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Postseason Stock Report: Week 9

Stock Report

SEE ALSO: Field of 64 projection: Week 9
SEE ALSO: Week 9 Deliberations Podcast: National seeds & hosts
SEE ALSO: Week 9 Deliberations Podcast: At-large bids


This time of year, a hefty majority of all questions submitted in our weekly college chat, as well as those sent via e-mail or Twitter, center around the battle for postseason positioning. Our readers want to know how the races for national seeds, host sites and at-large bids are shaping up—so it’s time for our weekly Stock Report feature. Every Wednesday, we’ll examine how the postseason picture has shifted over the previous week. This analysis is intended to complement our weekly NCAA tournament field of 64 projection, which was put together in a conference call with Kendall Rogers, Mark Etheridge and me on Tuesday night.

Below, we’ll look at who’s in, who’s out, who’s on the bubble for at-large spots, hosts and national seeds. This discussion is weighted much more toward performance to date and remaining schedule than projection based on talent, but it’s also not intended to show exactly what the field would look like if the season ended today. We’re still looking ahead.

During this discussion, we will reference the RPI Rankings through Tuesday’s games, although we did not factor Tuesday’s action into our deliberations. And we’ll make use of records against the top 25, 50 or 100 in the RPI using the D1Baseball Nitty Gritty Report (also through Tuesday’s action).

We’ll get to at-large chances in a bit, but let’s start with a look at which teams are on track to earn national seeds and which are on track to host regionals through the first nine weeks of the season:

National Seeds

SECURE TEAMS: Florida, Miami, Louisville, Texas A&M, Florida State

ON THE BUBBLE (IN): Texas Tech, UC Santa Barbara, South Carolina

ON THE BUBBLE (OUT): Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, NC State, LSU

One change from last week: Texas A&M replaces Mississippi State as a national seed.

TexasA&M90x90Last week we wrote that the Aggies just needed some high-end wins to break through into national seed position. They answered the call this past weekend, sweeping a road series at Mississippi State in emphatic fashion. Just like that, the Aggies are 5-5 against the top 25 in the RPI, 9-5 against the top 50, and they have climbed to No. 4 in the RPI and first place in the SEC West (10-5). That’s an easy national seed resume right now.


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