Nathan Helvey (College of Charleston)

Nathan Helvey is having a strong season. (C of C)

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RPI Madness: Setting The Stage

Analysis

It’s hard to believe we’re already almost to that point. Yep, postseason projection and analysis time.

As we near the midseason mark, the D1Baseball.com staff, and yours truly, will be buckling down on Tuesday nights to discuss the current state of college baseball, the potential field of 64, national seeds, regional hosts and much more. Well, not everyone can wait that long, so as a result, we’re taking an inside look at a crop of teams that look pretty good in the RPI right now, and why, and those teams that are potentially in dire straits from an RPI perspective.

In addition to some RPI analysis, national writers Aaron Fitt and Kendall Rogers, along with postseason analyst extraordinaire Mark Etheridge also list who they would choose as national seeds, using the crystal ball method.

Who’s Looking Good

College of Charleston Cougars logoCollege of Charleston: The Cougars might not get a lot of help from an RPI standpoint in conference, but everything else looks good. The Cougars have played some stiff competition and have the nation’s best strength of schedule (SOS). With a road win over South Carolina, the Cougars are now up to 3 in the RPI and the non-conference SOS stands at two. Only North Carolina and Florida State have more wins against Top 50 teams (seven).

South Alabama logoSouth Alabama: Never say never and coach Mark Calvi won’t count his chickens before they hatch, but the Jaguars look to be avoiding the RPI dilemma that kept them out of the NCAA postseason last year. The Jaguars sit at 11 in the latest RPI and have two important metrics in their favor – an overall SOS of 15, and most importantly, a non-conference SOS of 34. In addition, the Jags have seven wins vs. RPI Top 100 teams. With LSU and Louisiana-Lafayette struggling, and Tulane quite not up to par (yet) from an RPI standpoint, the Jaguars could be battling Southern Mississippi for one of those perceived mid-major host sites.

Southern Miss logoSouthern Miss: Sure, the Golden Eagles have been dormant the past couple of seasons, but Scott Berry’s club looks to be in terrific shape as we near the midseason mark. The Eagles have amassed an impressive 13 wins vs. RPI Top 100 clubs thus far and have an overall RPI of 15. Conference USA play shouldn’t drag the Eagles’ RPI down, either, with two other teams sitting in the top 50 and Florida Atlantic just outside that range. The margin for error here isn’t great, but the Eagles could be in the mix for a host site come May.


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