UC Irvine's Brandon Lewis (Shotgun Spratling)


Stock Report: Thursday Morning At-Large Ladder, National Seed Update

Stock Report

Here’s a quick and dirty look at how Wednesday’s college baseball action affected the races for top-eight seeds, hosting spots and at-large bids. Our updated projections, through Wednesday:

Top-Eight National Seeds

SECURE TEAMS: UCLA, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Georgia, Arkansas, Louisville, Texas Tech

ON THE BUBBLE (IN): Georgia Tech

ON THE BUBBLE (OUT): East Carolina, Oklahoma State, Oregon State, Stanford

No change from Tuesday morning’s projection.

We believed six teams were just about locked in as top-eight seeds heading into this week, no matter what happens in conference tournaments: UCLA, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Georgia, Arkansas and Louisville. Vandy, MSU, UGa. and Arkansas all won Wednesday, for good measure. Louisville was upset by Boston College, but we think Louisville is safe for a top-eight seed even if it goes 0-2 in the ACC tournament, because it won the regular season by two games and has solid metrics overall.

We’re ready to move Texas Tech into the “secure” category after the Raiders won their Big 12 tournament opener. TTU’s regular-season title in the Big 12 carries a lot of weight, and it remains No. 9 in the RPI, with a 15-6 record against the top 50 and a sterling 29-12 mark against the top 100.

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