Southern California's Matthew Acosta (Shotgun Spratling)

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2018 Summer Analytics: Top 100 Hitters

Prospects

As a supplement to our D1 Analytics: Top 100 Draft Eligible Hitters, we have ranked hitting performances from the Cape Cod and Northwoods Leagues this summer. We previously mentioned that our analytics are NOT prospect rankings, nor are they a prediction of where a player will be drafted. However, analytics are another method used by MLB front offices to identify potential pro prospects.

As scouts continue to build their prospect follow list for the 2019 draft, the analytics department for each front office will send its area scouts a list of analytic follows. In many instances, the names on the analytics list will match those already on a scout’s list. In other instances, a couple names on the analytic list may be new to a scout, prompting the scout to get out and take a look at the office’s recommendations.

We have approached the analytics process in similar fashion—to identify possible under the radar prospects. Hitting has been broken down into three categories: Plate Discipline, Hit Ability, and Game Power. Plate Discipline (PD) is a measure of how well a batter controls the strike zone. Hit Ability (HA) simply measures a batter’s ability to hit and reach base while Game Power (GP) is straightforward: Does the prospect produce extra base hits, getting to the power he may show in batting practice.

Adjustments have been made to account for park effects of the most extreme hitter parks; Madison in the Northwoods and Chatham in the Cape and the most extreme pitcher parks: Duluth and Battle Creek in the Northwoods and   in the Cape. Our analysis is based on 2018 summer season statistics only. It does not take into account a prospect’s position. For example, a middle of the diamond player has more value than a corner player with a similar score. Nor do the scores consider athleticism, swing mechanics, bat speed, running speed, defense or throwing tools. This list is all about bat skill and identifying hitters who have statistically performed in areas that correlate into professional baseball. Players are graded from 0-100:  A=90-100, B=80-89, etc.

Without further ado, the top summer league hitters from an analytical perspective:

 

Rank Player Team Pos Overall PD HA GP
1 Acosta, M Green Bay OF 94.8 83.8 87.0 98.6
2 Torkelson, S Chatham 1B 94.5 76.1 94.3 98.2
3 Campbell, N Y-D 2B 94.4 81.3 93.9 93.1
4 Busch, M Chatham 1B 94.0 85.9 88.6 92.6
5 Taylor, Z Fond du Lac OF 93.3 88.3 83.2 93.4

 

 


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