason picture has shifted over the previous week. This analysis is intended to complement our weekly NCAA tournament field of 64 projection, which was put together in a conference call with Kendall Rogers, Mark Etheridge and me on Tuesday night.

Below, we’ll look at who’s in, who’s out, who’s on the bubble for at-large spots, hosts and national seeds. This discussion is weighted more toward performance to date and remaining schedule than projection based on talent, but it’s also not intended to show exactly what the field would look like if the season ended today. We’re still looking ahead, and we’re still taking talent into consideration when putting together our forecasts.

During this discussion, we will reference the RPI Rankings through Tuesday’s games. And we’ll make use of records against the top 25, 50 or 100 in the RPI using the D1Baseball Nitty Gritty Report (also through Tuesday’s action).

We’ll get to at-large chances in a bit, but let’s start with a look at which teams are on track to earn national seeds and which are on track to host regionals through the first nine weeks of the season:

National Seeds (top 8)

SECURE TEAMS: Florida, Stanford, Texas Tech, NC State, Oregon State, Arkansas

ON THE BUBBLE (IN): East Carolina, Ole Miss

ON THE BUBBLE (OUT): North Carolina

No change from last week’s projection.

NC State moved up to the “secure” list after winning a road series at Duke this past weekend. The Wolfpack has made big headway in the RPI (up to No. 9), and it remains atop the ACC’s overall standings (tied with fellow divisional leader North Carolina at 15-6). Another series win this weekend against the Tar Heels would lock up NC State’s national seed for sure.

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