Postseason Stock Report: Week 14 National Seed & At-large AnalysisStock Report
This time of year, a hefty majority of all questions we get in our weekly college chat, as well as those from e-mail or Twitter, center around the battle for postseason positioning. Our readers want to know how the races for national seeds, host sites and at-large bids are shaping up, so every week in this space we’ll examine how the postseason picture shifts from week to week, and look ahead at how the upcoming action could affect the races. This analysis complements our weekly NCAA tournament field of 64 projection, which we put together in a conference call with Kendall Rogers, Mark Etheridge and me on Tuesday night.
Below, we look at who’s in, who’s out, who’s on the bubble for at-large spots, hosts and national seeds. We weight this toward performance to date and remaining schedule rather than projection based on talent, but it’s not intended to show exactly what the field would look like if the season ended today. We’re still looking ahead, and we’re still taking talent into consideration.
During this discussion, we will reference the RPI Rankings through Tuesday’s games. And we’ll make use of records against the top 25, 50 or 100 in the RPI using the D1Baseball Nitty Gritty Report (also through Tuesday’s action).
We’ll get to at-large chances in a bit, but let’s start with a look at which teams are on track to earn national seeds and which are on track to host regionals through the first 13 weeks of the season:
Top-Eight National Seeds
SECURE TEAMS: UCLA, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, Mississippi State
ON THE BUBBLE (IN): Louisville, Georgia Tech, Georgia, Texas Tech
ON THE BUBBLE (OUT): East Carolina, Stanford, Oklahoma State, Oregon State
No change from last week. Our top eight seeds remain the same, and in the same order. Louisville took a small step back after going 1-3 last week with a series loss at Virginia, but the Cardinals remain atop the ACC standings (two games ahead of Georgia Tech), which is the primary reason the Cardinals hold steady in the No. 5 slot, just ahead of the Jackets. Georgia Tech and Georgia both remain in excellent shape for national seeds thanks to 11 wins apiece against the top 25, strong conference records (17-10 and 18-9, respectively) and top-eight RPIs. …
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