Casey Mize is having a spring to remember ... already. (Kendall Rogers)

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Analytical Rankings: Top Pitchers

Prospects

New this year at D1Baseball, we jump into the statistics of baseball, providing analytic content, in addition to the scouting and reporting we have always brought you. To continue our coverage, we’ve put together an analytics-based version of our Midseason College Top 150 Prospects list.

Criteria for pitchers were broken into three categories: Zone Control (K%, BB%, HB+WP%), Pitchability (ERA, WHIP, OppAVG, OppSLG), and Durability (GS and IP). Players’ scores were weighted by their school’s strength of schedule to correct for varying levels of difficulty within Division I. Non Division I players are not included because their data differed significantly from the rest of the players in the Top 100. Data was taken from the 2016 & 2017 NCAA seasons and the 2017 Cape Cod League season. The grades for each statistic were weighted and combined into a category grade. These category grades were then weighted again and combined into a final grade. Here’s a closer look at our grading system:

Letter GradeNumber GradeZone Control PitchabilityDurability
K%BB%HBP+WP%ERAWHIPOppAVGOppSLGGSIP
A90 + 27% + 8.9% - 2.9% - 2.99 - .100 - .199 - .229 - 6 +70 +
B80 - 8921% - 26.9%9 - 10.9%3% - 4.9%3.00 - 3.79.101 - .120.200 - .239.230 - .2795 -55 - 69
C70 - 7915% - 20.9%11% - 13.9%5% - 6.9%3.80 - 4.29.121 - .135.240 - .269.280 - .32940 - 54
D60 - 6914.9% - 14% + 7% + 4.30 - 5.29.136 - 1.65.270 - .309.330 - .37930 - 39
F59 -5.30 +.166 +.310 + .380 + 29 -

Without further ado, here’s an analytical ranking of the 48 Division I pitchers who appeared in our preseason Top 100:

 


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