JMU sidewinder Kevin Kelly (Aaron Fitt)

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2018 Summer Analytics: Top 100 Pitchers

Prospects

As a supplement to our D1 Analytics: Top 100 Draft Eligible Pitchers, we have ranked pitching performances from the Cape Cod and Northwoods Leagues this summer. As we mentioned previously, our analytics are NOT prospect rankings. However, they are another method used by MLB front offices to identify potential professional prospects.

As scouts continue to build their prospect follow list for the 2019 draft, the analytics department for each front office will send its area scouts a list of analytic follows. In many instances, the names on the analytics list will match those already on a scout’s list. In other instances, a couple names on the analytic list may be new to a scout, prompting the scout to get out and take a look at the office’s recommendations.

We have approached the analytics process in similar fashion—to identify possible under the radar prospects. We have broken down pitching into three categories: Zone Control, Pitch Ability, and Durability. Zone Control (ZC) is how well the pitcher controls the strike zone with strikeouts, walks, wild pitches and hit by pitch. Pitch Ability (PA) refers to a pitcher’s ability to pitch using statistics like WHIP, FIP and OppSLG. Durability (DR) is largely based on innings pitched as college starting pitchers have shown greater success in professional baseball than college relievers.

Adjustments have been made to account for park effects of the most extreme hitter parks; Madison in the Northwoods and Chatham in the Cape. Our analysis is based on 2018 summer season statistics only and does not consider how a pitcher fields his position or holds base runners. Nor does it consider a pitcher’s athleticism, arm action, delivery, projection or any other in-person scouted qualities. It is simply a list to identify pitchers who have statistically performed in areas that correlate into professional baseball. Pitchers are graded from 0-100.  A=90-100, B=80-89, etc.

Rank Pitcher Team Overall ZC PA DR
1 Kelly, K Orleans 93.8 79.4 92.7 94.3
2 Slaten, J Eau Claire 93.7 83.9 89.9 92.2
3 Manoah, A Chatham 93.6 83.7 90.9 91.2
4 Pfaadt, B Mankato 93.1 86.5 93.2 84.7
5 McCraith, M Battle Creek 92.6 80.0 85.3 97.4

 


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